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Live prediction market odds for Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Washington Nationals Wins: Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-31

This market resolved on 2026-08-31. Washington Nationals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.

About This Market

Miami Marlins vs.

Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-08-31. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Ryan Gusto Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Nasim Nunez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Brady House Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 RBIs
99%———
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 RBIs
99%———
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Total Bases
99%———
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Hits
99%———
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Total Bases
99%———
Daylen Lile Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Daylen Lile Over 3.5 Total Bases
99%———
Daylen Lile Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Daylen Lile Over 4.5 Total Bases
99%———
Daylen Lile Over 5.5 Total Bases
99%———
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 RBIs
99%———
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 RBIs
99%———
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Total Bases
99%———
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Kyle Stowers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Brian Navarreto Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Daylen Lile Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%97%
Ryan Gusto Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——96%—
Total over 6.5
99%——96%
Esteury Ruiz Under 0.5 Home Runs
———93%
Keibert Ruiz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——90%96%
Abimelec Ortiz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——85%99%
Total under 10.5
———90%
Agustin Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Kyle Stowers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Heriberto Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Javier Sanoja Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
CJ Abrams Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%85%
Dylan Crews Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%90%
Washington Nationals spread plus 3.5
———83%
Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5
——75%90%
Total over 5.5
99%——82%
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Total over 4.5
99%——77%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.5
——61%91%
Washington Nationals spread plus 4.5
———76%
Miami Marlins spread plus 2.5
——79%70%
Miami Marlins spread plus 3.5
———72%
Nasim Nunez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———70%
Will Dion Under 4.5 Strikeouts
———70%
Total under 9.5
——62%76%
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits
67%———
Leo Jimenez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Nasim Nunez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Leo Jimenez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Jacob Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Ryan Gusto Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—63%—
Total under 8.0
———63%
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Jorbit Vivas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Total under 12.5
———61%
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.0
———61%
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.0
———60%
Brady House Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Total over 7.5
99%—45%73%
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——59%
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.5
——69%48%
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Total under 9.0
———56%
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Will Dion Over 3.5 Strikeouts
———55%
Total over 8.5
99%—47%63%
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Total under 11.5
———54%
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
53%——54%
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Brian Navarreto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Ryan Gusto Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%53%
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——52%
Washington NationalsWINNER
99%44%52%99%
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Total over 9.0
———50%
Total over 11.5
1%——49%
Ryan Gusto Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%49%
Brian Navarreto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Esteury Ruiz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Miami Marlins
1%56%49%9%
Brady House Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Will Dion Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%48%
Total under 8.5
——53%41%
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.0
———46%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.5
99%—31%61%
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Jacob Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Total Bases
44%———
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.0
———44%
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Total over 8.0
———44%
Total under 7.5
——55%32%
Jorbit Vivas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Esteury Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Total over 12.5
1%——43%
Leo Jimenez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Nasim Nunez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Leo Jimenez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Nasim Nunez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Will Dion Over 4.5 Strikeouts
———36%
Washington Nationals spread minus 2.5
99%—100%35%
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———34%
Total over 9.5
1%—38%27%
Washington Nationals spread minus 3.5
1%——32%
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 RBIs
32%———
Total under 4.5
———28%
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Total Bases
28%———
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.5
1%—39%13%
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Total Bases
25%———
Total under 5.5
———22%
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Total Bases
22%———
Miami Marlins spread minus 3.5
1%——22%
Daylen Lile Over 3.5 Hits
21%———
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Miami Marlins spread minus 2.5
1%—26%14%
Washington Nationals spread minus 4.5
———18%
Dylan Crews Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%15%
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——21%12%
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Home Runs
16%—1%17%
Agustin Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%10%
Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%10%
Miami Marlins spread minus 4.5
———14%
Otto Lopez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%8%
Total over 10.5
1%——14%
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—16%11%
Keibert Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs
——11%14%
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 RBIs
12%———
Abimelec Ortiz Over 0.5 Home Runs
——15%9%
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—20%—
CJ Abrams Over 4.5 Total Bases
11%———
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—19%10%
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Leo Jimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Total under 6.5
———8%
Brian Navarreto Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 RBIs
7%———
Kyle Stowers Over 5.5 Total Bases
7%———
Brady House Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits
6%———
Kyle Stowers Over 4.5 Total Bases
6%———
Nasim Nunez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
CJ Abrams Over 5.5 Total Bases
5%———
Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Ryan Gusto Over 7.5 Strikeouts
3%—4%—
Kyle Stowers Over 3.5 Total Bases
3%———
Ryan Gusto Over 6.5 Strikeouts
3%—99%—
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs
——3%—
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Home Runs
99%—1%—
Over 13.5 runs scored
1%———
Ryan Gusto Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Ryan Gusto Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Ryan Gusto Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Ryan Gusto Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Ryan Gusto Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Ryan Gusto Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits
0%———
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
CJ Abrams Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Kyle Stowers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread55.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Washington Nationals

73.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Washington wins the Miami vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Miami vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals, scheduled for August 31 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-31 at 6:45PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Washington Nationals: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 51.5¢ on Polymarket, 98.9¢ on ProphetX, 44.0¢ on Polymarket US; Miami Marlins: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 48.5¢ on Polymarket, 8.9¢ on ProphetX, 56.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 55.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Washington Nationals at 73.3¢ implies about a 73.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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