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Live prediction market odds for Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Pittsburgh Pirates Wins: Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-18

This market resolved on 2026-09-18. Pittsburgh Pirates was the officially declared outcome.

About This Market

Kansas City Royals vs.

Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-18. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Konnor Griffin Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—99%—
Bryan Reynolds Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Konnor Griffin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Konnor Griffin Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Nick Gonzales Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Oneil Cruz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Salvador Perez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Paul Skenes Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—98%—
Randy Dobnak Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%—98%—
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Home Runs
——97%—
Nick Gonzales Under 0.5 Home Runs
——93%96%
Michael Massey Under 0.5 Home Runs
———94%
Konnor Griffin Under 0.5 Home Runs
——90%95%
Salvador Perez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%96%
Bryan Reynolds Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%95%
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%98%
Carter Jensen Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%90%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 2.5
——90%84%
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 0.5 Home Runs
——85%88%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5
88%86%1%34%
Brandon Lowe Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%85%
Total under 13.5
———85%
Brandon Lowe Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——84%—
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.5
——100%84%
Oneil Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%85%
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Home Runs
——83%—
Kansas City Royals spread plus 4.5
———83%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5
82%—93%20%
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%—
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%—
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%—
Brandon Lowe Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%—
Bryan Reynolds Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%—
Carter Jensen Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%—
Carter Jensen Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%—
Jac Caglianone Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%—
Nick Gonzales Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%—
Nick Gonzales Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%—
Nick Gonzales Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%—
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—81%—
Oneil Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—81%—
Oneil Cruz Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%—
Salvador Perez Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%—
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%—
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%—
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 3.5
———74%
Paul Skenes Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%—74%—
Paul Skenes Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——74%—
Total over 9.5
100%73%97%48%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 2.5
—53%100%93%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.0
———72%
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%61%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
70%—81%53%
Henry Davis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Paul Skenes Over 7.5 Strikeouts
34%—98%—
Isaac Collins Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Total over 7.0
———65%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 3.5
———63%
Michael Massey Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
John Rave Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Konnor Griffin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——62%61%
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—60%58%
Maikel Garcia Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—59%59%
Total under 9.0
———59%
Total over 7.5
99%45%100%71%
Total over 8.5
99%48%92%57%
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——51%63%
Paul Skenes Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——54%59%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.0
———56%
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——51%61%
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——52%60%
Ryan O'Hearn Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Spencer Horwitz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——49%60%
Randy Dobnak Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——54%54%
Total under 12.5
—69%—40%
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——48%60%
Total over 8.0
———54%
Jake Mangum Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Ryan O'Hearn Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Spencer Horwitz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——51%50%
Bryan Reynolds Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%—
Konnor Griffin Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%—
Konnor Griffin Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%—
Nick Gonzales Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%—
Randy Dobnak Over 7.5 Strikeouts
——50%—
Randy Dobnak Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——50%—
Total under 8.5
—52%0%47%
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——46%53%
Maikel Garcia Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Randy Dobnak Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%—46%50%
Total under 8.0
———48%
Total over 12.5
99%32%—63%
Total under 7.5
—55%0%40%
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——49%45%
John Rave Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.0
———46%
Michael Massey Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——41%51%
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——41%50%
Isaac Collins Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——40%49%
Paul Skenes Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—46%43%
Randy Dobnak Over 2.5 Strikeouts
1%—19%69%
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—30%58%
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——39%49%
Total over 9.0
———43%
Henry Davis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Konnor Griffin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——38%47%
Randy Dobnak Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——50%34%
Total under 7.0
———37%
Total under 11.5
———34%
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
45%—19%48%
Total under 5.5
———33%
Total under 6.5
———33%
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%—19%46%
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
44%—19%—
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
31%—99%—
Total under 10.5
———30%
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.0
———30%
Kansas City Royals spread minus 2.5
1%47%1%11%
Total under 9.5
—27%5%63%
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
20%—24%47%
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
25%—19%—
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 4.5
———21%
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%20%
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—20%—
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—18%21%
Total over 13.5
———19%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Brandon Lowe Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Brandon Lowe Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Bryan Reynolds Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%—19%—
Carter Jensen Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
29%—19%—
Jac Caglianone Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
18%—19%—
Konnor Griffin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Konnor Griffin Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Konnor Griffin Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Nick Gonzales Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Nick Gonzales Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Oneil Cruz Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Oneil Cruz Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Oneil Cruz Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%—19%—
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%—19%—
Carter Jensen Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%—19%—
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Home Runs
——100%16%
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—16%13%
Bryan Reynolds Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
14%—1%—
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.5
—14%5%15%
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—14%—
Carter Jensen Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%—19%—
Henry Davis Over 0.5 Home Runs
———12%
Total under 3.5
———12%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—19%11%
Ryan O'Hearn Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Home Runs
14%—5%17%
Michael Massey Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—13%8%
Konnor Griffin Over 0.5 Home Runs
——10%10%
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.5
1%—1%19%
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—19%10%
Maikel Garcia Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Salvador Perez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
5%—11%—
Spencer Horwitz Over 0.5 Home Runs
——10%5%
Nick Gonzales Over 0.5 Home Runs
——7%8%
Kyle Isbel Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Nick Loftin Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
John Rave Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Jac Caglianone Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——6%—
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—3%—
Paul Skenes Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——3%—
Randy Dobnak Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——3%—
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—3%—
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Brandon Lowe Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Konnor Griffin Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Konnor Griffin Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Randy Dobnak Over 0.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Salvador Perez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Salvador Perez Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Konnor Griffin Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Kansas City Royals
————
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs
————
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—1%—
Over 2.5 runs scored
————
Pittsburgh PiratesWINNER
————
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5
————
Total over 10.5
————
Total over 11.5
————
Total over 3.5
————
Total over 4.5
————
Total over 5.5
————
Total over 6.5
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms0
Candidates2
Winner

Kansas City Royals

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Kansas City wins the Kansas City vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Kansas City vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Kansas City Royals in Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for September 18 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Kansas City Royals vs Pittsburgh Pirates MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-18 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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