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Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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New York Mets Wins: New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-22

This market resolved on 2026-08-22. New York Mets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.

About This Market

New York Mets vs.

New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Total over 8.5
99%—100%99%
Total over 5.5
99%——99%
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Christian Scott Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Christian Scott Over 1.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Christian Scott Over 2.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Christian Scott Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Christian Scott Over 3.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Christian Scott Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Luis Castillo Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Luis Castillo Over 1.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Luis Castillo Over 2.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Luis Castillo Over 3.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Luis Castillo Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——99%—
Over 12.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Chase Meidroth Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Tristan Peters Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
New York MetsWINNER
99%98%60%99%
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs
——1%97%
Braden Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%97%
Drew Romo Under 0.5 Home Runs
———97%
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Home Runs
———97%
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Home Runs
———96%
New York Mets spread plus 1.5
——100%96%
Sam Antonacci Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs
——1%95%
Jared Young Under 0.5 Home Runs
———94%
Luis Robert Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%94%
New York Mets spread plus 4.5
———94%
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———93%
Total over 11.5
99%——92%
New York Mets spread plus 2.5
——0%91%
New York Mets spread plus 3.5
———90%
Total over 8.0
———90%
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Total over 4.5
99%——89%
Andrew Benintendi Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%97%
Christian Scott Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——1%87%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 4.5
———86%
Total over 6.5
99%——86%
Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%91%
Total over 10.5
99%——85%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 3.5
———83%
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%86%
New York Mets spread minus 1.5
99%—100%82%
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Home Runs
——77%87%
Total over 7.5
99%—71%92%
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
New York Mets spread minus 2.5
99%—100%80%
Total under 14.5
———72%
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Luis Torrens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
New York Mets spread plus 1.0
———61%
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Drew Romo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Christian Scott Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—99%58%
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Brett Baty Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs
——20%90%
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.0
———54%
Francisco Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Drew Romo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
New York Mets spread minus 1.0
———52%
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Home Runs
——77%24%
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Luis Castillo Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—43%57%
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Total over 9.5
99%—4%92%
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs
——80%15%
Luis Castillo Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——43%52%
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Tristan Peters Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Christian Scott Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——0%45%
Christian Scott Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%—19%71%
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Luis Torrens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.0
———41%
Total over 14.5
———36%
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
36%———
Chicago White Sox spread plus 2.5
——100%31%
New York Mets spread minus 3.5
99%——27%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%——51%
Luis Robert Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%24%
Total under 10.5
———23%
Total under 6.5
———22%
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—20%24%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.5
——100%21%
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
New York Mets spread minus 4.5
———20%
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Drew Romo Over 0.5 Home Runs
———20%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.5
1%—30%8%
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Total Bases
19%———
Total under 4.5
———18%
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs
——18%18%
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Total Bases
18%———
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———17%
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
———17%
Total under 8.0
———17%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits
17%———
Andrew Benintendi Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%12%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs
———15%
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%15%
Total under 5.5
———15%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 2.5
1%—0%14%
Total under 11.5
———14%
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Total Bases
14%———
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 RBIs
13%———
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%———
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%———
Total under 8.5
——100%12%
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%11%
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 4.5
———11%
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
11%———
Total under 7.5
——6%16%
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%10%
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Total under 9.5
——4%16%
Chase Meidroth Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Sam Antonacci Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%9%
Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs
2%——15%
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs
——51%8%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs
7%—0%—
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits
7%———
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 RBIs
7%———
Chicago White Sox
1%2%7%4%
Christian Scott Over 10.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Christian Scott Over 8.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Christian Scott Over 9.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Luis Castillo Over 6.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Luis Castillo Over 7.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Luis Castillo Over 8.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 RBIs
2%———
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases
2%———
Francisco Lindor Over 5.5 Total Bases
2%———
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Christian Scott Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Christian Scott Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
1%———
Luis Castillo Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Luis Castillo Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%—1%—
Luis Castillo Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Christian Scott Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Luis Castillo Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Christian Scott Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits
0%———
Luis Castillo Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Christian Scott Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%—
Luis Castillo Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%—
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread39.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

New York Mets

88.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:10 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Chicago WS wins the New York M vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the New York M vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for August 22 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-22 at 7:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are New York Mets: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 60.0¢ on Polymarket, 98.8¢ on ProphetX, 98.0¢ on Polymarket US; Chicago White Sox: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 7.0¢ on Polymarket, 4.3¢ on ProphetX, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 39.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, New York Mets at 88.9¢ implies about a 88.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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