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Live prediction market odds for F1 Drivers Champion?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and Opinion and Predict.fun.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Get a $35 trading bonus

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / Opinion / Predict.fun

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F1 Drivers Champion?

2026-12-06

Best price · tap to trade

Kimi Antonelli92¢1.09xPolymarket USGeorge Russell6¢16.67xKalshiCharles Leclerc2¢50.00xKalshi
Compare all 17 outcomes across 5 venues

About This Market

Traders give Kimi Antonelli about a 91.3% chance. George Russell follows at 5.6%, Charles Leclerc follows at 1.1%, and Lando Norris follows at 1.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, Opinion, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.5 percentage points.

Traders give Kimi Antonelli about a 91.3% chance. George Russell follows at 5.6%, Charles Leclerc follows at 1.1%, and Lando Norris follows at 1.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, Opinion, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the F1 Drivers Champion event for the 2026 season. This championship outcome influences team strategies, sponsorship deals, and fan engagement in the world of Formula 1 racing.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
Opinion
Predict.fun
Best price
KA
Kimi Antonelli
91%
Kalshi93¢
Polymarket US92¢
Polymarket91¢
—
Predict.fun92¢
Polymarket US1.09x92¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
92.0%92¢93¢7¢8¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
91.0%91¢92¢8¢9¢
PolymarketPolymarket
90.9%91¢91¢9¢9¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
91.5%91¢92¢8¢9¢
GR
George Russell
6%
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket US6¢
Polymarket5¢
—
Predict.fun5¢
Kalshi16.67x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.0%5¢6¢94¢95¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.0%4¢6¢94¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
4.9%5¢5¢95¢95¢
OpinionOpinion
—1¢——99¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢
CL
Charles Leclerc
2%
Kalshi2¢
Polymarket US2¢
—
—
Predict.fun1¢
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
2.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
—0¢—100¢100¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
—0¢1¢99¢100¢
LN
Lando Norris
1%
Kalshi2¢
Polymarket US2¢
Polymarket1¢
Opinion10¢
Predict.fun3¢
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
2.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.7%1¢1¢99¢99¢
OpinionOpinion
5.1%0¢10¢90¢100¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
2.5%2¢3¢97¢98¢
MV
Max VerstappenARB
2%
Kalshi2¢
Polymarket US2¢
—
—
—
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢2¢98¢100¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
2.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
—0¢—100¢100¢
OpinionOpinion
—5¢——95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketOpinionOpinionPredict.funPredict.fun

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Kimi Antonelli

Kimi Antonelli is a Formula One driver for Mercedes-AMG Petronas Formula One Team. He won the Formula Regional European Championship in 2023 and secured two victories in Formula 2 in 2024. He is competing in the 2026 Formula One season, aiming for the Drivers' Championship.

About George Russell

George Russell is a British Formula One driver for Mercedes-AMG Petronas F1 Team. He joined Mercedes in 2022, partnering with Lewis Hamilton, and secured his first Grand Prix win in 2022. Russell is a contender for the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship.

About Charles Leclerc

Charles Leclerc is a Formula 1 driver for Scuderia Ferrari. He won the Monaco Grand Prix in 2024, becoming the first Monégasque driver to do so since 1931. His performance in the 2024 season, including victories at Monza and the United States Grand Prix, makes him a strong contender for the 2025 F1 Drivers' Championship.

About Lando Norris

Lando Norris is the current Formula 1 World Champion, driving for McLaren. He secured his first title in 2025, finishing two points ahead of Max Verstappen. His consistent performance and leadership at McLaren make him a strong contender for future championships.

About Max Verstappen

Max Verstappen is a Formula 1 driver for Red Bull Racing. He secured his fourth consecutive World Drivers' Championship title in 2024. His consistent performance makes him a strong contender for the 2025 F1 Drivers' Championship.

About Lewis Hamilton

Lewis Hamilton is a Formula 1 driver for Scuderia Ferrari. He joined Ferrari in 2025 after a successful tenure with Mercedes, where he secured seven world championships. His move to Ferrari is significant for the 2026 F1 season, as he aims to contend for the Drivers' Championship with his new team.

About Oscar Piastri

Oscar Piastri is a Formula 1 driver for McLaren. He won the 2021 Formula 2 Championship. He is competing in the 2026 Formula 1 season.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
APESPNFox SportsThe Wall Street Journal
OpinionOpinion
Opinion AI
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread5.5%
Platforms5
Candidates17
Leader

Kimi Antonelli

91.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: F1 Drivers Champion?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket and Polymarket US and Predict.fun.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If George Russell wins the F1 Drivers Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
APESPNFox SportsThe Wall Street Journal
OpinionOpinion
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Resolution Oracles
Opinion AI
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

If George Russell wins the F1 Drivers' Champion in the 2026 F1 season, scheduled to conclude December 6, 2026, this market settles Yes. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body or event organizers. If the announcement is postponed or delayed within two weeks of the original date, the market will remain open and will settle once the announcement is complete. Cancellation or rescheduling beyond the two-week window may result in resolution at the last fair market price. If George Russell is eliminated from contention, the market settles No.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market titled “Other” will resolve to Yes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the F1 Drivers Champion?

