About This Market
Miami Marlins vs.
Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-02. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-02
This market resolved on 2026-09-02. Miami Marlins was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Miami Marlins vs.
Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-02. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Agustin Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 100% |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Eury Perez Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Noah Cameron Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Noah Cameron Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Noah Cameron Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 99% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Carter Jensen Over 3.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Carter Jensen Over 4.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 51% | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Noah Cameron Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 98% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 98% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 98% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 100% | 98% |
Carter Jensen Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 98% |
Javier Sanoja Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 97% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 96% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | — | 95% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 94% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 100% | 94% |
Salvador Perez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 93% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 92% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 88% |
Kyle Stowers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 87% |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 83% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 86% |
Jac Caglianone Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 85% |
Noah Cameron Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 81% | — |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 81% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 80% |
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Total over 12.5 | 99% | — | — | 78% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 78% |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 78% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 65% |
Isaac Collins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Kyle Isbel Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Eury Perez Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 1% | 61% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 61% |
Brian Navarreto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | 59% |
Josh Rojas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 67% |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 58% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 58% |
Esteury Ruiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Leo Jimenez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 64% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Nick Loftin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 61% |
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 99% | 55% |
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 55% |
Noah Cameron Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 54% |
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 54% |
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 57% |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | 55% |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | 54% |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | 52% |
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 53% |
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 52% |
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits | 51% | — | — | — |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 1% | 51% |
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 51% |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 50% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Salvador Perez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Brian Navarreto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 50% | 50% |
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 49% |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 47% |
Miami MarlinsWINNER | 99% | 48% | 100% | 100% |
Noah Cameron Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 48% |
Jac Caglianone Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 45% | — | 50% | — |
Nick Loftin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 44% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 47% |
Josh Rojas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 43% |
Isaac Collins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Leo Jimenez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 46% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 39% | — | 49% | — |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 44% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 43% |
Kyle Isbel Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 41% |
Jac Caglianone Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 30% | — | 49% | — |
Salvador Perez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 30% | — | 49% | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs | 37% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits | 37% | — | — | — |
Noah Cameron Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | 36% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 21% | — | 49% | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits | 33% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Total Bases | 32% | — | — | — |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 31% |
Kansas City Royals | 1% | 52% | 0% | 4% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 0% | 26% |
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Hits | 26% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits | 26% | — | — | — |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 24% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 0% | 24% |
Eury Perez Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | 43% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Total Bases | 23% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 22% |
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 21% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 21% |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | 21% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | 20% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | — |
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Eury Perez Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 19% | — |
Noah Cameron Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 19% | — |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 19% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 18% |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 16% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs | 15% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 RBIs | 15% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | 50% | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 Hits | 14% | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 14% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 0% | 13% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 4.5 Total Bases | 12% | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 5% | — | 19% | — |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 11% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 11% |
Otto Lopez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 10% |
Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 9% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 9% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 0% | 9% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 8% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits | 7% | — | — | — |
Agustin Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 7% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 6% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 5.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Noah Cameron Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 5% | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 RBIs | 4% | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | 1% | — |
Eury Perez Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 0% | — |
Eury Perez Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Noah Cameron Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Noah Cameron Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Noah Cameron Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Noah Cameron Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Leo Jimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Leo Jimenez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 1% | — |
Josh Rojas Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Leo Jimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Leo Jimenez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Miami Marlins
86.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Kansas City wins the Miami vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Miami vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for September 2 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Miami Marlins vs Kansas City Royals MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-02 at 7:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Miami Marlins: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.6¢ on ProphetX, 48.0¢ on Polymarket US; Kansas City Royals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 4.1¢ on ProphetX, 52.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 51.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Miami Marlins at 86.6¢ implies about a 86.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.