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Live prediction market odds for Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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San Diego Padres Wins: Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-10

This market resolved on 2026-08-10. San Diego Padres was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.

About This Market

Milwaukee Brewers vs.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-10. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Luis Campusano Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Xander Bogaerts Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Casey Mize Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Logan Henderson Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Luis Lara Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Over 1.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Sung-Mun Song Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Freddy Fermin Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Brice Turang Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Christian Yelich Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Jake Cronenworth Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Xander Bogaerts Under 0.5 Home Runs
——97%98%
Garrett Mitchell Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Gavin Sheets Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Jackson Chourio Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Jake Bauers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
David Hamilton Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%99%
Luis Rengifo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%99%
San Diego PadresWINNER
99%97%73%97%
Luis Campusano Under 0.5 Home Runs
——97%95%
Andrew Vaughn Over 1.5 Home Runs
——96%—
Andrew Vaughn Under 1.5 Home Runs
——96%—
William Contreras Under 0.5 Home Runs
——93%99%
Jake Cronenworth Under 0.5 Home Runs
——93%99%
Christian Yelich Under 0.5 Home Runs
——93%97%
Garrett Mitchell Under 0.5 Home Runs
——91%99%
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 4.5
———95%
Ty France Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%95%
Gavin Sheets Under 0.5 Home Runs
——93%99%
Jackson Merrill Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%99%
Total under 10.5
———92%
Total under 9.5
———92%
Andrew Vaughn Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Brice Turang Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
San Diego Padres spread plus 4.5
———91%
Manny Machado Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%98%
Jackson Chourio Under 0.5 Home Runs
——83%99%
San Diego Padres spread plus 3.5
———91%
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 3.5
———90%
Jake Bauers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
San Diego Padres spread plus 2.5
——74%97%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——85%99%
Gavin Sheets Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———83%
Sung-Mun Song Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———83%
David Hamilton Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———82%
Jake Bauers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———80%
William Contreras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———78%
Logan Henderson Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—78%—
Logan Henderson Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——78%—
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 1.5
——70%84%
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.0
———74%
Luis Rengifo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———74%
Casey Mize Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—70%—
Casey Mize Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——70%—
Logan Henderson Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—49%90%
Luis Lara Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Total under 7.5
——54%81%
Christian Yelich Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Jake Cronenworth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Ty France Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Joey Ortiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Luis Campusano Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Garrett Mitchell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Total over 4.5
99%——63%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Total under 8.5
——36%88%
Logan Henderson Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——49%75%
Total under 6.5
——57%62%
Total under 5.5
———60%
Freddy Fermin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Andrew Vaughn Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Casey Mize Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—54%60%
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 2.5
——19%94%
Total under 7.0
———56%
Brice Turang Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 1.0
———55%
Logan Henderson Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—36%73%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.5
——39%70%
Total under 8.0
———54%
Freddy Fermin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Jackson Chourio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——52%
Andrew Vaughn Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Brice Turang Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Total over 6.5
1%—57%46%
Total over 8.0
———51%
Luis Lara Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
William Contreras Over 0.5 Home Runs
——93%7%
Luis Campusano Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Total over 7.0
———50%
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.5
1%—70%27%
Xander Bogaerts Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Andrew Vaughn Over 0.5 Home Runs
——92%5%
Casey Mize Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——54%43%
Jake Bauers Over 0.5 Home Runs
——88%5%
Total over 5.5
1%——46%
Garrett Mitchell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Jake Cronenworth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Joey Ortiz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Ty France Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—85%5%
Christian Yelich Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Jackson Chourio Over 0.5 Home Runs
——83%6%
Luis Lara Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Luis Rengifo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.0
———43%
Total over 7.5
1%—54%30%
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
36%——48%
Total under 4.5
———42%
David Hamilton Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———36%
Jake Bauers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———36%
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 1.5
1%—39%33%
Logan Henderson Over 8.5 Strikeouts
36%———
Logan Henderson Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——36%34%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
35%———
William Contreras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———33%
Gavin Sheets Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———32%
Total over 8.5
1%—38%23%
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 1.0
———30%
Garrett Mitchell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———28%
Sung-Mun Song Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———28%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%——48%
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
20%———
Total over 10.5
1%——19%
Total over 9.5
1%——19%
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 4.5
———18%
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 3.5
1%——17%
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 2.5
1%—26%7%
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%———
San Diego Padres spread minus 2.5
1%—19%11%
San Diego Padres spread minus 3.5
1%——14%
Casey Mize Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—13%—
Casey Mize Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——13%—
Logan Henderson Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—12%—
Logan Henderson Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——12%—
Ty France Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%15%
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—14%7%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%———
San Diego Padres spread minus 4.5
———10%
Christian Yelich Over 0.5 Home Runs
——7%11%
Sung-Mun Song Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Garrett Mitchell Over 0.5 Home Runs
——10%8%
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—84%8%
Brice Turang Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%8%
Luis Campusano Over 0.5 Home Runs
——3%13%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
8%———
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
8%———
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%7%
Freddy Fermin Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%———
Gavin Sheets Over 0.5 Home Runs
——7%6%
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 Home Runs
——3%10%
Luis Rengifo Over 0.5 Home Runs
——5%8%
Luis Lara Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
David Hamilton Over 0.5 Home Runs
——5%7%
Milwaukee Brewers
1%3%73%4%
Garrett Mitchell Over 1.5 Home Runs
——3%—
Gavin Sheets Over 1.5 Home Runs
——3%—
Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Home Runs
——3%—
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%—2%—
Jake Bauers Over 1.5 Home Runs
——3%—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—2%—
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—2%—
Brice Turang Over 1.5 Home Runs
——2%—
Christian Yelich Over 1.5 Home Runs
——2%—
Jake Cronenworth Over 1.5 Home Runs
——2%—
Casey Mize Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Casey Mize Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Casey Mize Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Logan Henderson Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Over 11.5 runs scored
1%———
Ty France Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Ty France Under 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
William Contreras Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
William Contreras Under 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Luis Campusano Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Xander Bogaerts Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
David Hamilton Over 1.5 Home Runs
——50%—
David Hamilton Under 1.5 Home Runs
——50%—
Luis Rengifo Over 1.5 Home Runs
——50%—
Luis Rengifo Under 1.5 Home Runs
——50%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread72.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

San Diego Padres

91.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If San Diego wins the Milwaukee vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 10, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Milwaukee vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 10, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres, scheduled for August 10 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-10 at 9:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are San Diego Padres: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 73.0¢ on Polymarket, 97.1¢ on ProphetX, 97.0¢ on Polymarket US; Milwaukee Brewers: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 73.0¢ on Polymarket, 4.1¢ on ProphetX, 3.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 72.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, San Diego Padres at 91.5¢ implies about a 91.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?
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