About This Market
Miami Marlins vs.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-28
This market resolved on 2026-08-28. Washington Nationals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
Miami Marlins vs.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Eury Perez Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Eury Perez Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Jackson Kent Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Dylan Crews Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Eury Perez Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jackson Kent Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jackson Kent Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Kyle Stowers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 99% |
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 98% | — | — | — |
Brady House Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Brian Navarreto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 96% |
Keibert Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | — |
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 94% | 97% |
Xavier Edwards Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 99% |
Washington NationalsWINNER | 99% | 94% | 87% | 99% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 90% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 90% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 83% | 97% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 88% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 88% | 73% |
Abimelec Ortiz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Keibert Ruiz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 72% | 86% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 78% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 70% | 86% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 75% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 75% |
Daylen Lile Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 75% | — | — | — |
Andres Chaparro Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 71% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 67% | 74% |
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 86% | — | — | 55% |
Jackson Kent Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | 70% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 70% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 68% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 68% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | — | 65% |
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 65% |
Otto Lopez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Brian Navarreto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Harry Ford Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 63% |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 63% | — | — | 61% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 62% |
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 61% |
Jackson Kent Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 81% | 40% |
Brady House Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 60% |
Nasim Nunez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 45% | 74% |
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 58% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 58% |
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 57% |
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 53% |
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 50% |
Eury Perez Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 48% | 51% |
Eury Perez Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 48% | 51% |
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 49% | — | — | 50% |
Nasim Nunez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 47% |
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 44% | — | — | 48% |
Brian Navarreto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Brady House Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 45% |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 58% | 32% |
Harry Ford Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Esteury Ruiz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Jacob Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 43% |
Jackson Kent Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 10% | — | 42% | 61% |
Otto Lopez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 37% | — | — | 46% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 41% |
Jorbit Vivas Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Jorbit Vivas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 40% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 39% |
Andres Chaparro Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 39% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 37% |
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 33% | — | — | — |
Miami Marlins spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 33% | 30% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 30% |
Jackson Kent Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 19% | 40% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 29% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 29% |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | 49% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 30% | 18% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 12% | 36% |
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 21% | — | — | — |
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 20% | — |
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 20% | — |
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 20% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 20% | 18% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 18% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 19% | 11% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 14% |
Brady House Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | — | 13% |
Agustin Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 13% | 99% |
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | 5% |
Kyle Stowers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits | 11% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 20% | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 20% | — |
Agustin Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 13% | 9% |
Brian Navarreto Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Home Runs | 9% | — | — | 8% |
Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Home Runs | 6% | — | 50% | 8% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 6% | 9% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 0% | 7% |
Otto Lopez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 12% | — | 5% | 7% |
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | 7% |
Abimelec Ortiz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | 6% |
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Jackson Kent Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 5% | — | — | — |
Xavier Edwards Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 5% | 5% |
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 1% | 7% |
Miami Marlins | 1% | 7% | 1% | 5% |
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Dylan Crews Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | 6% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 4% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 1% | 3% |
Eury Perez Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Jackson Kent Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Jackson Kent Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Jackson Kent Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Jackson Kent Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Jackson Kent Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Jackson Kent Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Eury Perez Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 2% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 1% | — |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 1% | — |
Eury Perez Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Eury Perez Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Jackson Kent Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Jackson Kent Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 0% | — |
CJ Abrams Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 3.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Esteury Ruiz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Jackson Kent Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
Javier Sanoja Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Jorbit Vivas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 100% | — |
Washington Nationals
94.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Washington wins the Miami vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Miami vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals, scheduled for August 28 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-28 at 6:45PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Washington Nationals: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 87.0¢ on Polymarket, 98.9¢ on ProphetX, 93.5¢ on Polymarket US; Miami Marlins: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.1¢ on Polymarket, 4.6¢ on ProphetX, 6.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 12.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Washington Nationals at 94.6¢ implies about a 94.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.