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Kansas City Royals vs.
Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox (7:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-11
This market resolved on 2026-09-11. Kansas City Royals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 74%.
Kansas City Royals vs.
Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox (7:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kansas City Royals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 97% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | — | 95% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — | 85% | 88% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | — | 85% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 83% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 63% | 98% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 81% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 77% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 77% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 59% | 93% |
Isaac Collins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 74% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 59% | 87% |
Kansas City RoyalsWINNER | 99% | 42% | 71% | 74% | 96% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 48% | 99% | 86% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | — | 63% |
Nate Eaton Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 61% |
John Rave Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 61% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 61% |
Kyle Isbel Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 60% |
Trevor Story Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 60% |
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 59% |
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 57% |
Michael Massey Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 56% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — | 28% | 83% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 55% |
Trevor Story Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 54% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 52% | 39% | 88% |
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 50% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 49% |
Kyle Isbel Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 48% |
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 48% |
Nate Eaton Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 47% |
Michael Massey Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 46% |
John Rave Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 46% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 45% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | — | 41% |
Isaac Collins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 40% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 53% | 0% | 19% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 48% | 99% | 17% |
Boston Red Sox | 1% | 58% | 30% | 27% | 8% |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 28% |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | 43% | — | 11% |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 22% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | — | 100% | 21% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | 18% |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | 16% |
Michael Massey Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 16% |
Trevor Story Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 14% |
Nate Eaton Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 13% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | — | 100% | 10% |
John Rave Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 10% |
Nick Sogard Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 9% |
Isaac Collins Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 8% |
Kyle Isbel Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 6% |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | 5% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Boston wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Caleb Durbin Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Caleb Durbin Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Caleb Durbin Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Caleb Durbin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Caleb Durbin Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jarren Duran Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jarren Duran Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jarren Duran Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jarren Duran Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jarren Duran Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jarren Duran Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jarren Duran Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jarren Duran Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jarren Duran Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jarren Duran Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jarren Duran Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Mickey Gasper Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Mickey Gasper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Mickey Gasper Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Mickey Gasper Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Mickey Gasper Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Mickey Gasper Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Mickey Gasper Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Mickey Gasper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Mickey Gasper Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Mickey Gasper Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Mickey Gasper Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Loftin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Loftin Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Loftin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Loftin Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Loftin Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Loftin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Loftin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Loftin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Loftin Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Loftin Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Loftin Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Loftin Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Roman Anthony Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Roman Anthony Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Roman Anthony Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Roman Anthony Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Roman Anthony Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Roman Anthony Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Roman Anthony Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Roman Anthony Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Roman Anthony Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Roman Anthony Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Roman Anthony Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Roman Anthony Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Sonny Gray Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Sonny Gray Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Sonny Gray Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Sonny Gray Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Sonny Gray Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Sonny Gray Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Sonny Gray Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Sonny Gray Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 12.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 4.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kansas City Royals
76.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Kansas City wins the Kansas City vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Kansas City vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigKansas City Royals in Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox (MLB); settled by Novig.
If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for September 11 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-11 at 7:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Kansas City Royals: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 73.5¢ on Polymarket, 95.9¢ on ProphetX, 42.0¢ on Polymarket US, 70.5¢ on Novig; Boston Red Sox: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 26.5¢ on Polymarket, 7.8¢ on ProphetX, 58.0¢ on Polymarket US, 29.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 57.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Kansas City Royals at 76.2¢ implies about a 76.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.