About This Market
Houston Astros vs.
Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-08
This market resolved on 2026-09-08. Houston Astros was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 88%.
Houston Astros vs.
Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 99% | — |
Houston Astros spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 87% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 91% | 82% |
Houston AstrosWINNER | 100% | 42% | 92% | 84% |
Houston Astros spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 81% |
LaMonte Wade Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 75% |
Houston Astros spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 77% | 68% |
Total over 9.5 | 100% | — | 60% | 80% |
Justin Crawford Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 69% |
Brandon Marsh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 76% | 61% |
Philadelphia Phillies | 1% | 59% | 0% | 77% |
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 75% | 60% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 99% | 66% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 65% |
Justin Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Total over 7.5 | 100% | — | 73% | 54% |
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 73% | 54% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 63% |
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 72% | 51% |
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 72% | 51% |
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 70% | 50% |
Bryson Stott Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
LaMonte Wade Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Yainer Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 63% | — | 29% | 56% |
Taylor Trammell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Houston Astros spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 27% | 84% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 55% |
Houston Astros spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 55% |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 99% | 54% |
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 1% | 54% |
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 57% |
Taylor Trammell Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Yainer Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | 45% |
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 45% | 50% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
Justin Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 30% | 57% |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 28% | 55% |
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 28% | 54% |
Justin Crawford Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 27% | 52% |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 39% | — |
Houston Astros spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 39% |
Total over 8.5 | 100% | — | 99% | 38% |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 38% | — |
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 25% | 49% |
Brandon Marsh Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 22% | — | 50% | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 49% | — | 19% | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 16% | 49% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 32% |
Bryce Harper Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | 50% | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 40% | 23% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 27% | 35% |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 3% | 57% |
Jeremy Pena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | 50% | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 23% | 36% |
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 31% | — | 20% | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 24% |
Bryce Harper Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 22% | — | 14% | — |
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 18% | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | 11% | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | 10% | — |
Houston Astros spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 1% | 23% |
Jose Altuve Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 11% | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | 7% | — |
Jose Altuve Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 6% | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 4% | 7% |
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 0% | — |
Alec Bohm Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Alec Bohm Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Andrew Painter Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Andrew Painter Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Andrew Painter Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Andrew Painter Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Andrew Painter Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Andrew Painter Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Andrew Painter Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Andrew Painter Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Andrew Painter Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Andrew Painter Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Daulton Varsho Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Over 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Houston wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Luis Arraez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 12.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Houston Astros
79.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Philadelphia wins the Houston vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Houston vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 8 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-08 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Houston Astros: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 92.0¢ on Polymarket, 84.4¢ on ProphetX, 41.5¢ on Polymarket US; Philadelphia Phillies: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 77.4¢ on ProphetX, 58.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 77.3 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Houston Astros at 79.3¢ implies about a 79.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.