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Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Chicago White Sox Wins: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-04

This market resolved on 2026-09-04. Chicago White Sox was the officially declared outcome.

About This Market

Minnesota Twins vs.

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-04. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

3 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
ProphetX
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Home Runs
—100%—
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs
—98%—
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Home Runs
—98%—
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Home Runs
—98%—
Chicago White Sox spread plus 3.5
——98%
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Home Runs
—97%—
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Home Runs
—97%—
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Home Runs
—96%—
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Home Runs
—96%—
Erick Fedde Under 6.5 Strikeouts
—96%—
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Home Runs
—96%—
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs
—96%—
Braden Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs
—0%92%
Total under 10.5
—89%96%
Luke Keaschall Under 0.5 Home Runs
—87%93%
Erick Fedde Under 7.5 Strikeouts
—90%—
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.5
—95%82%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 4.5
——87%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 4.5
——86%
Josh Bell Under 0.5 Home Runs
—0%86%
Brooks Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs
—85%87%
Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs
—0%86%
Andrew Benintendi Under 0.5 Home Runs
—84%87%
Royce Lewis Under 0.5 Home Runs
—81%84%
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Home Runs
—75%90%
Kody Clemens Under 0.5 Home Runs
—79%85%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.5
88%82%64%
Erick Fedde Over 1.5 Strikeouts
100%81%—
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs
—0%79%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 2.5
74%78%79%
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—97%59%
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—97%59%
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—97%56%
Total under 7.5
——76%
Jake Rogers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——74%
Jake Rogers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——73%
Walker Jenkins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——73%
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—97%49%
Total under 11.5
——71%
Kaelen Culpepper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——64%
Erick Fedde Under 3.5 Strikeouts
—1%64%
Total over 8.0
——64%
Total under 9.5
—53%74%
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—75%51%
Trevor Larnach Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——63%
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——63%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.0
——61%
Tristan Peters Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——61%
Total under 10.0
——60%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.0
——58%
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%55%
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%55%
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%54%
Total over 9.0
——53%
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%55%
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%54%
Zebby Matthews Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%49%55%
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%52%
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%52%
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%51%
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%53%
Total under 8.5
—42%60%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 2.5
—8%94%
Total over 10.5
1%89%13%
Erick Fedde Over 2.5 Strikeouts
1%40%62%
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%51%
Erick Fedde Over 7.5 Strikeouts
—50%—
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%50%
Total under 9.0
——49%
Zebby Matthews Under 4.5 Strikeouts
—49%48%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5
—71%25%
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%46%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.0
——46%
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——45%
Tristan Peters Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——45%
Kaelen Culpepper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——45%
Total over 10.0
——44%
Trevor Larnach Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——44%
Erick Fedde Under 2.5 Strikeouts
—40%45%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.0
——42%
Total over 8.5
1%58%25%
Walker Jenkins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——40%
Total under 8.0
——40%
Erick Fedde Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%40%38%
Total over 9.5
1%47%31%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 4.5
——35%
Zebby Matthews Over 3.5 Strikeouts
100%30%—
Zebby Matthews Under 3.5 Strikeouts
—30%—
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5
2%95%28%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5
——28%
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—3%50%
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—3%49%
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%100%24%
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Home Runs
—19%22%
Royce Lewis Over 0.5 Home Runs
—19%21%
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%26%19%
Erick Fedde Under 1.5 Strikeouts
—19%—
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5
1%8%29%
Andrew Benintendi Over 0.5 Home Runs
—19%16%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5
—18%17%
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%99%18%
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%16%17%
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Home Runs
——16%
Trevor Larnach Over 0.5 Home Runs
——16%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 4.5
——15%
Zebby Matthews Over 2.5 Strikeouts
100%15%—
Zebby Matthews Under 2.5 Strikeouts
—15%—
Luke Keaschall Over 0.5 Home Runs
—13%13%
Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Home Runs
——12%
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%3%22%
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs
—100%12%
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Home Runs
——10%
Sam Antonacci Over 0.5 Home Runs
——10%
Chase Meidroth Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%4%—
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Home Runs
—4%—
Erick Fedde Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%4%—
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%4%—
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%3%—
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Home Runs
—3%—
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%3%—
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%2%—
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Home Runs
—2%—
Zebby Matthews Under 6.5 Strikeouts
—1%—
Zebby Matthews Under 7.5 Strikeouts
—1%—
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs
—1%—
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Home Runs
—0%—
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits
———
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits
———
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits
———
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits
———
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Brooks Lee Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Chicago White SoxWINNER
———
Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs
———
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits
———
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits
———
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Total Bases
———
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits
———
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 RBIs
———
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Total Bases
———
Colson Montgomery Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Colson Montgomery Over 3.5 Total Bases
———
Colson Montgomery Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Erick Fedde Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs
———
Erick Fedde Over 4.5 Strikeouts
———
Erick Fedde Over 5.5 Strikeouts
———
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits
———
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Josh Bell Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits
———
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Josh Bell Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits
———
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Josh Bell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Josh Bell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits
———
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits
———
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits
———
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 RBIs
———
Miguel Vargas Over 3.5 Hits
———
Miguel Vargas Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Miguel Vargas Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Minnesota Twins
———
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5
———
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits
———
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits
———
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits
———
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 RBIs
———
Munetaka Murakami Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Munetaka Murakami Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Total over 11.5
———
Total over 7.5
———
Zebby Matthews Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
———
Zebby Matthews Over 5.5 Strikeouts
———
Zebby Matthews Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%99%—
Zebby Matthews Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%99%—
Zebby Matthews Over 8.5 Strikeouts
———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms0
Candidates2
Winner

Chicago White Sox

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Minnesota wins the Minnesota vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Minnesota vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for September 4 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-04 at 7:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

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