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Live prediction market odds for Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (12:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (12:15 PM ET)

MLB·2026-08-30

Best price · tap to trade

Washington Nationals1¢100.00xKalshiMiami Marlins21¢4.76xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Washington Nationals about a 20.9% chance. Miami Marlins follows at 79.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 79.4 percentage points.

Traders give Washington Nationals about a 20.9% chance. Miami Marlins follows at 79.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 79.4 percentage points.

Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (12:15 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
Miami MarlinsMiami MarlinsARB
79%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket US21¢
Polymarket100¢
ProphetX99¢
Polymarket US4.88x21¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
20.0%19¢21¢79¢81¢
PolymarketPolymarket
99.0%98¢100¢0¢2¢
ProphetXProphetX
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
Washington NationalsWashington NationalsARB
27%
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket US80¢
—
ProphetX3¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
79.0%78¢80¢20¢22¢
ProphetXProphetX
2.0%1¢3¢97¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Spread

ARB 68¢
Best price
MIA -2.5
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket88¢
ProphetX21¢
ProphetX4.87x21¢
WSH +2.5
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket12¢
ProphetX84¢
ProphetX1.19x84¢

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Totals

ARB 79¢
Best price
O 7.5
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket100¢
ProphetX21¢
ProphetX4.87x21¢
U 7.5
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket0¢
ProphetX84¢
ProphetX1.19x84¢

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread79.4%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Washington Nationals

20.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (12:15 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Washington wins the Miami vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 12:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Miami vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 12:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals, scheduled for August 30 at 12:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-30 at 12:15PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (12:15 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (12:15 PM ET) odds?

The latest available prices are Washington Nationals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on ProphetX, 79.5¢ on Polymarket US; Miami Marlins: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 20.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (12:15 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 79.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (12:15 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Washington Nationals at 20.9¢ implies about a 20.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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