Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Results Archive
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

Cleveland Guardians Wins: Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-30

This market resolved on 2026-08-30. Cleveland Guardians was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Kansas City Royals vs.

Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Nick Loftin Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Parker Messick Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Parker Messick Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Seth Lugo Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Cleveland GuardiansWINNER
99%100%100%99%
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jo Adell Over 0.5 RBIs
99%———
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Jo Adell Over 1.5 RBIs
99%———
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Total Bases
99%———
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits
99%———
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jo Adell Over 2.5 RBIs
99%———
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jo Adell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 RBIs
99%———
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 RBIs
99%———
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 RBIs
99%———
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jose Ramirez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 RBIs
99%———
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Isaac Collins Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
98%———
Nick Loftin Under 0.5 Home Runs
——97%99%
Seth Lugo Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——97%—
Jose Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%96%
Carter Jensen Under 0.5 Home Runs
——91%99%
Salvador Perez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——91%98%
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—94%—
Jac Caglianone Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%96%
Jo Adell Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%98%
Seth Lugo Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——91%—
Brayan Rocchio Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Chase DeLauter Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%98%
Steven Kwan Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Total over 6.5
99%——88%
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs
97%——77%
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—86%—
Total over 4.5
99%——86%
Parker Messick Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——86%—
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—86%—
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 2.5
——84%79%
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.5
——90%68%
Total over 9.5
99%—100%77%
Total over 10.5
99%——76%
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 2.5
99%—100%75%
Total over 7.5
99%—100%75%
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5
99%—100%73%
Parker Messick Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——81%64%
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.0
———72%
Total over 5.5
99%——70%
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 4.5
———70%
Seth Lugo Over 2.5 Strikeouts
1%—69%—
Total over 8.0
———68%
Seth Lugo Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——81%54%
Nick Loftin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Isaac Collins Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Patrick Bailey Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Total over 8.5
99%—100%64%
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Total over 11.5
99%——62%
Travis Bazzana Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Brayan Rocchio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Matthew Lugo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Angel Martinez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Tyler Tolbert Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——58%
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——58%
Chase DeLauter Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——57%
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——57%
Parker Messick Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%—55%56%
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits
54%———
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——53%
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.0
———53%
Jo Adell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.0
———52%
Matthew Lugo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Nathaniel Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Nathaniel Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Angel Martinez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Parker Messick Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——48%47%
Chase DeLauter Over 0.5 Home Runs
80%——14%
Seth Lugo Over 3.5 Strikeouts
2%—47%50%
Chase DeLauter Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Isaac Collins Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Tyler Tolbert Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——46%
Travis Bazzana Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——46%
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
46%——46%
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——44%
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——44%
Patrick Bailey Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Total under 11.5
———43%
Nick Loftin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——40%
Total under 8.5
——0%40%
Parker Messick Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%—37%41%
Total under 8.0
———39%
Total under 10.5
———35%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 4.5
———35%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 3.5
———34%
Total under 9.5
——0%34%
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.0
———34%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%——51%
Total under 5.5
———33%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs
32%———
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
32%———
Seth Lugo Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——31%—
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.5
——0%31%
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits
30%———
Total under 7.5
——0%30%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 2.5
——0%29%
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
29%———
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 RBIs
27%———
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 RBIs
25%———
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 RBIs
25%———
Total under 4.5
———23%
Total under 6.5
———23%
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.5
1%—10%36%
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 RBIs
21%———
Kansas City Royals spread minus 2.5
1%—17%25%
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits
20%———
Nathaniel Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%18%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits
18%———
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
18%———
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits
18%———
Jac Caglianone Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%———
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Total Bases
16%———
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Total Bases
16%———
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 Hits
15%———
Salvador Perez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
15%———
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%14%
Carter Jensen Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
14%———
Parker Messick Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%—14%—
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Home Runs
19%——9%
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—16%12%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
7%—14%11%
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%—16%11%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits
10%———
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%———
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—10%12%
Brayan Rocchio Over 3.5 Total Bases
9%———
Jac Caglianone Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
9%———
Travis Bazzana Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——9%
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—8%12%
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 RBIs
7%———
Carter Jensen Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%———
Salvador Perez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%———
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs
2%——12%
Nick Loftin Over 0.5 Home Runs
6%—4%5%
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Seth Lugo Over 6.5 Strikeouts
3%—4%—
Seth Lugo Over 7.5 Strikeouts
3%—4%—
Parker Messick Over 10.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Seth Lugo Over 4.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Seth Lugo Over 5.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits
2%———
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits
2%———
Kansas City Royals
1%1%0%2%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Parker Messick Over 18.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Parker Messick Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Parker Messick Over 9.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Seth Lugo Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Nick Loftin Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Parker Messick Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Seth Lugo Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs
0%———
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 RBIs
0%———
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Brayan Rocchio Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Brayan Rocchio Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 RBIs
0%———
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.9%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Cleveland Guardians

99.4% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Kansas City wins the Kansas City vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Kansas City vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 30 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-30 at 1:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Cleveland Guardians: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Kansas City Royals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Cleveland Guardians at 99.4¢ implies about a 99.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

Aaron Rodgers's Next Team

View

Digvijay Pratap Singh vs. Dmitry Bessonov

View

F1 Constructors Champion?

View

Serie A Champion

View

Freya Peet vs. Elza Tomase

Resolved Sep 28

Final odds