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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

Houston Astros Wins: Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-27

This market resolved on 2026-08-27. Houston Astros was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 70%.

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms

Candidate
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Hits	99%	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits	99%	—	—	—
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits	99%	—	—	—
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits	99%	—	—	—
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Christian Walker Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Christian Walker Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	—
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits	99%	—	—	—
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits	99%	—	—	—
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Hits	99%	—	—	—
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Hits	99%	—	—	—
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Jeremy Pena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	99%	—	—	—
Over 3.5 runs scored	99%	—	—	—
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	—
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	—
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
Cam Smith Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
Yainer Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	—
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	98%	—
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	98%	—
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	98%	—
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	98%	—
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	98%	—
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	96%	99%
Isaac Paredes Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	97%
Taylor Trammell Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	97%
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	97%
Jose Altuve Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	93%	99%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	94%
Daulton Varsho Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	88%	98%
Jeremy Pena Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	93%	99%
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	87%	99%
Christian Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	85%	99%
Cody Bellinger Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	91%	99%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	82%	99%
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	90%
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	84%	95%
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	77%	99%
Yordan Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	74%	98%
Houston Astros spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	85%
Gerrit Cole Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	84%	—
Hayden Wesneski Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	83%	—
Total over 4.5	99%	—	—	83%
Total under 9.5	—	—	75%	90%
Houston Astros spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	80%
Houston wins by over 3.5 runs	80%	—	—	80%
Houston Astros spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	80%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	79%
Houston Astros spread plus 2.5	—	—	69%	84%
Total under 7.5	—	—	61%	89%
Jose Caballero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	74%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	73%
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5	—	—	80%	66%
Houston AstrosWINNER	99%	41%	40%	99%
Total under 8.5	—	—	58%	80%
Hayden Wesneski Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	67%	70%
Cam Smith Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	67%
Houston Astros spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	67%
Gerrit Cole Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	66%	—
Houston Astros spread minus 1.5	97%	—	31%	66%
Houston Astros spread plus 1.5	—	—	56%	73%
Total over 5.5	67%	—	—	62%
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	64%
Austin Wells Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	63%
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	62%
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	62%
Cam Smith Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	61%
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	61%
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	61%
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	61%
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	60%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	60%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	59%
Yainer Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	58%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	57%	—
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	56%
Gerrit Cole Over 5.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	55%	56%
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	55%
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	55%
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	54%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	54%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5	—	—	69%	38%
Hayden Wesneski Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	53%	54%
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	53%
Taylor Trammell Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	52%
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	52%
Taylor Trammell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	52%
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	48%
Hayden Wesneski Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	100%	48%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	47%
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	47%
Gerrit Cole Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	45%	47%
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	45%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	45%	—
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	45%
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	44%
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	44%
Yainer Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	44%
Cam Smith Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	43%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	43%
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	43%
Cam Smith Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	42%
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	42%
Jose Caballero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	41%
Yordan Alvarez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	41%	—	—	—
Austin Wells Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	40%
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	40%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	39%
Gerrit Cole Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	34%	—
Hayden Wesneski Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	33%	35%
New York Yankees	5%	60%	60%	3%
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	—	—	50%
Total over 6.5	32%	—	—	31%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5	2%	—	44%	31%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	16%	—	—	46%
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	10%	—	—	51%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	29%
Houston Astros spread minus 2.5	100%	—	20%	38%
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	25%
Total over 8.5	8%	—	42%	25%
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits	25%	—	—	—
Jeremy Pena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	25%	—	—	—
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	24%
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	22%	—	—	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits	22%	—	—	—
Total under 4.5	—	—	—	21%
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5	2%	—	31%	20%
Ben Rice Over 2.5 Hits	20%	—	—	—
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	26%	13%
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	18%
Total over 9.5	3%	—	25%	18%
Hayden Wesneski Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	17%	—
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5	2%	—	—	31%
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	16%	16%
Gerrit Cole Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	16%	—
Total over 7.5	16%	—	39%	15%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	18%	10%
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits	14%	—	—	—
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	15%	11%
Total over 10.5	1%	—	—	12%
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	11%
Yainer Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	11%
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits	11%	—	—	—
Total over 11.5	3%	—	—	18%
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	10%	11%
Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	9%	12%
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs	5%	—	77%	10%
Cam Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	10%
Taylor Trammell Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	10%
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Home Runs	10%	—	0%	—
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	9%
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	6%	12%
Isaac Paredes Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	8%	—	—	—
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	8%	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	8%	8%
Houston Astros spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	8%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	4%	—	—	12%
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	5%	10%
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	7%	6%
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits	6%	—	—	—
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits	6%	—	—	—
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits	6%	—	—	—
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	7%
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs	5%	—	1%	—
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Home Runs	5%	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits	4%	—	—	—
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits	4%	—	—	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 2.5 Hits	4%	—	—	—
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits	4%	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs	5%	—	2%	—
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Home Runs	5%	—	1%	—
Over 12.5 runs scored	3%	—	—	—
Jeremy Pena Over 3.5 Hits	2%	—	—	—
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	2%	—
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	2%	—
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	2%	—
Yordan Alvarez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	2%	—	—	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	1%	—
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	1%	—
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Hits	1%	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits	1%	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Hits	1%	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	—
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits	0%	—	—	—
Isaac Paredes Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Houston wins the Houston vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Houston vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 27 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Houston Astros vs New York Yankees MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-27 at 7:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Houston Astros: 98.5¢ on Kalshi, 40.0¢ on Polymarket, 98.8¢ on ProphetX, 40.5¢ on Polymarket US; New York Yankees: 4.5¢ on Kalshi, 60.0¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on ProphetX, 59.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 58.8 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Houston Astros at 69.5¢ implies about a 69.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Houston Astros Wins: Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)

Houston Astros Wins: Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Houston Astros Wins: Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)

Houston Astros Wins: Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)

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