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Live prediction market odds for Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Kansas City Royals Wins: Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-03

This market resolved on 2026-09-03. Kansas City Royals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 86%.

About This Market

Miami Marlins vs.

Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-03. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Kansas City Royals spread plus 2.5
——100%100%
Total under 11.5
———99%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 3.5
———99%
Total over 9.5
100%—100%98%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.5
——100%97%
Total under 10.5
———97%
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.5
100%—100%95%
Javier Sanoja Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%95%
Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%94%
Kansas City Royals spread minus 2.5
100%—99%94%
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%92%
Salvador Perez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%89%
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 0.5 Home Runs
——86%100%
Jac Caglianone Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%100%
Carter Jensen Under 0.5 Home Runs
——79%84%
Heriberto Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%81%
Total over 7.5
99%—100%79%
Michael Wacha Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——77%—
Kansas City RoyalsWINNER
100%75%73%98%
Kyle Stowers Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%68%
Michael Wacha Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——50%66%
Graham Pauley Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Total over 8.5
100%—100%60%
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%60%
Joe Mack Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Owen Caissie Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%59%
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.0
———59%
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——0%58%
Michael Massey Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%56%
Griffin Conine Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.0
———54%
Total over 9.0
———54%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.0
———54%
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——0%53%
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%51%
Sandy Alcantara Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——50%50%
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%49%
Michael Wacha Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——47%50%
Michael Massey Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Total under 9.0
———48%
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%47%
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%47%
Owen Caissie Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%47%
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——100%47%
Graham Pauley Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Joe Mack Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.0
———43%
Miami Marlins spread plus 3.5
———42%
Graham Pauley Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Total under 8.5
——100%41%
Total under 9.5
——53%26%
Total under 7.5
——100%31%
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——100%26%
Miami Marlins
1%26%27%5%
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Home Runs
———19%
Owen Caissie Over 0.5 Home Runs
———17%
Miami Marlins spread minus 2.5
1%—100%15%
Otto Lopez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———15%
Graham Pauley Over 0.5 Home Runs
———15%
Miami Marlins spread plus 2.5
——99%14%
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.5
——100%14%
Total under 6.5
———14%
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Home Runs
——14%13%
Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Home Runs
———12%
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Isaac Collins Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.5
1%—100%7%
Kyle Isbel Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Michael Wacha Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Sandy Alcantara Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Michael Wacha Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Nick Loftin Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Nick Loftin Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Sandy Alcantara Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits
————
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits
————
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases
————
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits
————
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Total Bases
————
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits
————
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Total Bases
————
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 4.5 Total Bases
————
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits
————
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits
————
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Total Bases
————
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Hits
————
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Total Bases
————
Carter Jensen Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Carter Jensen Over 3.5 Total Bases
————
Carter Jensen Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Carter Jensen Over 4.5 Total Bases
————
Carter Jensen Over 5.5 Total Bases
————
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Hits
————
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits
————
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Total Bases
————
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 Hits
————
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 RBIs
————
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 Total Bases
————
Jac Caglianone Over 3.5 Hits
————
Jac Caglianone Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Jac Caglianone Over 3.5 Total Bases
————
Jac Caglianone Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Jac Caglianone Over 4.5 Total Bases
————
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs
————
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits
————
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits
————
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits
————
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Kyle Stowers Over 3.5 Hits
————
Kyle Stowers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Kyle Stowers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Miami Marlins spread minus 3.5
————
Michael Wacha Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
————
Michael Wacha Over 2.5 Strikeouts
————
Michael Wacha Over 3.5 Strikeouts
————
Michael Wacha Over 4.5 Strikeouts
————
Michael Wacha Over 5.5 Strikeouts
————
Michael Wacha Over 6.5 Strikeouts
————
Michael Wacha Over 7.5 Strikeouts
————
Michael Wacha Over 8.5 Strikeouts
————
Nick Loftin Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Nick Loftin Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Over 12.5 runs scored
————
Over 2.5 runs scored
————
Over 3.5 runs scored
————
Over 4.5 runs scored
————
Over 5.5 runs scored
————
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits
————
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits
————
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 Hits
————
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Salvador Perez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Salvador Perez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Sandy Alcantara Over 1.5 Strikeouts
————
Sandy Alcantara Over 18.5 Pitcher Outs
————
Sandy Alcantara Over 2.5 Strikeouts
————
Sandy Alcantara Over 3.5 Strikeouts
————
Sandy Alcantara Over 4.5 Strikeouts
————
Sandy Alcantara Over 5.5 Strikeouts
————
Sandy Alcantara Over 6.5 Strikeouts
————
Sandy Alcantara Over 7.5 Strikeouts
————
Sandy Alcantara Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——50%—
Sandy Alcantara Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——50%—
Total over 10.5
————
Total over 11.5
————
Total over 6.5
————
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Home Runs
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread26.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Kansas City Royals

86.4% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Kansas City wins the Miami vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Miami vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for September 3 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Miami Marlins vs Kansas City Royals MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-03 at 7:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Kansas City Royals: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 73.0¢ on Polymarket, 98.5¢ on ProphetX, 74.5¢ on Polymarket US; Miami Marlins: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 27.0¢ on Polymarket, 5.4¢ on ProphetX, 25.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 26.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals (7:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Kansas City Royals at 86.4¢ implies about a 86.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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