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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Washington Nationals Wins: Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-12

This market resolved on 2026-09-12. Washington Nationals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 92%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Andrew Alvarez Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs	99%	—	—	—	—
Andrew Alvarez Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—	—
Andrew Alvarez Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—	—
Andrew Alvarez Over 6.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—	—
Andrew Alvarez Over 7.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—	—
James Wood Over 0.5 Stolen Bases	99%	—	—	—	—
Vaughn Grissom Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	—	—	—
Walbert Urena Over 1.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—	—
Walbert Urena Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs	99%	—	—	—	—
Walbert Urena Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—	—
Walbert Urena Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—	—
Walbert Urena Over 5.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—	—
Walbert Urena Over 6.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Stolen Bases	98%	—	—	—	—
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Stolen Bases	98%	—	—	—	—
James Wood Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	97%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	—	89%
Washington Nationals spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	89%
Mike Trout Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	85%
Washington Nationals spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	83%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.5	—	—	67%	79%	82%
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 1.5	—	—	64%	84%	78%
Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	69%	82%
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 2.5	—	—	74%	93%	28%
Washington NationalsWINNER	99%	49%	92%	100%	74%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	71%
Total under 7.0	—	—	—	—	71%
Total under 8.5	—	—	62%	0%	78%
Total under 9.5	—	—	66%	0%	72%
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	—	69%
Andrew Alvarez Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—	67%
Yohandy Morales Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	66%
Total under 12.5	—	—	60%	—	72%
Andrew Alvarez Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	65%
Washington Nationals spread minus 3.5	1%	—	—	—	65%
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
Christian Moore Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Denzer Guzman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Jose Siri Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
Moises Ballesteros Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 4.5	—	—	58%	—	67%
Travis d'Arnaud Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	60%
Total under 7.5	—	—	54%	0%	66%
Andrew Alvarez Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	59%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	58%
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	57%
Total under 9.0	—	—	—	—	57%
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	56%
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	56%
Mike Trout Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	55%
Walbert Urena Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—	55%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	54%
James Wood Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	53%
Total over 6.5	100%	—	62%	—	45%
Brady House Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	53%
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	—	52%
Walbert Urena Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	51%
Vaughn Grissom Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	51%
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	51%
Kyren Paris Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	50%
Vaughn Grissom Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	50%
Travis d'Arnaud Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	50%
Total under 6.5	—	—	38%	—	60%
Jorbit Vivas Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	49%
Zach Neto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	49%
Total over 9.0	—	—	—	—	48%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	47%
Moises Ballesteros Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Andrew Alvarez Over 5.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—	45%
Total over 11.5	1%	—	—	—	45%
Total over 12.5	1%	—	56%	—	32%
Yohandy Morales Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	44%
Total over 7.5	100%	—	47%	100%	37%
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	39%
Washington Nationals spread minus 4.5	—	—	43%	—	36%
Los Angeles Angels	1%	52%	8%	0%	36%
Total over 7.0	—	—	—	—	34%
Total over 8.5	99%	—	39%	100%	29%
Los Angeles Angels spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	33%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.5	1%	—	36%	16%	33%
Total over 9.5	100%	—	34%	100%	32%
Los Angeles Angels spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	31%	22%
Los Angeles Angels spread minus 1.5	3%	—	33%	21%	29%
Los Angeles A wins by over 3.5 runs	1%	—	—	—	21%
Walbert Urena Over 7.5 Strikeouts	19%	—	—	—	—
Jose Siri Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—	19%
Total under 4.5	—	—	—	—	17%
Washington Nationals spread minus 2.5	4%	—	26%	7%	77%
Los Angeles Angels spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	15%
Total over 10.5	99%	—	—	—	15%
Zach Neto Over 0.5 Stolen Bases	14%	—	—	—	—
Zach Neto Over 0.5 Home Runs	6%	—	—	—	18%
Total under 3.5	—	—	—	—	12%
Mike Trout Over 0.5 Home Runs	6%	—	—	—	18%
Dylan Crews Over 0.5 Home Runs	6%	—	—	—	15%
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Home Runs	5%	—	—	—	15%
Keibert Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs	8%	—	—	—	12%
James Wood Over 0.5 Home Runs	7%	—	—	—	13%
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	—	15%
Kyren Paris Over 0.5 Home Runs	5%	—	—	—	11%
Abimelec Ortiz Over 0.5 Home Runs	4%	—	—	—	12%
Brady House Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	—	12%
Christian Moore Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	—	10%
Mike Trout Over 0.5 Stolen Bases	5%	—	—	—	—
Walbert Urena Over 8.5 Strikeouts	5%	—	—	—	—
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—	—
Denzer Guzman Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—	—
Andrew Alvarez Over 8.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—	—
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—	—
James Wood Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—	—
Mike Trout Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—	—
Zach Neto Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—	—
Abimelec Ortiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Andrew Alvarez Over 0.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Andrew Alvarez Over 1.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Andrew Alvarez Over 2.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Andrew Alvarez Over 3.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Brady House Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Christian Moore Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Daylen Lile Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Daylen Lile Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Denzer Guzman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
James Wood Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
James Wood Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
James Wood Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
James Wood Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
James Wood Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
James Wood Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
James Wood Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
James Wood Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
James Wood Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
James Wood Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jose Siri Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Kyren Paris Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Mike Trout Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Mike Trout Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Mike Trout Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Mike Trout Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Mike Trout Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Mike Trout Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Mike Trout Over 1.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Mike Trout Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Mike Trout Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Mike Trout Over 2.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Mike Trout Over 3.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Mike Trout Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Mike Trout Over 3.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Mike Trout Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Mike Trout Over 4.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 4.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 5.5	—	—	—	—	—
Walbert Urena Over 0.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Walbert Urena Over 1.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Walbert Urena Over 2.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Walbert Urena Over 3.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Walbert Urena Over 4.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Neto Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Neto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Neto Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Neto Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Neto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Neto Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Neto Over 1.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Neto Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Neto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Neto Over 2.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Neto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Neto Over 3.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Neto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Neto Over 4.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Los Angeles A wins the Los Angeles A vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Los Angeles A vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Los Angeles Angels in Los Angeles Angels @ Washington Nationals (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Washington Nationals, scheduled for September 12 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Los Angeles Angels vs Washington Nationals MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-12 at 4:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Washington Nationals: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 73.7¢ on ProphetX, 48.5¢ on Polymarket US, 92.0¢ on Novig; Los Angeles Angels: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 35.9¢ on ProphetX, 51.5¢ on Polymarket US, 8.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 51.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Washington Nationals at 82.6¢ implies about a 82.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Washington Nationals Wins: Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET)

Washington Nationals Wins: Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Washington Nationals Wins: Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET)

Washington Nationals Wins: Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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