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Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Chicago White Sox Wins: New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-21

This market resolved on 2026-08-21. Chicago White Sox was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 61%.

About This Market

New York Mets vs.

New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Sean Manaea Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—99%—
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Sean Burke Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
99%———
Sean Burke Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Sean Burke Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Sean Manaea Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
99%———
Sean Manaea Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Brenton Doyle Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Jake Rogers Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Luisangel Acuna Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Sean Manaea Over 0.5 Earned Runs
98%———
Chicago White Sox spread plus 3.5
———97%
Randal Grichuk Over 1.5 Home Runs
——97%—
Randal Grichuk Under 1.5 Home Runs
——97%—
Luis Robert Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%99%
Sean Manaea Under 6.5 Strikeouts
———95%
New York Mets spread plus 3.5
———93%
New York Mets spread plus 4.5
———93%
Total over 4.5
99%——91%
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
——90%—
Total under 12.5
———90%
Randal Grichuk Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%98%
Total over 3.5
99%——89%
Total over 6.5
99%——89%
New York Mets spread plus 2.5
——82%95%
Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%97%
Total over 8.0
———88%
Total over 7.0
———86%
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 2.5
——70%92%
Total under 11.5
———81%
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
New York Mets spread plus 1.5
——65%95%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.5
——67%87%
Total over 5.5
99%——75%
Jake Rogers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———74%
Total over 9.0
———74%
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———73%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.0
———72%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 4.5
———69%
Randal Grichuk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Total over 8.5
99%—58%78%
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Luisangel Acuna Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Francisco Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
New York Mets spread plus 1.0
———65%
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Total over 7.5
99%—44%86%
Brenton Doyle Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Total under 10.5
———61%
Chicago White SoxWINNER
99%61%52%62%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Sean Burke Over 1.5 Earned Runs
60%———
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Home Runs
——20%99%
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Braden Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs
——20%96%
Sean Burke Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——19%97%
Jared Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Sean Manaea Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——52%62%
Jared Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Sean Burke Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%—42%65%
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Jake Rogers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Total over 9.5
99%—45%51%
Total under 9.5
——45%51%
Sean Manaea Over 2.5 Earned Runs
48%———
Sean Manaea Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%—99%48%
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Randal Grichuk Over 0.5 Home Runs
——81%13%
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs
——80%14%
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——46%
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Brenton Doyle Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Luisangel Acuna Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Luisangel Acuna Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Sean Burke Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%—99%43%
Total over 10.5
1%——43%
Sean Burke Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——42%44%
Randal Grichuk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
New York Mets
1%40%48%40%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.0
———40%
Total under 7.5
——56%19%
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———38%
New York Mets spread minus 4.5
———34%
Total under 9.0
———34%
New York Mets spread minus 1.0
———33%
Sean Manaea Over 6.5 Strikeouts
10%——51%
Total under 8.5
——100%28%
New York Mets spread minus 1.5
1%—34%21%
Sean Manaea Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—26%—
Sean Manaea Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——26%—
Total over 11.5
1%——24%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.5
99%—38%9%
Sean Burke Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—22%—
Sean Burke Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——22%—
Total under 7.0
———21%
New York Mets spread minus 2.5
1%—30%12%
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Chase Meidroth Under 0.5 Home Runs
——20%99%
Jared Young Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Total under 8.0
———20%
Jared Young Under 0.5 Home Runs
——19%99%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 4.5
———18%
Total over 12.5
1%——17%
Total under 4.5
———17%
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%11%
Chase Meidroth Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%9%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits
14%———
Sean Manaea Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——14%—
Chicago White Sox spread minus 2.5
1%—18%9%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs
7%—20%—
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs
———13%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 RBIs
13%———
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%6%
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%6%
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%5%
Luis Robert Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%5%
Total under 6.5
———12%
Total under 3.5
———11%
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs
——100%11%
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Sean Burke Over 9.5 Strikeouts
10%———
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Jake Rogers Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs
5%——12%
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%8%
Brenton Doyle Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Luisangel Acuna Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Sean Burke Over 7.5 Strikeouts
8%———
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—19%7%
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
New York Mets spread minus 3.5
1%——7%
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Total under 5.5
———4%
Sean Burke Over 8.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Sean Manaea Over 10.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Sean Manaea Over 7.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Sean Manaea Over 8.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Sean Manaea Over 9.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 RBIs
2%———
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases
2%———
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Total Bases
2%———
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Total Bases
2%———
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
1%———
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits
1%———
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Jared Young Under 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Sean Burke Over 0.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Sean Burke Over 2.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Sean Burke Over 3.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Sean Burke Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Sean Manaea Over 1.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Sean Manaea Over 3.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Sean Manaea Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread47.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Chicago White Sox

68.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Chicago WS wins the New York M vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the New York M vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for August 21 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-21 at 7:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Chicago White Sox: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 52.0¢ on Polymarket, 62.3¢ on ProphetX, 60.5¢ on Polymarket US; New York Mets: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 47.5¢ on Polymarket, 40.2¢ on ProphetX, 39.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 47.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Chicago White Sox at 68.5¢ implies about a 68.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available