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Kansas City Royals vs.
Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-25
This market resolved on 2026-08-25. Kansas City Royals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Kansas City Royals vs.
Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Isaac Collins Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Kyle Isbel Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Max Scherzer Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Max Scherzer Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | 99% |
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 100% | 99% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Seth Lugo Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | 99% |
Kansas City RoyalsWINNER | 99% | 99% | 92% | 98% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases | 97% | — | — | — |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 100% | 95% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 93% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 92% |
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 87% |
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 91% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 91% |
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 99% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 90% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 100% | 88% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 85% |
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 84% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 99% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 99% |
Jac Caglianone Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 81% |
Kyle Isbel Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 80% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 80% |
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Nick Loftin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 80% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 79% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 78% |
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 77% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 75% | — | — | — |
Isaac Collins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 74% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 70% |
Max Scherzer Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 69% | — | — | — |
Jesus Sanchez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Max Scherzer Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 68% |
Nick Loftin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 67% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 65% |
Nick Loftin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Kyle Isbel Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Seth Lugo Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 63% |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Michael Massey Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 15% | 99% |
Salvador Perez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 14% | 99% |
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 15% |
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 55% | — | — | 50% |
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Seth Lugo Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 51% | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Michael Massey Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Kyle Isbel Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Nick Loftin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Jesus Sanchez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Max Scherzer Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 43% | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 43% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 42% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 39% | — | — | — |
Max Scherzer Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 39% | — | — | — |
Nick Loftin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 45% | — | — | 30% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs | 37% | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 37% |
Isaac Collins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 36% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs | 36% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 36% | — | — | — |
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 33% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 32% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 RBIs | 32% | — | — | — |
Kyle Isbel Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 30% |
Seth Lugo Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 29% | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 28% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits | 27% | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 26% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits | 26% | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 100% | 25% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 25% | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Hits | 23% | — | — | — |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 23% |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 21% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 21% | — | — | — |
Michael Massey Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Total Bases | 19% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 17% | 99% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 17% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 16% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 100% | 16% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 16% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 10% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 8% | — | 20% | — |
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 13% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
Nick Loftin Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 6% |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 14% | 11% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 12% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 18% | 6% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 15% | 8% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 11% |
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 11% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 11% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | — |
Michael Massey Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 11% | 99% |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 17% | 5% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 20% | — |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 10% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 100% | 10% |
Max Scherzer Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 10% | — | — | — |
Michael Massey Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 11% | 9% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 9% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 9% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 9% |
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 8% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Toronto Blue Jays | 1% | 2% | 8% | 10% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 18% | 7% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits | 7% | — | — | — |
Kyle Isbel Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 10% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Max Scherzer Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 6% | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Isaac Collins Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 4% |
Seth Lugo Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 3.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Max Scherzer Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Max Scherzer Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Max Scherzer Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Max Scherzer Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 5.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Max Scherzer Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
Max Scherzer Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
Seth Lugo Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
Seth Lugo Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Kansas City Royals
96.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Toronto wins the Kansas City vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Kansas City vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 25 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-25 at 7:07PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Kansas City Royals: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 91.5¢ on Polymarket, 98.1¢ on ProphetX, 98.5¢ on Polymarket US; Toronto Blue Jays: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 7.5¢ on Polymarket, 10.1¢ on ProphetX, 1.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 9.1 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Kansas City Royals at 96.8¢ implies about a 96.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.