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Live prediction market odds for Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Kansas City Royals Wins: Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-25

This market resolved on 2026-08-25. Kansas City Royals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.

About This Market

Kansas City Royals vs.

Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Isaac Collins Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Kyle Isbel Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Max Scherzer Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Seth Lugo Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Seth Lugo Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Total under 11.5
———99%
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Max Scherzer Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%99%
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 3.5
———99%
Total under 10.5
———99%
Total under 12.5
———99%
Total under 8.5
——100%99%
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Seth Lugo Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%99%
Kansas City RoyalsWINNER
99%99%92%98%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases
97%———
Kansas City Royals spread minus 2.5
1%—100%95%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5
———93%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 4.5
———92%
Total over 4.5
99%——92%
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%87%
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs
———91%
Total under 9.0
———91%
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.5
——0%90%
Total under 7.5
——100%88%
Total under 8.0
———85%
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——84%
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Jac Caglianone Under 0.5 Home Runs
———81%
Kyle Isbel Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———80%
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———80%
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Nick Loftin Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Total under 6.5
———80%
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.5
99%—100%79%
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———78%
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———77%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
75%———
Isaac Collins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———74%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.0
———70%
Max Scherzer Over 4.5 Strikeouts
69%———
Jesus Sanchez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Max Scherzer Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%68%
Nick Loftin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Total under 5.5
———67%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.0
———65%
Nick Loftin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Kyle Isbel Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Seth Lugo Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%63%
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Michael Massey Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs
——15%99%
Salvador Perez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——14%99%
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs
——96%15%
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
55%——50%
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Seth Lugo Over 2.5 Earned Runs
51%———
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Michael Massey Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Kyle Isbel Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Nick Loftin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Jesus Sanchez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Max Scherzer Over 2.5 Earned Runs
43%———
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0
———43%
Total over 5.5
99%——42%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
39%———
Max Scherzer Over 5.5 Strikeouts
39%———
Nick Loftin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———38%
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
45%——30%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs
37%———
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0
———37%
Isaac Collins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———36%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs
36%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
36%———
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———33%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——32%
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 RBIs
32%———
Kyle Isbel Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———30%
Seth Lugo Over 6.5 Strikeouts
29%———
Total over 6.5
99%——28%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits
27%———
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5
———26%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits
26%———
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5
——100%25%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
25%———
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Hits
23%———
Total over 8.0
———23%
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Home Runs
———21%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
21%———
Michael Massey Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5
———19%
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Total Bases
19%———
Carter Jensen Under 0.5 Home Runs
——17%99%
Total over 7.5
99%—100%17%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5
1%—0%16%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5
——100%16%
Total over 9.0
———16%
Total under 4.5
———16%
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%10%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
8%—20%—
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs
———13%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs
13%———
Nick Loftin Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%6%
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——14%11%
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 RBIs
12%———
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%———
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%12%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—18%6%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs
——15%8%
Kansas City Royals spread minus 4.5
———11%
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%11%
Total over 10.5
1%——11%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
11%———
Michael Massey Under 0.5 Home Runs
——11%99%
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Home Runs
——17%5%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—20%—
Total over 11.5
1%——10%
Total over 8.5
1%—100%10%
Max Scherzer Over 6.5 Strikeouts
10%———
Michael Massey Over 0.5 Home Runs
——11%9%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5
1%—0%9%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5
1%——9%
Total over 9.5
1%—0%9%
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Total over 12.5
1%——8%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits
8%———
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Toronto Blue Jays
1%2%8%10%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—18%7%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits
7%———
Kyle Isbel Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——10%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Max Scherzer Over 7.5 Strikeouts
6%———
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 2.5 Hits
6%———
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Isaac Collins Over 0.5 Home Runs
———4%
Seth Lugo Over 7.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases
2%———
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Total Bases
2%———
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 4.5 Total Bases
2%———
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Total Bases
2%———
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 3.5 Total Bases
2%———
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 4.5 Total Bases
2%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits
2%———
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
1%———
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits
1%———
Max Scherzer Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Seth Lugo Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Seth Lugo Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Max Scherzer Over 1.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Max Scherzer Over 3.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Max Scherzer Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Seth Lugo Over 1.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Seth Lugo Over 3.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Seth Lugo Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Seth Lugo Over 5.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
0%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs
0%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Total Bases
0%———
Kansas City Royals spread plus 2.5
——0%99%
Max Scherzer Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%—
Max Scherzer Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%—
Seth Lugo Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%—
Seth Lugo Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%—
Total under 9.5
——0%99%

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread9.1%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Kansas City Royals

96.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Toronto wins the Kansas City vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Kansas City vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 25 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-25 at 7:07PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Kansas City Royals: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 91.5¢ on Polymarket, 98.1¢ on ProphetX, 98.5¢ on Polymarket US; Toronto Blue Jays: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 7.5¢ on Polymarket, 10.1¢ on ProphetX, 1.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 9.1 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Kansas City Royals at 96.8¢ implies about a 96.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available