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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX

Arizona Diamondbacks Wins: New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (7:15 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-05-09

This market resolved on 2026-05-09. Arizona Diamondbacks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Arizona wins the New York M vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the New York M vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for May 9 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (7:15 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (7:15 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Arizona Diamondbacks: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 42.0¢ on Polymarket, 97.7¢ on ProphetX; New York Mets: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 58.0¢ on Polymarket, 7.0¢ on ProphetX. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (7:15 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 57.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (7:15 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Arizona Diamondbacks at 79.6¢ implies about a 79.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Candidate
Arizona DiamondbacksWINNER	99%	42%	98%
New York Mets	1%	58%	7%

Arizona Diamondbacks Wins: New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (7:15 PM ET)

Arizona Diamondbacks Wins: New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (7:15 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Arizona Diamondbacks Wins: New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (7:15 PM ET)

Arizona Diamondbacks Wins: New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (7:15 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (7:15 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros (5:00 PM ET)

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