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Live prediction market odds for Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Kansas City Royals Wins: Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-27

This market resolved on 2026-08-27. Kansas City Royals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 85%.

About This Market

Kansas City Royals vs.

Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-27. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Spencer Arrighetti Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Spencer Arrighetti Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Carter Jensen Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
George Springer Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
George Springer Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
George Springer Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
George Springer Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 Hits
99%———
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jac Caglianone Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jac Caglianone Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Noah Cameron Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Noah Cameron Over 1.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Spencer Arrighetti Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Spencer Arrighetti Over 1.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Spencer Arrighetti Over 2.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——98%99%
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Nick Loftin Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%98%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%97%
Salvador Perez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——95%97%
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs
——93%99%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——90%99%
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%94%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.5
——96%89%
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%96%
Total over 6.5
99%——90%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 4.5
———89%
Total over 5.5
99%——89%
Jac Caglianone Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%95%
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Home Runs
——88%—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs
——83%93%
Total over 4.5
99%——87%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 3.5
———86%
Over 12.5 runs scored
86%———
Kansas City RoyalsWINNER
99%51%83%88%
Carter Jensen Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%85%
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.5
98%—62%78%
Kansas City Royals spread minus 2.5
98%—47%74%
Total under 10.5
———71%
Total under 11.5
———69%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5
———67%
Total over 8.0
———66%
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Nick Loftin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Isaac Collins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Spencer Arrighetti Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%62%
Kyle Isbel Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.0
———61%
Total under 9.5
——55%67%
Noah Cameron Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——60%61%
Michael Massey Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Total over 8.5
99%—61%60%
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Noah Cameron Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——60%—
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
71%——48%
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——59%—
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs
99%——59%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5
1%—94%23%
Charles McAdoo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0
———58%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——57%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——54%
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5
———51%
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 2.5
——23%78%
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Michael Massey Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Noah Cameron Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%—48%—
Charles McAdoo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5
——53%38%
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Nick Loftin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Total over 9.5
99%—45%45%
Noah Cameron Over 2.5 Earned Runs
44%———
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.0
———44%
Kansas City Royals spread minus 4.5
———44%
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Isaac Collins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Kyle Isbel Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Total under 8.0
———42%
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—41%—
Noah Cameron Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—40%41%
Noah Cameron Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—41%—
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0
———40%
Total over 7.5
99%—11%69%
Spencer Arrighetti Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——40%40%
Total under 8.5
——27%50%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
30%——47%
Total over 10.5
99%——38%
Total under 7.5
——34%40%
Total over 11.5
99%——35%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%——54%
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
34%———
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5
——23%27%
Total under 5.5
———21%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
20%———
Salvador Perez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%———
Kazuma Okamoto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
18%———
Total under 6.5
———18%
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%17%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5
1%——17%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—17%16%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%———
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5
1%—15%17%
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—18%16%
Total under 4.5
———16%
Toronto Blue Jays
2%50%17%14%
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—15%15%
George Springer Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
15%———
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Home Runs
———14%
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—13%—
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits
12%———
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5
———12%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits
11%———
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
7%——14%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%—11%11%
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—7%13%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits
10%———
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%11%
Nick Loftin Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Isaac Collins Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits
6%———
Kyle Isbel Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs
——2%7%
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits
4%———
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
George Springer Over 2.5 Hits
3%———
Kazuma Okamoto Over 2.5 Hits
3%———
Spencer Arrighetti Over 3.5 Earned Runs
3%———
Spencer Arrighetti Over 4.5 Earned Runs
3%———
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs
5%—1%—
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—3%—
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits
2%———
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—2%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits
2%———
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Noah Cameron Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits
1%———
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Hits
1%———
Carter Jensen Over 3.5 Hits
1%———
Carter Jensen Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Spencer Arrighetti Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Spencer Arrighetti Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Noah Cameron Over 3.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Noah Cameron Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Salvador Perez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Isaac Collins Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Kyle Isbel Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread48.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Kansas City Royals

80.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Toronto wins the Kansas City vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Kansas City vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 27 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-27 at 7:07PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Kansas City Royals: 98.5¢ on Kalshi, 82.5¢ on Polymarket, 88.5¢ on ProphetX, 50.5¢ on Polymarket US; Toronto Blue Jays: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 17.0¢ on Polymarket, 13.9¢ on ProphetX, 49.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 48.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Kansas City Royals at 80.0¢ implies about a 80.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available