About This Market
New York Mets vs.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins (1:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-07. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins (1:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-07
This market resolved on 2026-09-07. New York Mets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
New York Mets vs.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins (1:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-07. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 100% | — |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 99% | — |
Jared Young Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jonah Tong Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 99% | — |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | — |
Jonah Tong Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 97% | — |
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | — |
New York Mets spread minus 1.5 | 95% | — | 99% | 73% |
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 95% |
Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 95% |
New York Mets spread minus 2.5 | 95% | — | 99% | 91% |
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 95% |
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 95% |
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 91% | — |
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 90% |
Jared Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 88% |
Juan Soto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 86% | — | 91% | — |
New York Mets spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Eury Perez Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 88% | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 89% |
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 87% |
New York Mets spread minus 3.5 | 86% | — | 99% | 83% |
New York MetsWINNER | 100% | 71% | 100% | 96% |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | 99% | 83% |
Kyle Stowers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 83% |
New York Mets spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 80% |
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 79% | 80% |
New York Mets spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 92% | 67% |
New York Mets spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 58% | 95% |
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 76% |
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 76% |
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 0% | 76% |
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 97% | 50% |
Jonah Tong Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 72% | — |
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 97% | 46% |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 91% | 52% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 71% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 71% |
Griffin Conine Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 57% |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 91% | 45% |
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 91% | 44% |
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 52% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | 99% | 66% |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 50% |
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 64% |
Eury Perez Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 63% | — |
Deyvison De Los Santos Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 62% |
Owen Caissie Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 100% | 61% |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 1% | 58% |
Eury Perez Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | 58% |
Total over 7.5 | 100% | — | 100% | 57% |
Eury Perez Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 57% | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 1% | 55% |
Jonah Tong Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 54% | 55% |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 99% | 55% |
Brian Navarreto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
New York Mets spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 54% |
Brian Navarreto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 53% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 53% |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | 91% | — |
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 1% | 51% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 100% | 51% |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 99% | 51% |
Eury Perez Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | 50% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 48% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 0% | 48% |
Deyvison De Los Santos Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 100% | 47% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
Jonah Tong Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 46% | 48% |
Owen Caissie Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 1% | 47% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 1% | 47% |
Esteury Ruiz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Jonah Tong Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 45% | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 0% | 44% |
Eury Perez Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 44% | — |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 43% |
New York Mets spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 38% |
Eury Perez Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 38% | — |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 37% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 37% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 0% | 37% |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | 56% |
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 10% | 62% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 1% | 70% |
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 10% | 60% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 34% |
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 3% | 64% |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 10% | 55% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 32% |
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 32% | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | 50% |
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 10% | 50% |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 6% | — | — | 53% |
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 3% | 56% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | 1% | 29% |
Jonah Tong Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 28% | — |
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | — | 47% |
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 3% | 52% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 27% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 42% | 9% |
Bo Bichette Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 24% | — | — | — |
Miami Marlins spread plus 3.5 | — | — | 1% | 22% |
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 21% | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 21% | 23% |
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 20% | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 6% | — | 20% | 21% |
Eury Perez Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 20% | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 18% |
Miami Marlins | 1% | 30% | 0% | 7% |
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 16% | 18% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 16% | 18% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 15% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 1% | 14% |
Eury Perez Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 13% | — |
Jonah Tong Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 13% | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 12% |
Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Home Runs | 18% | — | — | 6% |
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 11% | 13% |
Carson Benge Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 11% | 11% |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 11% | 12% |
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | 17% |
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 10% |
Juan Soto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 9% | 9% |
Kyle Stowers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | — | — |
Owen Caissie Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 13% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.5 | 2% | — | 8% | 25% |
Otto Lopez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 8% | 9% |
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 13% |
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 13% |
Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 9% | 7% |
Kyle Stowers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 5% | — | — | — |
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 1% | — |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 1% | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 1% | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 3% | — |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 3% | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 3% | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 3% | — |
Eury Perez Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Jared Young Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Jonah Tong Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 8.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 9.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jonah Tong Over 0.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jonah Tong Over 1.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jonah Tong Over 2.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jonah Tong Over 3.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jonah Tong Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Jonah Tong Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | — |
Jonah Tong Over 8.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Miami Marlins spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | — |
New York Mets spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Total over 12.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 3.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 4.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | — | — | — | — |
New York Mets
91.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New York M wins the New York M vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York M vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins, scheduled for September 7 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the New York Mets vs Miami Marlins MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-07 at 1:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are New York Mets: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 96.1¢ on ProphetX, 70.5¢ on Polymarket US; Miami Marlins: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 7.0¢ on ProphetX, 29.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 29.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, New York Mets at 91.5¢ implies about a 91.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.