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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

San Diego Padres Wins: Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-18

This market resolved on 2026-09-18. San Diego Padres was the officially declared outcome.

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms

Candidate
Dustin Harris Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	98%
Griffin Conine Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	98%
Nick Pivetta Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	98%	—
Nick Pivetta Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	98%	—
Tyler Phillips Over 6.5 Strikeouts	4%	—	98%	—
Ty France Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	97%
Jackson Merrill Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	96%
San Diego Padres spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	96%
Jake Cronenworth Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	91%	98%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	94%
Xavier Edwards Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	93%	—
Kyle Stowers Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	92%
Agustin Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	91%
San Diego Padres spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	91%
Manny Machado Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	83%	96%
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	87%	91%
Miami Marlins spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	88%
San Diego Padres spread minus 5.5	—	—	—	88%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	89%
San Diego Padres spread plus 2.5	—	—	84%	84%
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	83%
Heriberto Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	79%	83%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	77%
Miami Marlins spread plus 2.5	—	—	64%	87%
Nick Pivetta Over 5.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	98%	47%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.5	—	—	76%	69%
San Diego Padres spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	67%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	66%
Total over 4.5	99%	—	—	65%
Jake Cronenworth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	63%
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	63%
Samad Taylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	63%
Ethan Salas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	63%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	63%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	70%	—	50%	63%
Tyler Phillips Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	74%	50%
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	61%
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	60%
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	59%
Xander Bogaerts Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	59%
Total under 8.5	—	58%	59%	84%
Ty France Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	58%
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	65%
Xavier Edwards Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	65%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	57%
Total under 6.5	—	—	39%	76%
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	64%
Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	63%
Luis Campusano Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	63%
Total under 5.5	—	55%	—	58%
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	62%
Dustin Harris Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	56%
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	56%
Joe Mack Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	55%
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.5	—	55%	54%	77%
Total under 7.0	—	—	—	55%
Agustin Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	59%
Dustin Harris Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	53%
Ty France Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	52%
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	53%
Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	52%	—
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	51%
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	51%	—
Total over 7.5	99%	50%	51%	59%
Agustin Ramirez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	51%
Xander Bogaerts Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%
Total over 7.0	—	—	—	50%
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Agustin Ramirez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Agustin Ramirez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Agustin Ramirez Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	50%	—
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Heriberto Hernandez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Heriberto Hernandez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Heriberto Hernandez Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Jake Cronenworth Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Jake Cronenworth Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Jake Cronenworth Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Jakob Marsee Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Jakob Marsee Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Jakob Marsee Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Jakob Marsee Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Kyle Stowers Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Kyle Stowers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Kyle Stowers Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Kyle Stowers Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	9%	—	50%	57%
Nick Pivetta Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	50%	—
Otto Lopez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Xavier Edwards Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Griffin Conine Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	49%
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	49%	—
Total under 7.5	—	50%	49%	43%
Nick Pivetta Over 4.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	30%	68%
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	49%
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	47%
Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	47%
Luis Campusano Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	46%
Xavier Edwards Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	46%
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	8%	—	50%	48%
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	48%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	50%	45%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	45%
Total over 5.5	99%	46%	—	49%
Jake Cronenworth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	47%
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	47%
Samad Taylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	47%
Total under 4.5	—	—	—	47%
Ethan Salas Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	46%
Total over 6.5	99%	—	62%	29%
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	40%
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.5	99%	45%	47%	36%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	45%
Nick Pivetta Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	42%	45%
Total over 8.5	99%	42%	42%	34%
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	40%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	30%	—	50%	—
Tyler Phillips Over 3.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	26%	51%
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	23%	—	50%	—
Total under 3.5	—	—	—	35%
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	20%	—	50%	—
Miami Marlins spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	35%
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	12%	—	99%	57%
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	18%	—	50%	—
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	16%	—	50%	—
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	16%	—	50%	—
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	16%	—	50%	—
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	—	50%	—
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	—	50%	—
Kyle Stowers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	—	50%	—
Nick Pivetta Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	2%	61%
Kyle Stowers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	12%	—	50%	—
San Diego Padres spread minus 2.5	99%	—	37%	24%
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	9%	—	50%	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	7%	—	50%	—
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.5	2%	—	24%	30%
Total over 10.5	1%	—	—	27%
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	2%	—	50%	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	21%	—
Total over 11.5	1%	—	—	20%
Miami Marlins spread minus 2.5	1%	—	17%	22%
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Home Runs	17%	—	18%	—
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Home Runs	20%	—	17%	9%
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Home Runs	15%	—	18%	—
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	18%	16%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	20%	10%
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	20%	10%
Miami Marlins spread plus 5.5	—	—	—	15%
Otto Lopez Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	13%	14%
Total over 9.5	99%	—	—	13%
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	13%
Luis Campusano Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	100%	12%
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Home Runs	4%	—	21%	—
Agustin Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	12%
Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	11%
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Home Runs	4%	—	15%	10%
Jake Cronenworth Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	10%	—
Ethan Salas Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	9%
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	9%
Dustin Harris Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	8%
Miami Marlins spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	8%
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	9%	5%
Ty France Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	7%
Xavier Edwards Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	7%	—
Tyler Phillips Over 1.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	3%	—
Nick Pivetta Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	2%	—
Tyler Phillips Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	2%	—
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	1%	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 5.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—
Kyle Stowers Over 3.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—
Kyle Stowers Over 4.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 2.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 5.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—
Miami Marlins	—	—	—	—
Miami Marlins spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—
Nick Pivetta Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs	—	—	—	—
Over 1.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—
San Diego PadresWINNER	—	—	—	—
San Diego Padres spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—
Total over 3.5	—	—	—	—
Tyler Phillips Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs	—	—	—	—
Tyler Phillips Over 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—
Tyler Phillips Over 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If San Diego wins the Miami vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Miami vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

San Diego Padres in Miami Marlins @ San Diego Padres (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 18 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-18 at 9:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

San Diego Padres Wins: Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET)

San Diego Padres Wins: Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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San Diego Padres Wins: Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET)

San Diego Padres Wins: Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET)

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