About This Market
New York Mets vs.
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-21
This market resolved on 2026-08-21. Chicago White Sox was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 61%.
New York Mets vs.
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sean Manaea Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 99% | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Brenton Doyle Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Jake Rogers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Luisangel Acuna Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Sean Manaea Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 98% | — | — | — |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 97% |
Randal Grichuk Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | — |
Randal Grichuk Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | — |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 99% |
Sean Manaea Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 95% |
New York Mets spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 93% |
New York Mets spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 93% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 91% |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | — |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Randal Grichuk Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 98% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 89% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 89% |
New York Mets spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 82% | 95% |
Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 97% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 88% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 86% |
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 70% | 92% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 81% |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
New York Mets spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 65% | 95% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 67% | 87% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 75% |
Jake Rogers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 74% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 74% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 73% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 72% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 69% |
Randal Grichuk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 69% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 58% | 78% |
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Luisangel Acuna Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Francisco Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
New York Mets spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 65% |
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 44% | 86% |
Brenton Doyle Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 61% |
Chicago White SoxWINNER | 99% | 61% | 52% | 62% |
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Sean Burke Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 60% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 99% |
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Braden Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 96% |
Sean Burke Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 19% | 97% |
Jared Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Sean Manaea Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 52% | 62% |
Jared Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Sean Burke Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 42% | 65% |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Jake Rogers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 45% | 51% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 45% | 51% |
Sean Manaea Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 48% | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | 48% |
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Randal Grichuk Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 13% |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 14% |
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 46% |
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Brenton Doyle Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Luisangel Acuna Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Luisangel Acuna Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Sean Burke Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | 43% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 43% |
Sean Burke Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 42% | 44% |
Randal Grichuk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
New York Mets | 1% | 40% | 48% | 40% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 56% | 19% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
New York Mets spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 34% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 34% |
New York Mets spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 33% |
Sean Manaea Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 10% | — | — | 51% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 100% | 28% |
New York Mets spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 34% | 21% |
Sean Manaea Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 26% | — |
Sean Manaea Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 26% | — |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 24% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 38% | 9% |
Sean Burke Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 22% | — |
Sean Burke Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 22% | — |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 21% |
New York Mets spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 30% | 12% |
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Chase Meidroth Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 99% |
Jared Young Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 20% |
Jared Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 99% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 18% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 17% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 17% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 11% |
Chase Meidroth Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 9% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits | 14% | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 14% | — |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 18% | 9% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs | 7% | — | 20% | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 13% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 6% |
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 6% |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 5% |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 5% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 12% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 11% |
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 11% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | — |
Sean Burke Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 10% | — | — | — |
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Jake Rogers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs | 5% | — | — | 12% |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 8% |
Brenton Doyle Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Luisangel Acuna Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Sean Burke Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 8% | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 19% | 7% |
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
New York Mets spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 7% |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 4% |
Sean Burke Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Over 10.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jared Young Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Sean Burke Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Chicago White Sox
68.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Chicago WS wins the New York M vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York M vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for August 21 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-21 at 7:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Chicago White Sox: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 52.0¢ on Polymarket, 62.3¢ on ProphetX, 60.5¢ on Polymarket US; New York Mets: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 47.5¢ on Polymarket, 40.2¢ on ProphetX, 39.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 47.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Chicago White Sox at 68.5¢ implies about a 68.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.