About This Market
Minnesota Twins vs.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox (6:20 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-06. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox (6:20 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-06
This market resolved on 2026-09-06. Chicago White Sox was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
Minnesota Twins vs.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox (6:20 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-06. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Bailey Ober Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Bailey Ober Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 99% | — |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 99% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 99% | — |
Kaelen Culpepper Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Luke Keaschall Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 94% |
Kaelen Culpepper Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 94% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 96% | 92% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 93% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 1% | 90% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.5 | 100% | — | 100% | 88% |
Ryan Jeffers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 91% |
Kody Clemens Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 86% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 2.5 | 100% | — | 97% | 73% |
Andrew Benintendi Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 86% |
Royce Lewis Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 86% |
Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 83% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 82% |
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 81% |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | — |
Kyle Teel Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 97% | 62% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 79% |
Chicago White SoxWINNER | 99% | 56% | 100% | 95% |
Kaelen Culpepper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 62% |
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 60% |
Bailey Ober Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 71% |
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 82% | 53% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | 53% |
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 53% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 65% |
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 99% | 64% |
Walker Jenkins Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 82% | 46% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 97% | 31% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 63% |
Walker Jenkins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 77% |
Tristan Peters Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 81% | 43% |
Walker Jenkins Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 61% | — | 50% | 62% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 60% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 80% | 34% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 100% | 55% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 55% |
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 60% |
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 60% |
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 1% | 54% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 54% |
Bailey Ober Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 54% |
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 58% |
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 99% | 54% |
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 57% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 53% |
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 56% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 1% | 53% |
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 54% |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 99% | 52% |
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 86% | 17% |
Royce Lewis Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 84% | 19% |
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 50% | 52% |
Andrew Benintendi Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 84% | 17% |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 87% | 14% |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 50% | — |
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 39% | — | 50% | 51% |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 49% | — | 1% | 51% |
Josh Bell Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | 89% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 49% |
Bailey Ober Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 48% |
Total over 8.5 | 100% | — | 100% | 48% |
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 6% | — | 50% | 47% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 45% | — | 1% | 47% |
Trevor Larnach Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 99% | 45% |
Total over 7.5 | 100% | — | 20% | 71% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 43% | — | 1% | 45% |
Kaelen Culpepper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 41% | — | 19% | 43% |
Tristan Peters Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 19% | 62% |
Total over 9.5 | 100% | — | 9% | 69% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 36% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 0% | 36% |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 35% | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | 50% | — |
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 18% | 52% |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 19% | 50% |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 19% | 49% |
Miguel Vargas Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | 50% | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 33% |
Trevor Larnach Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 4% | — | 1% | 60% |
Walker Jenkins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | 1% | 39% |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 3% | 54% |
Miguel Vargas Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 27% | — | 1% | — |
Josh Bell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 26% | — | 1% | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 32% | — | 19% | — |
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 25% | — | 19% | 48% |
Minnesota Twins | 1% | 44% | 100% | 5% |
Kyle Teel Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 3% | 44% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 22% |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 21% | 23% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | 19% | 49% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 19% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 19% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 18% | 29% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 100% | 16% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 19% | 15% |
Colson Montgomery Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | 19% | — |
Josh Bell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | 19% | — |
Kyle Teel Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 99% | 14% |
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 13% | 16% |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 10% | 15% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 1% | 13% |
Kaelen Culpepper Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 20% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 12% |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 12% | 23% |
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | 11% |
Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 19% | 11% |
Sam Antonacci Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | 10% |
Chase Meidroth Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | 9% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 5% | 12% |
Brooks Lee Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 8% | — | 1% | — |
Luke Keaschall Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 1% | 12% |
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Home Runs | 7% | — | 0% | — |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 0% | — |
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 5% | — |
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 0% | — |
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 0% | — |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 2% | — |
Bailey Ober Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Bailey Ober Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Bailey Ober Over 0.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bailey Ober Over 1.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bailey Ober Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — |
Bailey Ober Over 2.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bailey Ober Over 3.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bailey Ober Over 4.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bailey Ober Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Bailey Ober Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 100% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 12.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 3.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 4.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | — | — | — | — |
Chicago White Sox
87.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Chicago WS wins the Minnesota vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 6:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Minnesota vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 6:20 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for September 6 at 6:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-06 at 6:20PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Chicago White Sox: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 94.7¢ on ProphetX, 56.0¢ on Polymarket US; Minnesota Twins: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 5.1¢ on ProphetX, 43.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Chicago White Sox at 87.4¢ implies about a 87.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.