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Miami Marlins vs.
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-14. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-14
This market resolved on 2026-08-14. Cincinnati Reds was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 87%.
Miami Marlins vs.
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-14. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Chase Burns Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Dane Myers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Graham Pauley Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Javier Sanoja Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Joe Mack Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Michael Toglia Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Noelvi Marte Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Owen Caissie Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Tyler Stephenson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 97% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 97% | — | — | — |
Esteury Ruiz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 96% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 96% | 94% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 98% | 91% |
Sandy Alcantara Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 94% |
Hector Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 93% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Sal Stewart Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 99% |
Eugenio Suarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 98% |
Elly De La Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 99% |
JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 99% |
Griffin Conine Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 98% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 81% | 98% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 87% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 81% | 92% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 84% | 87% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 85% |
Owen Caissie Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 83% |
Total under 2.5 | — | — | — | 82% |
Chase Burns Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 82% | — |
Cincinnati RedsWINNER | 99% | 71% | 81% | 93% |
Joe Mack Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 79% |
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 78% |
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 78% |
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 77% |
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 76% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 75% |
Graham Pauley Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 73% |
Noelvi Marte Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 73% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 73% | 70% |
Dane Myers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 71% |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Dane Myers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Chase Burns Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 67% | — |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 66% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 66% |
Griffin Conine Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Noelvi Marte Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 42% | 85% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 63% |
Hector Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Sandy Alcantara Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 57% | 59% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Michael Toglia Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Michael Toglia Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Chase Burns Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 53% | 51% |
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 50% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 47% | 52% |
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Noelvi Marte Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Sandy Alcantara Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 49% |
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Esteury Ruiz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Hector Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Dane Myers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Sandy Alcantara Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 43% | 44% |
Michael Toglia Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 58% | 26% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 39% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 39% |
Owen Caissie Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Dane Myers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Graham Pauley Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 37% |
Noelvi Marte Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 35% |
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 34% |
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 33% |
Chase Burns Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 33% | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 33% | — | — | — |
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 32% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 27% | 35% |
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 31% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | 60% |
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 30% |
Total over 2.5 | 1% | — | — | 29% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 26% |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | — | 24% |
Total over 4.5 | 1% | — | — | 22% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 22% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 20% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 16% | 22% |
Chase Burns Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 19% | — | — | — |
Miami Marlins | 1% | 30% | 19% | 9% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 19% | 18% |
Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 18% |
Chase Burns Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 18% | — |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | — | 17% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 19% | 13% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 15% |
Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 17% | 10% |
Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 16% | 10% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 12% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 17% | 7% |
JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 17% | 7% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 2% | 21% |
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 16% | 7% |
Graham Pauley Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 4% | 17% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Michael Toglia Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Tyler Stephenson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Dane Myers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Owen Caissie Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Noelvi Marte Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Otto Lopez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Xavier Edwards Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Over 10.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Griffin Conine Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Hector Rodriguez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Joe Mack Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Matt McLain Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Sandy Alcantara Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Sandy Alcantara Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Hector Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Joe Mack Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Matt McLain Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Xavier Edwards Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Cincinnati Reds
85.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Cincinnati wins the Miami vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 6:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Miami vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 6:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for August 14 at 6:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-14 at 6:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Cincinnati Reds: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 81.0¢ on Polymarket, 92.7¢ on ProphetX, 70.5¢ on Polymarket US; Miami Marlins: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 19.0¢ on Polymarket, 9.3¢ on ProphetX, 29.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 28.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Cincinnati Reds at 85.8¢ implies about a 85.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.