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Minnesota Twins vs.
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres (4:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres (4:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-23
This market resolved on 2026-08-23. San Diego Padres was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Minnesota Twins vs.
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres (4:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bailey Ober Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Walker Buehler Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
San Diego PadresWINNER | 99% | 100% | 100% | 99% |
Byron Buxton Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Byron Buxton Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 5.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Walker Buehler Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Ty France Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jackson Merrill Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 99% |
Manny Machado Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Royce Lewis Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Bailey Ober Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 95% | — |
Ryan Jeffers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 91% |
Kody Clemens Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Luke Keaschall Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 93% | 99% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 91% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 90% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 89% |
Byron Buxton Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 78% | 99% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 90% | 83% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 86% |
Byron Buxton Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 83% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Kaelen Culpepper Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 82% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 78% | 85% |
Gavin Sheets Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 80% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 80% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 80% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 79% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 77% | 78% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 73% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 73% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 72% |
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 71% |
Jake Cronenworth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 69% |
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Home Runs | 69% | — | 1% | — |
Bailey Ober Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 51% | 85% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 67% |
Trevor Larnach Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 65% |
Luis Rengifo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Gavin Sheets Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Trevor Larnach Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Xander Bogaerts Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Bailey Ober Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 49% | 72% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 59% |
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
Ty France Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Josh Bell Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | 99% |
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 53% |
Walker Buehler Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 44% | 63% |
Walker Buehler Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 56% | 50% |
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 15% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 52% |
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 50% | — | — | 51% |
Ty France Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 48% | — | — | 53% |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 49% | — | — | 51% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 48% |
Xander Bogaerts Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 48% |
Ty France Over 1.5 Home Runs | 47% | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Luis Rengifo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 45% |
Jake Cronenworth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 48% | — | — | 40% |
Gavin Sheets Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 42% | — | — | 44% |
Gavin Sheets Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 43% |
Trevor Larnach Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 0% | 41% |
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 51% | — | — | 31% |
Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Hits | 41% | — | — | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 0% | 39% |
Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 50% | — | — | 28% |
Byron Buxton Over 0.5 RBIs | 38% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 0.5 RBIs | 38% | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 38% |
Byron Buxton Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 37% | — | — | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 36% |
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 34% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 33% |
Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 29% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 28% |
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits | 28% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 26% | — | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 23% | 29% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 24% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 0% | 23% |
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 22% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | 40% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 21% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 20% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 22% | 18% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 20% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 19% |
Byron Buxton Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | — | — |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 17% |
Manny Machado Over 1.5 RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 10% | 22% |
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 RBIs | 15% | — | — | — |
Byron Buxton Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 22% | 7% |
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | — | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 14% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 13% |
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Total Bases | 12% | — | — | — |
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 11% |
Trevor Larnach Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits | 9% | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 99% | 9% |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 8% |
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Home Runs | 8% | — | 11% | 8% |
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Byron Buxton Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Gavin Sheets Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 6% |
Luis Rengifo Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 89% | 6% |
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Royce Lewis Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 2% | 10% |
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 8% |
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | 9% |
Ty France Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 19% | 6% |
Luke Keaschall Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 9% |
Bailey Ober Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 5% | — |
Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 7% |
Bailey Ober Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 5% | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 5.5 Total Bases | 5% | — | — | — |
Walker Buehler Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 5% | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 2% | 7% |
Bailey Ober Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Minnesota Twins | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 2% | — |
Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Byron Buxton Over 3.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Byron Buxton Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Byron Buxton Over 5.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 2% | — |
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 2% | — |
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 1% | — |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Bailey Ober Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Bailey Ober Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Walker Buehler Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Walker Buehler Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Byron Buxton Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Byron Buxton Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Byron Buxton Over 2.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Byron Buxton Over 3.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Byron Buxton Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 2.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 5.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Luis Rengifo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 99% |
Walker Buehler Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
San Diego Padres
99.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Minnesota vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Minnesota vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and San Diego Padres, scheduled for August 23 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-23 at 4:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are San Diego Padres: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Minnesota Twins: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, San Diego Padres at 99.4¢ implies about a 99.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.