About This Market
Houston Astros vs.
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Houston Astros vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-28
This market resolved on 2026-08-28. Houston Astros was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Houston Astros vs.
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Hunter Brown Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Yainer Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Daulton Varsho Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Jeremy Pena Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Taylor Trammell Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Houston AstrosWINNER | 99% | 41% | 98% | 99% |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | — |
Houston Astros spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 99% | 94% |
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 93% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
New York Mets spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 91% |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 90% | — |
Christian Scott Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 90% | — |
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 90% | — |
Jared Young Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 90% | — |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Cam Smith Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 89% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 0% | 89% |
New York Mets spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 77% | 98% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 88% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Houston Astros spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 88% | 87% |
Houston Astros spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 80% | 88% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 84% |
New York Mets spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 82% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 100% | 82% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 76% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 100% | 76% |
Cam Smith Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 63% | — | — | — |
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Houston Astros spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 62% |
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Christopher Morel Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits | 60% | — | — | — |
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
New York Mets spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 58% |
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Yainer Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 57% | — | — | — |
Hunter Brown Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 57% |
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Taylor Trammell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Christian Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | 99% |
Isaac Paredes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | 99% |
Jared Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | 99% |
Yordan Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | 97% |
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 90% | 15% |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 6% | 99% |
Taylor Trammell Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Christian Scott Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 42% | 57% |
Christopher Morel Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 9% |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 90% | 8% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 41% | — | — | 56% |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 90% | 6% |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 48% |
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Christian Scott Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | 90% | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 90% | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 90% | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits | 46% | — | — | — |
Hunter Brown Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | 46% |
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Yainer Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Houston Astros spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 44% |
Christian Scott Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 42% | 45% |
Cam Smith Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 41% | — | — | 43% |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 41% | — | — | 40% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits | 40% | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 40% | — | — | — |
New York Mets spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits | 37% | — | — | — |
New York Mets | 1% | 59% | 100% | 5% |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | 100% | 29% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 29% |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | 53% |
New York Mets spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 27% |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits | 27% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 27% | — | — | — |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 100% | 26% |
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 26% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits | 25% | — | — | — |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 24% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 23% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 23% | — | — | — |
Houston Astros spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 22% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 22% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | — | 20% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 20% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 19% |
Total over 12.5 | — | — | — | 18% |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits | 18% | — | — | — |
New York Mets spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 20% | 16% |
New York Mets spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 12% | 21% |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits | 16% | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 16% |
Cam Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 16% |
Houston Astros spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 23% | 7% |
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | — | 13% |
Christopher Morel Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits | 12% | — | — | — |
Houston wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 11% |
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 11% |
Total over 4.5 | 1% | — | — | 11% |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs | 7% | — | 90% | 10% |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 10% |
Taylor Trammell Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | 99% |
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | — |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | — |
Christian Scott Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 10% | — |
Christian Scott Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 10% | — |
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | — |
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Home Runs | 10% | — | 90% | 5% |
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | — |
Jared Young Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | — |
Jose Altuve Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | 99% |
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | — |
New York Mets spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 1% | 9% |
Yainer Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | 10% |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 3% | 11% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits | 7% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits | 7% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 90% | 6% |
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 5% |
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Hunter Brown Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Hunter Brown Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 3.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 3.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Hunter Brown Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 99% | — |
Houston Astros
84.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Houston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Houston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and New York Mets, scheduled for August 28 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Houston Astros vs New York Mets MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-28 at 7:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Houston Astros: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 98.0¢ on Polymarket, 98.5¢ on ProphetX, 41.0¢ on Polymarket US; New York Mets: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 5.0¢ on ProphetX, 59.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Houston Astros at 84.1¢ implies about a 84.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.