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Live prediction market odds for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Cincinnati Reds Wins: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-05

This market resolved on 2026-09-05. Cincinnati Reds was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.

About This Market

Milwaukee Brewers vs.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Jackson Chourio Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Dustin May Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——99%—
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 3.5
———97%
Dustin May Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%—94%—
Dustin May Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——94%—
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 4.5
———94%
Cincinnati RedsWINNER
100%39%92%91%
Sal Stewart Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%90%
Luis Lara Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%95%
Andrew Vaughn Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%94%
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 3.5
———88%
Hector Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——1%87%
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 2.5
——87%86%
Brice Turang Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%90%
Tyler Stephenson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%86%
Eugenio Suarez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%85%
Jackson Chourio Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%89%
Jake Bauers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%84%
JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%84%
Dustin May Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——82%—
Andrew Vaughn Under 1.5 Home Runs
——81%—
Brice Turang Under 1.5 Home Runs
——81%—
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs
——81%—
Jake Bauers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——81%—
Luis Lara Under 1.5 Home Runs
——81%—
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Home Runs
——81%—
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Home Runs
——81%—
William Contreras Under 1.5 Home Runs
——81%—
Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—81%—
William Contreras Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—81%—
Jackson Chourio Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%78%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 2.5
——67%93%
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%60%
Brice Turang Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%75%
Jake Bauers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%75%
Total under 10.5
——68%83%
Dane Myers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
Edwin Arroyo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
Edwin Arroyo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
Juan Brito Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
TJ Friedl Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
Total under 9.5
——52%97%
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 1.5
——75%71%
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——95%51%
Dane Myers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———73%
Edwin Arroyo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———73%
Juan Brito Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———73%
TJ Friedl Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———73%
William Contreras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%48%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.5
——50%91%
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 1.0
———69%
Brice Turang Over 0.5 Hits
69%———
Hector Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%54%
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—81%54%
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%51%
Andrew Vaughn Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%50%
Edwin Arroyo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
William Contreras Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—81%40%
Gary Sanchez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Joey Ortiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Total under 8.5
——56%64%
Total under 10.0
———60%
Cooper Pratt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Brice Turang Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
55%—19%56%
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 1.0
———54%
Total over 7.5
100%——54%
Dustin May Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——52%55%
Joey Ortiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Dustin May Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—37%69%
Cooper Pratt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Total under 9.0
———52%
Total over 9.0
———51%
Elly De La Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——17%83%
Dustin May Over 5.5 Strikeouts
32%—52%50%
Luis Lara Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%50%
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
18%—81%—
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.0
———49%
Total under 7.5
———49%
Brice Turang Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
75%—19%—
Gary Sanchez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
William Contreras Under 0.5 Home Runs
——2%88%
Total over 8.5
1%—44%44%
Total over 10.0
———43%
Andrew Vaughn Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%65%
Luis Lara Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%57%
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%56%
Jake Bauers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%56%
Dustin May Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——37%38%
Hector Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%55%
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%51%
Total over 9.5
1%—48%22%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.0
———34%
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 1.5
1%—50%18%
Brice Turang Over 0.5 RBIs
33%———
William Contreras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—5%57%
Andrew Abbott Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—2%58%
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—5%53%
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%54%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.5
100%—25%31%
Brice Turang Over 1.5 Hits
28%———
Brice Turang Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
37%—19%—
Milwaukee Brewers
1%62%5%24%
Total over 10.5
1%—27%21%
Andrew Abbott Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——2%46%
Jackson Chourio Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
23%—19%51%
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 2.5
1%—33%11%
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—17%25%
Brice Turang Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
23%—19%—
Jake Bauers Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%21%
Andrew Vaughn Over 1.5 Home Runs
——19%—
Brice Turang Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—19%—
Jake Bauers Over 1.5 Home Runs
——19%—
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Home Runs
——19%—
Luis Lara Over 1.5 Home Runs
——19%—
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—19%—
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Home Runs
——19%—
JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Home Runs
——18%19%
Gary Sanchez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———18%
Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——18%19%
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—18%19%
Andrew Abbott Over 7.5 Strikeouts
——18%—
Brice Turang Over 1.5 RBIs
18%———
Jackson Chourio Over 0.5 Home Runs
15%—18%23%
William Contreras Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%—19%—
Brice Turang Over 0.5 Home Runs
13%—19%17%
William Contreras Over 1.5 Home Runs
15%—19%—
Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——99%17%
Brice Turang Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
14%—19%—
Andrew Vaughn Over 0.5 Home Runs
——18%14%
Tyler Stephenson Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%16%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 2.5
1%—13%19%
Jackson Chourio Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%—19%—
Sal Stewart Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%—19%—
Dustin May Over 7.5 Strikeouts
14%—99%—
Elly De La Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
9%—19%—
Jackson Chourio Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
25%—3%—
Luis Lara Over 0.5 Home Runs
——18%9%
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs
8%—19%—
William Contreras Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%—19%—
Sal Stewart Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
5%—19%—
Joey Ortiz Over 0.5 Home Runs
———12%
Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Home Runs
5%—19%—
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 4.5
———11%
Cooper Pratt Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
William Contreras Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—2%16%
Jackson Chourio Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%—1%—
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—5%—
Hector Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs
——5%—
Hector Rodriguez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——5%—
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—3%—
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—3%—
Sal Stewart Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
3%—1%—
Andrew Abbott Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—2%—
Andrew Abbott Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—2%—
Andrew Abbott Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——2%—
Andrew Abbott Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——2%—
Andrew Abbott Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Andrew Abbott Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Brice Turang Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Brice Turang Over 3.5 Hits
0%———
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Andrew Abbott Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs
————
Andrew Abbott Over 4.5 Strikeouts
————
Andrew Abbott Over 5.5 Strikeouts
————
Andrew Abbott Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%—99%—
Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 runs
————
Dustin May Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs
————
Dustin May Over 2.5 Strikeouts
————
Dustin May Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—1%—
Dustin May Over 8.5 Strikeouts
————
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits
————
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits
————
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits
————
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jackson Chourio Over 0.5 Hits
————
Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Hits
————
Jackson Chourio Over 2.5 Hits
————
Jackson Chourio Over 3.5 Hits
————
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 3.5
————
Over 3.5 runs scored
————
Over 4.5 runs scored
————
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Hits
————
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits
————
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Sal Stewart Over 2.5 Hits
————
Total over 11.5
————
Total over 12.5
————
Total over 13.5
————
Total over 5.5
————
Total over 6.5
————
William Contreras Over 0.5 Hits
————
William Contreras Over 1.5 Hits
————
William Contreras Over 2.5 Hits
————
William Contreras Over 3.5 Hits
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread61.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Cincinnati Reds

80.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Milwaukee wins the Milwaukee vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Milwaukee vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for September 5 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-05 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Cincinnati Reds: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 92.0¢ on Polymarket, 90.7¢ on ProphetX, 38.5¢ on Polymarket US; Milwaukee Brewers: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 5.0¢ on Polymarket, 24.2¢ on ProphetX, 61.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 61.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Cincinnati Reds at 80.2¢ implies about a 80.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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