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Kansas City Royals vs.
Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-27. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-27
This market resolved on 2026-08-27. Kansas City Royals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 85%.
Kansas City Royals vs.
Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-27. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Spencer Arrighetti Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Spencer Arrighetti Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
George Springer Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
George Springer Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
George Springer Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
George Springer Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Noah Cameron Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Noah Cameron Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Spencer Arrighetti Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Spencer Arrighetti Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Spencer Arrighetti Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 99% |
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Nick Loftin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 98% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 97% |
Salvador Perez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 97% |
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 93% | 99% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 94% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 96% | 89% |
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 96% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 90% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 89% |
Jac Caglianone Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 95% |
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 93% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 87% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 86% |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 86% | — | — | — |
Kansas City RoyalsWINNER | 99% | 51% | 83% | 88% |
Carter Jensen Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 85% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.5 | 98% | — | 62% | 78% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 2.5 | 98% | — | 47% | 74% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 71% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 69% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 67% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 66% |
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Nick Loftin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Isaac Collins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Spencer Arrighetti Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 62% |
Kyle Isbel Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 61% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 55% | 67% |
Noah Cameron Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 60% | 61% |
Michael Massey Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 61% | 60% |
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Noah Cameron Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 60% | — |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 71% | — | — | 48% |
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 59% | — |
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs | 99% | — | — | 59% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 94% | 23% |
Charles McAdoo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 58% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 57% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 54% |
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% |
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 51% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 23% | 78% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Michael Massey Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Noah Cameron Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 48% | — |
Charles McAdoo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 53% | 38% |
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Nick Loftin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 45% | 45% |
Noah Cameron Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 44% | — | — | — |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 44% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 44% |
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Isaac Collins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Kyle Isbel Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 42% |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 41% | — |
Noah Cameron Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 40% | 41% |
Noah Cameron Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 41% | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 11% | 69% |
Spencer Arrighetti Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 40% | 40% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 27% | 50% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 30% | — | — | 47% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | — | 38% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 34% | 40% |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 35% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | 54% |
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 34% | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 23% | 27% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 21% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 18% |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 17% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 17% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 17% | 16% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 15% | 17% |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 18% | 16% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Toronto Blue Jays | 2% | 50% | 17% | 14% |
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 15% | 15% |
George Springer Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 13% | — |
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits | 12% | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 12% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits | 11% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 7% | — | — | 14% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 11% | 11% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 7% | 13% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits | 10% | — | — | — |
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 8% | 11% |
Nick Loftin Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Isaac Collins Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Kyle Isbel Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | 7% |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
George Springer Over 2.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 2.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — |
Spencer Arrighetti Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Spencer Arrighetti Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 1% | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 3% | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 2% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Noah Cameron Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 3.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Spencer Arrighetti Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Spencer Arrighetti Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Noah Cameron Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Noah Cameron Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Collins Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Kyle Isbel Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Kansas City Royals
80.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Toronto wins the Kansas City vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Kansas City vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 27 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-27 at 7:07PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Kansas City Royals: 98.5¢ on Kalshi, 82.5¢ on Polymarket, 88.5¢ on ProphetX, 50.5¢ on Polymarket US; Toronto Blue Jays: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 17.0¢ on Polymarket, 13.9¢ on ProphetX, 49.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 48.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Kansas City Royals at 80.0¢ implies about a 80.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.