Driver performance, team dynamics, and historical data play crucial roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, race results and qualifying performances can lead to significant shifts in market sentiment.

How do prediction markets work for sports events like the F1 Drivers Champion?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of event outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs of market participants about the likelihood of each driver winning the championship.

What is the significance of the F1 Drivers Champion title?

Winning the F1 Drivers Champion title is a pinnacle achievement for drivers, impacting their careers and legacy. It also affects team standings and can lead to lucrative sponsorship opportunities.

What does the F1 Drivers Champion prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, Opinion, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest F1 Drivers Champion odds?

The latest available prices are Kimi Antonelli: 92.0¢ on Kalshi, 90.9¢ on Polymarket, 91.0¢ on Polymarket US, 91.5¢ on Predict.fun; George Russell: 6.0¢ on Kalshi, 4.9¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US, 1.0¢ on Opinion, 4.5¢ on Predict.fun; Charles Leclerc: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.3¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US, 1.0¢ on Predict.fun; Lando Norris: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.7¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US, 5.1¢ on Opinion, 2.5¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Antonelli Wins 2026 Italian GP from 19th, Title Odds Reach 86%Seven wins and a 66-point lead have prediction markets pricing Antonelli as an 86% favorite, up 15 points in three days. Russell finished second at Monza.Sep 8, 2026Antonelli Hits 87% F1 Title Favorite After Monza Win From 19thSeven wins in 13 races and a last-to-first drive at Monza push Antonelli's title odds to 87%, with Russell 66 points back in the same car.Sep 6, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

F1 Drivers Champion 2025?LOSTPre-event: 1%Miami Grand Prix: Qualify in Pole PositionWONPre-event: 0%Monaco Grand Prix Qualifying Session (Q3): Pole PositionWONPre-event: 0%Barcelona Grand Prix WinnerLOSTPre-event: 41%Austrian Grand Prix WinnerLOSTPre-event: 46%

Prediction Market Track Record

F1 Drivers Champion 2025?LOSTPre-event: 1%Miami Grand Prix: Qualify in Pole PositionLOSTPre-event: 0%Monaco Grand Prix Qualifying Session (Q3): Pole PositionLOSTPre-event: 0%Barcelona Grand Prix WinnerLOSTPre-event: 34%Austrian Grand Prix WinnerWONPre-event: 17%

Prediction Market Track Record

F1 Drivers Champion 2025?LOSTPre-event: 1%Miami Grand Prix: Qualify in Pole PositionLOSTPre-event: 0%Monaco Grand Prix Qualifying Session (Q3): Pole PositionLOSTPre-event: 0%Barcelona Grand Prix WinnerLOSTPre-event: 5%Austrian Grand Prix WinnerLOSTPre-event: 11%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

F1 Drivers Champion 2025?

Resolved

2025-12-31

WONLando Norris
Pre-event: 99%

Miami Grand Prix: Qualify in Pole Position

Resolved

2026-05-01

LOSTLando Norris
Pre-event: 0%

Monaco Grand Prix Qualifying Session (Q3): Pole Position

Resolved

2026-06-06

LOSTLando Norris
Pre-event: 0%

Barcelona Grand Prix Winner

Resolved

2026-06-14

LOSTLando Norris
Pre-event: 11%

Austrian Grand Prix Winner

Resolved

2026-06-28

LOSTLando Norris
Pre-event: 8%

Prediction Market Track Record

F1 Drivers Champion 2025?WONPre-event: 99%Miami Grand Prix: Qualify in Pole PositionLOSTPre-event: 0%Monaco Grand Prix Qualifying Session (Q3): Pole PositionLOSTPre-event: 0%Barcelona Grand Prix WinnerLOSTPre-event: 11%Austrian Grand Prix WinnerLOSTPre-event: 8%
Smart Money Positioning (24 hours)
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily buying Kimi Antonelli

Smart Money Consensus$134
$134Yes
Smart Traders Split1
1Yes
Polymarket USBuy Yes at 92¢Best price among US-regulated venues.

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Kimi Antonelli
Yes$134 · 1 whale
George Russell
No-$760 · 0 whales

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Smart Money Feed
Full Feed

Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $30.2K lifetime sold $760 of No at 95¢

3h ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $23K lifetime sold $1K of No at 96¢

2d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $13.3K lifetime bet $920 on Yes at 93¢

5d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Trade on Polymarket US →