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Live prediction market odds for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Milwaukee Brewers Wins: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-16

This market resolved on 2026-09-16. Milwaukee Brewers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.

About This Market

Milwaukee Brewers vs.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-16. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Brice Turang Under 1.5 Home Runs
———100%—
Brice Turang Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Home Runs
———100%—
Bryan Reynolds Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
Bryan Reynolds Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
Christian Yelich Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
Christian Yelich Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
Christian Yelich Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
Christian Yelich Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
Jake Bauers Under 1.5 Home Runs
———100%—
Jake Bauers Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
Jake Bauers Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
Konnor Griffin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
Konnor Griffin Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
Nick Gonzales Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs
———100%—
Spencer Horwitz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
Spencer Horwitz Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
Spencer Horwitz Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
William Contreras Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
William Contreras Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
William Contreras Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
William Contreras Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%—
Jared Jones Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%——100%—
Jared Jones Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%——100%—
Logan Henderson Over 7.5 Strikeouts
99%——100%—
Nick Gonzales Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———99%—
Bryan Reynolds Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———99%—
Konnor Griffin Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———99%—
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%—
Brandon Lowe Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%—
Brandon Lowe Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%—
Brandon Lowe Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———99%—
Brice Turang Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%—
Jackson Chourio Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———99%—
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%—
Spencer Horwitz Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———99%—
William Contreras Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%—
Jackson Chourio Under 0.5 Home Runs
———100%99%
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 3.5
————98%
Total under 10.5
————97%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 3.5
————97%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 4.5
————97%
Konnor Griffin Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———95%—
Nick Gonzales Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———95%—
Garrett Mitchell Under 0.5 Home Runs
———100%95%
Total over 8.5
100%——100%92%
William Contreras Under 0.5 Home Runs
———100%91%
Bryan Reynolds Under 0.5 Home Runs
———81%97%
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 2.5
———100%89%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 2.5
——60%98%88%
Jake Bauers Under 0.5 Home Runs
———81%85%
Brandon Lowe Under 0.5 Home Runs
———0%82%
Brice Turang Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———81%—
Brice Turang Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———81%—
Brice Turang Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———81%—
Bryan Reynolds Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———81%—
Christian Yelich Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———81%—
Jackson Chourio Under 1.5 Home Runs
———81%—
Jackson Chourio Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———81%—
Konnor Griffin Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———81%—
Spencer Horwitz Under 0.5 Home Runs
———81%—
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Home Runs
———80%—
William Contreras Under 1.5 Home Runs
———80%—
Milwaukee BrewersWINNER
100%50%80%100%95%
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%79%
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 1.5
——61%0%91%
Garrett Mitchell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%75%
Total over 6.5
100%—78%99%68%
Total over 7.5
100%—52%100%92%
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 1.0
————71%
Rafael Flores Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————71%
Spencer Horwitz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%71%
Total under 9.5
——50%—91%
Garrett Mitchell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%67%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.0
————67%
Ryan O'Hearn Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————66%
Jake Mangum Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————65%
Rafael Flores Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————65%
Cooper Pratt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————64%
Logan Henderson Under 6.5 Strikeouts
———57%71%
Spencer Horwitz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%64%
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———99%63%
Total over 7.0
————63%
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%62%
Konnor Griffin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%62%
Jake Bauers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%61%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.5
——40%100%83%
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%61%
Joey Ortiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————60%
Christian Yelich Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%59%
Sal Frelick Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————59%
Garrett Mitchell Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%57%
Jared Jones Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%——100%56%
Logan Henderson Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%——100%56%
Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%56%
Brice Turang Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%55%
William Contreras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——0%55%
Brice Turang Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%55%
