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Live prediction market odds for Houston Astros vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Houston Astros Wins: Houston Astros vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-28

This market resolved on 2026-08-28. Houston Astros was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.

About This Market

Houston Astros vs.

Houston Astros vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Hunter Brown Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Over 1.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Yainer Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Daulton Varsho Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Jeremy Pena Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Taylor Trammell Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Houston AstrosWINNER
99%41%98%99%
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
——95%—
Houston Astros spread plus 1.5
——99%94%
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———93%
Total under 11.5
———92%
Total under 4.5
———92%
New York Mets spread plus 3.5
———92%
Total under 10.5
———92%
Total under 5.5
———91%
Total under 8.0
———91%
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Home Runs
——90%—
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—90%—
Christian Scott Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—90%—
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Home Runs
——90%—
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—90%—
Jared Young Over 1.5 Home Runs
——90%—
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—90%—
Total under 12.5
———89%
Cam Smith Under 0.5 Home Runs
———89%
Total under 8.5
——0%89%
New York Mets spread plus 2.5
——77%98%
Total under 9.0
———88%
Total under 9.5
———88%
Houston Astros spread minus 1.5
99%—88%87%
Houston Astros spread plus 2.5
——80%88%
Total under 7.0
———84%
New York Mets spread plus 4.5
———82%
Total under 7.5
——100%82%
Total over 3.5
99%——76%
Total under 6.5
——100%76%
Cam Smith Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
63%———
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Houston Astros spread plus 1.0
———62%
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Christopher Morel Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits
60%———
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
New York Mets spread plus 1.0
———58%
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Yainer Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
57%———
Hunter Brown Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——0%57%
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Taylor Trammell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Christian Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs
——10%99%
Isaac Paredes Under 0.5 Home Runs
——10%99%
Jared Young Under 0.5 Home Runs
——10%99%
Yordan Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——10%97%
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—90%15%
Luis Robert Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——6%99%
Taylor Trammell Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Christian Scott Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%—42%57%
Christopher Morel Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs
——90%9%
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—90%8%
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
41%——56%
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—90%6%
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——48%
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Christian Scott Over 3.5 Strikeouts
3%—90%—
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——46%
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—90%—
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—90%—
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits
46%———
Hunter Brown Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%46%
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——46%
Yainer Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Houston Astros spread minus 1.0
———44%
Christian Scott Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——42%45%
Cam Smith Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———42%
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———42%
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
41%——43%
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
41%——40%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits
40%———
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
40%———
New York Mets spread minus 1.0
———40%
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits
37%———
New York Mets
1%59%100%5%
Total over 6.5
1%—100%29%
Total under 3.5
———29%
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%——53%
New York Mets spread minus 3.5
1%——27%
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits
27%———
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
27%———
Total over 7.5
1%—100%26%
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
26%———
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits
25%———
Total over 7.0
———24%
Total over 8.0
———23%
Yordan Alvarez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
23%———
Houston Astros spread minus 4.5
———22%
Total over 11.5
1%——22%
Total over 9.5
1%——20%
Total over 9.0
———20%
Total over 8.5
1%—0%19%
Total over 12.5
———18%
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits
18%———
New York Mets spread minus 2.5
1%—20%16%
New York Mets spread plus 1.5
——12%21%
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits
16%———
Total over 10.5
1%——16%
Cam Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs
———16%
Houston Astros spread minus 2.5
1%—23%7%
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———14%
Total over 5.5
1%——13%
Christopher Morel Over 0.5 Home Runs
———12%
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits
12%———
Houston wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——11%
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%11%
Total over 4.5
1%——11%
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs
7%—90%10%
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——10%
Taylor Trammell Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs
——10%99%
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Christian Scott Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——10%—
Christian Scott Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——10%—
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Home Runs
10%—90%5%
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Jared Young Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Jose Altuve Under 0.5 Home Runs
——10%99%
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
New York Mets spread minus 1.5
1%—1%9%
Yainer Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%——10%
Luis Robert Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
——3%11%
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits
7%———
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits
7%———
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—90%6%
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits
6%———
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Hits
6%———
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits
5%———
Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%5%
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits
2%———
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits
2%———
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Home Runs
1%———
Hunter Brown Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Hunter Brown Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Christian Walker Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Christian Walker Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Isaac Paredes Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Isaac Paredes Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Jeremy Pena Over 3.5 Hits
0%———
Jeremy Pena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Jeremy Pena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Jose Altuve Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Jose Altuve Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Yordan Alvarez Over 3.5 Hits
0%———
Yordan Alvarez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Hunter Brown Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%—
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—99%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread98.9%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Houston Astros

84.1% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Houston Astros vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Houston wins the Houston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Houston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and New York Mets, scheduled for August 28 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Houston Astros vs New York Mets MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-28 at 7:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Houston Astros vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Houston Astros vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Houston Astros: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 98.0¢ on Polymarket, 98.5¢ on ProphetX, 41.0¢ on Polymarket US; New York Mets: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 5.0¢ on ProphetX, 59.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Houston Astros vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Houston Astros vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Houston Astros at 84.1¢ implies about a 84.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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