About This Market
Miami Marlins vs.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-29
This market resolved on 2026-08-29. Washington Nationals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
Miami Marlins vs.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Cade Cavalli Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Cade Cavalli Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Cade Cavalli Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Owen Caissie Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 99% |
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Javier Sanoja Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | 99% |
Xavier Edwards Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | 99% |
Keibert Ruiz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 93% | 99% |
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 99% |
Brady House Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Kyle Stowers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 97% | 92% |
Daylen Lile Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 94% | 99% |
Abimelec Ortiz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 99% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 91% |
Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 93% | 88% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 88% | 91% |
CJ Abrams Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 94% | 85% |
Dylan Crews Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 87% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 86% |
Griffin Conine Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 99% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 82% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 81% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 81% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 99% | 73% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 73% |
Jorbit Vivas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Nasim Nunez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Sandy Alcantara Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 64% | — |
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 63% |
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 72% | — | — | 54% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 63% |
Brady House Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 61% |
Griffin Conine Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Jacob Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 60% |
Cade Cavalli Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 60% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 60% |
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Sandy Alcantara Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 59% | — |
Sandy Alcantara Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 56% | 59% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Owen Caissie Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 56% |
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Cade Cavalli Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 50% | 61% |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 55% |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 53% | — | — | 55% |
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 54% |
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Washington NationalsWINNER | 99% | 43% | 99% | 63% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 99% | 52% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 0% | 52% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 1% | 52% |
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 51% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% |
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 50% |
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 50% |
Miami Marlins | 1% | 58% | 1% | 40% |
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 45% | — | — | 52% |
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | 51% |
Owen Caissie Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Jacob Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Joe Mack Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 44% | — | — | 46% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Sandy Alcantara Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 44% | 45% |
Brady House Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 44% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 0% | 44% |
Cade Cavalli Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 44% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 44% |
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 43% | — | — | — |
Cade Cavalli Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 43% |
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 40% | — | — | 44% |
Nasim Nunez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 42% |
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 37% | — | — | 46% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Jorbit Vivas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 39% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 1% | 38% |
Sandy Alcantara Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 36% | — |
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 RBIs | 34% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 34% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 5.5 Total Bases | 32% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 RBIs | 32% | — | — | — |
Washington Nationals spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 32% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 9% | — | 50% | — |
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits | 26% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Total Bases | 26% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Total Bases | 25% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits | 25% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits | 24% | — | — | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 23% |
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 23% | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 22% |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits | 22% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 3.5 Total Bases | 20% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Total Bases | 18% | — | — | — |
Washington Nationals spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 18% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 15% |
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 13% | — |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 13% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 12% | 13% |
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 19% | — | 5% | — |
Miami Marlins spread minus 3.5 | 2% | — | — | 22% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 7% | 16% |
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Hits | 11% | — | — | — |
Dylan Crews Over 0.5 Home Runs | 9% | — | 15% | 10% |
Abimelec Ortiz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 13% | — | 10% | 4% |
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Total Bases | 10% | — | — | — |
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 14% | 9% |
Owen Caissie Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 99% | 9% |
Sandy Alcantara Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | 14% | — |
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 8% |
Xavier Edwards Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 8% | 9% |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 7% | 8% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 3% | 12% |
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 6% | 8% |
Brady House Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 10% | 7% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 7% |
Daylen Lile Over 3.5 Total Bases | 7% | — | — | — |
Keibert Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 7% | 11% |
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 6% | 18% |
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Otto Lopez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 6% | — | 1% | 6% |
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 99% | 5% |
Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 8% | 4% |
Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 3% | 9% |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 1% | — |
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Cade Cavalli Over 10.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Cade Cavalli Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Cade Cavalli Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Cade Cavalli Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 11.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Over 19.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Sandy Alcantara Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 1% | — |
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 1% | — |
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 1% | — |
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 0% | — |
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 0% | — |
Cade Cavalli Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Cade Cavalli Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Sandy Alcantara Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 4.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 4.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 4.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 5.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Joe Mack Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 99% |
Washington Nationals
75.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Washington wins the Miami vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Miami vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals, scheduled for August 29 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-29 at 4:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Washington Nationals: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket, 62.9¢ on ProphetX, 42.5¢ on Polymarket US; Miami Marlins: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket, 40.5¢ on ProphetX, 57.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 56.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Washington Nationals at 75.8¢ implies about a 75.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.