About This Market
New York Mets vs.
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-22
This market resolved on 2026-08-22. New York Mets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
New York Mets vs.
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 99% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 99% |
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Christian Scott Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Christian Scott Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Christian Scott Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Christian Scott Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Christian Scott Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Christian Scott Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Chase Meidroth Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Tristan Peters Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
New York MetsWINNER | 99% | 98% | 60% | 99% |
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 97% |
Braden Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 97% |
Drew Romo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 96% |
New York Mets spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 100% | 96% |
Sam Antonacci Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 99% |
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 95% |
Jared Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 94% |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 94% |
New York Mets spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 94% |
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 93% |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 92% |
New York Mets spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 0% | 91% |
New York Mets spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 90% |
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 89% |
Andrew Benintendi Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 97% |
Christian Scott Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | 87% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 86% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 86% |
Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 91% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | — | 85% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 86% |
New York Mets spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 82% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 77% | 87% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 71% | 92% |
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
New York Mets spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 80% |
Total under 14.5 | — | — | — | 72% |
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Luis Torrens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
New York Mets spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 61% |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Drew Romo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Christian Scott Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 99% | 58% |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Brett Baty Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 90% |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 54% |
Francisco Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Drew Romo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
New York Mets spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 77% | 24% |
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Luis Castillo Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 43% | 57% |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 4% | 92% |
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 15% |
Luis Castillo Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 43% | 52% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Tristan Peters Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Christian Scott Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 45% |
Christian Scott Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 19% | 71% |
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Luis Torrens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 41% |
Total over 14.5 | — | — | — | 36% |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 36% | — | — | — |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 100% | 31% |
New York Mets spread minus 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 27% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | 51% |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 24% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 23% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 22% |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | 24% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 100% | 21% |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
New York Mets spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 20% |
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Drew Romo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 20% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 30% | 8% |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Total Bases | 19% | — | — | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 18% |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 18% | 18% |
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Total Bases | 18% | — | — | — |
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 17% |
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 17% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 17% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits | 17% | — | — | — |
Andrew Benintendi Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 12% |
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 15% |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 15% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 15% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 14% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 14% |
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Total Bases | 14% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 100% | 12% |
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 11% |
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 11% |
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 6% | 16% |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 10% |
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 4% | 16% |
Chase Meidroth Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Sam Antonacci Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 9% |
Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs | 2% | — | — | 15% |
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 8% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs | 7% | — | 0% | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits | 7% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Chicago White Sox | 1% | 2% | 7% | 4% |
Christian Scott Over 10.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Christian Scott Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Christian Scott Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 5.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Christian Scott Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Christian Scott Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Luis Castillo Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Christian Scott Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Luis Castillo Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Christian Scott Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Christian Scott Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
Luis Castillo Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
New York Mets
88.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Chicago WS wins the New York M vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York M vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for August 22 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-22 at 7:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are New York Mets: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 60.0¢ on Polymarket, 98.8¢ on ProphetX, 98.0¢ on Polymarket US; Chicago White Sox: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 7.0¢ on Polymarket, 4.3¢ on ProphetX, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 39.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, New York Mets at 88.9¢ implies about a 88.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.