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Live prediction market odds for Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Washington Nationals Wins: Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-29

This market resolved on 2026-08-29. Washington Nationals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.

About This Market

Miami Marlins vs.

Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Cade Cavalli Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Cade Cavalli Over 7.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Cade Cavalli Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Total Bases
99%———
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 RBIs
99%———
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 RBIs
99%———
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Total Bases
99%———
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Kyle Stowers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Over 1.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Sandy Alcantara Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Heriberto Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Owen Caissie Under 0.5 Home Runs
——1%99%
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Javier Sanoja Under 0.5 Home Runs
——97%99%
Xavier Edwards Under 0.5 Home Runs
——97%99%
Keibert Ruiz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——93%99%
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%99%
Brady House Under 0.5 Home Runs
——90%99%
Kyle Stowers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——90%99%
Miami Marlins spread plus 2.5
——97%92%
Daylen Lile Under 0.5 Home Runs
——94%99%
Abimelec Ortiz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——86%99%
Total over 3.5
99%——91%
Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Home Runs
——91%99%
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.5
——93%88%
Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5
——88%91%
CJ Abrams Under 0.5 Home Runs
——94%85%
Dylan Crews Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Washington Nationals spread plus 4.5
———87%
Miami Marlins spread plus 3.5
———86%
Griffin Conine Under 0.5 Home Runs
——86%99%
Total over 6.5
99%——82%
Washington Nationals spread plus 3.5
———81%
Total over 4.5
99%——81%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.5
——99%73%
Miami Marlins spread plus 4.5
———73%
Jorbit Vivas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Nasim Nunez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Sandy Alcantara Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%—64%—
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——63%
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
72%——54%
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.0
———63%
Brady House Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——61%
Griffin Conine Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Jacob Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Total over 7.5
99%—100%60%
Cade Cavalli Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——0%60%
Total over 5.5
99%——60%
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Sandy Alcantara Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—59%—
Sandy Alcantara Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——56%59%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.0
———57%
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Owen Caissie Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——56%
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Cade Cavalli Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—50%61%
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Total over 10.5
1%——55%
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
53%——55%
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——54%
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Washington NationalsWINNER
99%43%99%63%
Total under 9.5
——99%52%
Total under 8.5
——0%52%
Total over 9.5
1%—1%52%
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Total over 8.5
99%—100%51%
Total under 8.0
———51%
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Total over 8.0
———51%
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——50%—
Total under 10.5
———50%
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——50%
Miami Marlins
1%58%1%40%
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
45%——52%
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
46%——51%
Owen Caissie Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Jacob Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Joe Mack Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
44%——46%
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.0
———45%
Sandy Alcantara Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—44%45%
Brady House Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——44%
Total under 7.5
——0%44%
Cade Cavalli Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%44%
Total under 5.5
———44%
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
43%———
Cade Cavalli Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——0%43%
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
40%——44%
Nasim Nunez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——42%
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
37%——46%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.0
———40%
Jorbit Vivas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——39%
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.5
1%—1%38%
Sandy Alcantara Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——36%—
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 RBIs
34%———
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
34%———
CJ Abrams Over 5.5 Total Bases
32%———
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 RBIs
32%———
Washington Nationals spread minus 4.5
———32%
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Home Runs
9%—50%—
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits
26%———
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Total Bases
26%———
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Total Bases
25%———
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits
25%———
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits
24%———
Total under 4.5
———23%
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
23%———
Total under 6.5
———22%
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits
22%———
Kyle Stowers Over 3.5 Total Bases
20%———
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Total Bases
18%———
Washington Nationals spread minus 3.5
1%——18%
Miami Marlins spread minus 4.5
———15%
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Home Runs
——13%—
Total under 3.5
———13%
Miami Marlins spread minus 2.5
1%—12%13%
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 RBIs
12%———
CJ Abrams Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%———
Sandy Alcantara Over 7.5 Strikeouts
19%—5%—
Miami Marlins spread minus 3.5
2%——22%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.5
1%—7%16%
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Hits
11%———
Dylan Crews Over 0.5 Home Runs
9%—15%10%
Abimelec Ortiz Over 0.5 Home Runs
13%—10%4%
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Total Bases
10%———
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%—14%9%
Owen Caissie Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—99%9%
Sandy Alcantara Over 6.5 Strikeouts
3%—14%—
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——8%
Xavier Edwards Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—8%9%
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—7%8%
Washington Nationals spread minus 2.5
1%—3%12%
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—6%8%
Brady House Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—10%7%
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%7%
Daylen Lile Over 3.5 Total Bases
7%———
Keibert Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—7%11%
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—6%18%
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits
6%———
Otto Lopez Over 0.5 Home Runs
6%—1%6%
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits
5%———
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—99%5%
Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—8%4%
Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—3%9%
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%—1%—
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—1%—
Cade Cavalli Over 10.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Cade Cavalli Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Cade Cavalli Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Cade Cavalli Over 9.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Over 11.5 runs scored
1%———
Sandy Alcantara Over 19.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Sandy Alcantara Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Sandy Alcantara Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Sandy Alcantara Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—1%—
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—1%—
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—1%—
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—0%—
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—0%—
Cade Cavalli Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Cade Cavalli Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Sandy Alcantara Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
CJ Abrams Over 4.5 Total Bases
0%———
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 RBIs
0%———
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Total Bases
0%———
Daylen Lile Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Daylen Lile Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Daylen Lile Over 4.5 Total Bases
0%———
Kyle Stowers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Kyle Stowers Over 4.5 Total Bases
0%———
Kyle Stowers Over 5.5 Total Bases
0%———
Joe Mack Under 0.5 Home Runs
——1%99%

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread56.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Washington Nationals

75.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Washington wins the Miami vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Miami vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals, scheduled for August 29 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-29 at 4:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Washington Nationals: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket, 62.9¢ on ProphetX, 42.5¢ on Polymarket US; Miami Marlins: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket, 40.5¢ on ProphetX, 57.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 56.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Washington Nationals at 75.8¢ implies about a 75.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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