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Kansas City Royals vs.
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-30
This market resolved on 2026-08-30. Cleveland Guardians was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Kansas City Royals vs.
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians (1:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Nick Loftin Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Parker Messick Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Parker Messick Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Seth Lugo Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Cleveland GuardiansWINNER | 99% | 100% | 100% | 99% |
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Isaac Collins Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 98% | — | — | — |
Nick Loftin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | 99% |
Seth Lugo Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 97% | — |
Jose Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 96% |
Carter Jensen Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Salvador Perez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 98% |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 94% | — |
Jac Caglianone Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 96% |
Jo Adell Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 98% |
Seth Lugo Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 91% | — |
Brayan Rocchio Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 99% |
Chase DeLauter Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 98% |
Steven Kwan Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 88% |
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs | 97% | — | — | 77% |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 86% | — |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 86% |
Parker Messick Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 86% | — |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 86% | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 84% | 79% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 90% | 68% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 77% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | — | 76% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 75% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 75% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 73% |
Parker Messick Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 81% | 64% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 72% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 70% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 70% |
Seth Lugo Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 69% | — |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 68% |
Seth Lugo Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 81% | 54% |
Nick Loftin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Isaac Collins Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Patrick Bailey Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 64% |
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 62% |
Travis Bazzana Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Brayan Rocchio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Matthew Lugo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Angel Martinez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Tyler Tolbert Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 58% |
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 58% |
Chase DeLauter Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 57% |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 57% |
Parker Messick Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 55% | 56% |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits | 54% | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 53% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 53% |
Jo Adell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Matthew Lugo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Nathaniel Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Nathaniel Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Angel Martinez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Parker Messick Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 48% | 47% |
Chase DeLauter Over 0.5 Home Runs | 80% | — | — | 14% |
Seth Lugo Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 2% | — | 47% | 50% |
Chase DeLauter Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Isaac Collins Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Tyler Tolbert Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Travis Bazzana Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 46% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | 46% |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 44% |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 44% |
Patrick Bailey Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 43% |
Nick Loftin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 40% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 0% | 40% |
Parker Messick Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 37% | 41% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 39% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 35% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 35% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 34% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 0% | 34% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 34% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | — | 51% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 33% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs | 32% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 32% | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 31% | — |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 31% |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits | 30% | — | — | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 0% | 30% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 0% | 29% |
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 29% | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 RBIs | 27% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 RBIs | 25% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 RBIs | 25% | — | — | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 23% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 23% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 10% | 36% |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 RBIs | 21% | — | — | — |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 17% | 25% |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits | 20% | — | — | — |
Nathaniel Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 18% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits | 18% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits | 18% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Total Bases | 16% | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Total Bases | 16% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 Hits | 15% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 14% |
Carter Jensen Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | — | — |
Parker Messick Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 14% | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Home Runs | 19% | — | — | 9% |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 16% | 12% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 7% | — | 14% | 11% |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 16% | 11% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits | 10% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 10% | 12% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 3.5 Total Bases | 9% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | — | — |
Travis Bazzana Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 9% |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 8% | 12% |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs | 2% | — | — | 12% |
Nick Loftin Over 0.5 Home Runs | 6% | — | 4% | 5% |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | 4% | — |
Seth Lugo Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | 4% | — |
Parker Messick Over 10.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Kansas City Royals | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Parker Messick Over 18.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Parker Messick Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Parker Messick Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Nick Loftin Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Parker Messick Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Seth Lugo Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Cleveland Guardians
99.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Kansas City wins the Kansas City vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Kansas City vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 30 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-30 at 1:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Cleveland Guardians: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Kansas City Royals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Cleveland Guardians at 99.4¢ implies about a 99.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.