Total under 8.0
————54%
Total over 8.0
————52%
William Contreras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%51%
Oneil Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs
———17%85%
Jackson Chourio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%50%
Jake Bauers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%49%
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%49%
Logan Henderson Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%——57%40%
Joey Ortiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————48%
Jared Jones Under 5.5 Strikeouts
———0%47%
Sal Frelick Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————47%
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%46%
Logan Henderson Under 5.5 Strikeouts
———0%46%
Konnor Griffin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———100%46%
Total under 7.0
————46%
Cooper Pratt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————46%
Christian Yelich Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———99%45%
Ryan O'Hearn Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————44%
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
39%——1%47%
Jake Mangum Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————43%
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 1.0
————42%
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%40%
Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————40%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.0
————38%
Jackson Chourio Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
37%——0%—
Garrett Mitchell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———19%45%
Total under 7.5
——48%100%14%
Total under 6.5
——22%99%36%
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 2.5
2%—41%98%14%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5
1%—39%0%12%
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%——100%23%
Total under 4.5
————23%
Total under 5.5
————23%
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
23%——0%—
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5
1%——100%22%
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 1.5
2%—61%100%21%
William Contreras Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
21%——0%—
Pittsburgh Pirates
1%50%21%100%8%
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%——17%24%
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%——20%—
Christian Yelich Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———19%—
Konnor Griffin Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———19%—
Konnor Griffin Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———19%—
Jared Jones Under 3.5 Strikeouts
———19%—
Logan Henderson Under 7.5 Strikeouts
———19%—
Jake Bauers Over 0.5 Home Runs
———0%19%
Rafael Flores Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
————17%
Brice Turang Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%——0%—
Garrett Mitchell Over 0.5 Home Runs
———0%15%
Ryan O'Hearn Over 0.5 Home Runs
————15%
Christian Yelich Over 0.5 Home Runs
———0%15%
Spencer Horwitz Over 0.5 Home Runs
———0%13%
Total over 9.5
6%—50%—12%
Total under 8.5
———100%12%
Brice Turang Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
11%——1%—
Joey Ortiz Over 0.5 Home Runs
————11%
Konnor Griffin Over 0.5 Home Runs
———0%10%
Brice Turang Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——1%10%
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%——1%16%
William Contreras Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%——0%15%
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs
8%——0%—
Jackson Chourio Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%——0%10%
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 4.5
————7%
Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%——0%—
Brandon Lowe Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———1%—
Jake Bauers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———1%—
Konnor Griffin Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———1%—
Spencer Horwitz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———1%—
William Contreras Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———1%—
Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%——0%—
William Contreras Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%——0%—
Brandon Lowe Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%—
Brandon Lowe Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%—
Christian Yelich Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%—
Garrett Mitchell Over 1.5 Home Runs
———0%—
Garrett Mitchell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%—
Garrett Mitchell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%—
Jackson Chourio Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%—
Jake Bauers Over 1.5 Home Runs
———0%—
Jake Bauers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%—
Jake Bauers Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%—
Jake Bauers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%—
Jared Jones Under 4.5 Strikeouts
———0%—
Jared Jones Under 7.5 Strikeouts
———0%—
Konnor Griffin Over 1.5 Home Runs
———0%—
Nick Gonzales Over 0.5 Home Runs
———0%—
Nick Gonzales Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%—
Oneil Cruz Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%—
Spencer Horwitz Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%—
William Contreras Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———0%—
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 3.5
—————
Over 1.5 runs scored
—————
Over 11.5 runs scored
—————
Over 2.5 runs scored
—————
Over 3.5 runs scored
—————
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5
—————
Total over 10.5
—————
Total over 4.5
—————
Total over 5.5
—————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread99.4%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Winner

Milwaukee Brewers

84.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Milwaukee wins the Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Milwaukee Brewers in Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for September 16 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-16 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Milwaukee Brewers: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 94.8¢ on ProphetX, 50.0¢ on Polymarket US, 79.5¢ on Novig; Pittsburgh Pirates: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 8.5¢ on ProphetX, 50.0¢ on Polymarket US, 20.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 99.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Milwaukee Brewers at 84.7¢ implies about a 84.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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