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Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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New York Mets Wins: New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-08

This market resolved on 2026-09-08. New York Mets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 93%.

About This Market

New York Mets vs.

New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
New York MetsWINNER
97%45%90%98%
New York Mets spread plus 1.5
——86%97%
Total over 6.5
100%—83%97%
Total over 7.5
99%—90%87%
New York Mets spread minus 1.5
87%—92%88%
Miami Marlins spread plus 2.5
——87%—
New York Mets spread plus 2.5
——83%—
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—81%—
Total over 8.5
99%—83%74%
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%59%
Griffin Conine Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———73%
Esteury Ruiz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———72%
Total under 11.5
———67%
Francisco Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Esteury Ruiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——74%58%
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——72%55%
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits
63%———
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——73%53%
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——72%53%
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%73%
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
72%—50%—
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
71%—50%—
Brett Baty Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——71%47%
Brian Navarreto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Jared Serna Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%62%
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
67%—40%—
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
53%—18%53%
Total over 8.0
———51%
Juan Soto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—51%—
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
48%—51%73%
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
47%—50%53%
Brian Navarreto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Total under 8.0
———50%
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——47%51%
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Total under 9.5
———47%
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
42%—50%—
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Brett Baty Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Esteury Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——29%55%
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
33%—51%—
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—28%55%
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Total Bases
39%———
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——27%51%
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——26%50%
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—38%—
Kyle Stowers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
20%—51%—
Jared Serna Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——23%45%
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 RBIs
32%———
Kyle Stowers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%—50%—
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—3%58%
Total under 5.5
———28%
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
32%—18%—
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Total Bases
24%———
Total under 8.5
——17%29%
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
27%—19%—
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—20%—
Kyle Stowers Over 3.5 Total Bases
18%———
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%—12%—
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%—12%—
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits
14%———
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 RBIs
13%———
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—13%—
Total under 7.5
——10%14%
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.5
——8%16%
Total under 6.5
——17%6%
Kyle Stowers Over 4.5 Total Bases
9%———
Carson Benge Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%—8%—
Miami Marlins
3%55%12%4%
Bo Bichette Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
9%—7%—
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.5
2%—1%7%
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—3%—
Juan Soto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—3%—
New York Mets spread minus 2.5
1%—2%—
Miami Marlins spread minus 2.5
1%—1%—
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 RBIs
0%———
Kyle Stowers Over 5.5 Total Bases
0%———
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Agustin Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Agustin Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs
————
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs
————
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits
————
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits
————
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Total Bases
————
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits
————
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Total Bases
————
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits
————
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Total Bases
————
Bo Bichette Over 4.5 Total Bases
————
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs
————
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs
————
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits
————
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Carson Benge Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits
————
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Carson Benge Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Total Bases
————
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits
————
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Total Bases
————
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Total Bases
————
Carson Benge Over 4.5 Total Bases
————
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs
————
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs
————
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits
————
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits
————
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases
————
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits
————
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Total Bases
————
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits
————
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Total Bases
————
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Total Bases
————
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs
————
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs
————
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Heriberto Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs
————
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jared Serna Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Jared Serna Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jared Serna Under 0.5 Home Runs
————
Jared Serna Under 1.5 Home Runs
————
Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Javier Sanoja Under 0.5 Home Runs
————
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Home Runs
————
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits
————
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Juan Soto Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits
————
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Juan Soto Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits
————
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Home Runs
————
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Home Runs
————
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Kyle Stowers Under 0.5 Home Runs
————
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Home Runs
————
Miami wins by over 3.5 runs
————
New York M wins by over 3.5 runs
————
Otto Lopez Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Home Runs
————
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Home Runs
————
Over 1.5 runs scored
————
Over 2.5 runs scored
————
Over 3.5 runs scored
————
Over 4.5 runs scored
————
Sandy Alcantara Over 1.5 Strikeouts
————
Sandy Alcantara Over 18.5 Pitcher Outs
————
Sandy Alcantara Over 2.5 Strikeouts
————
Sandy Alcantara Over 3.5 Strikeouts
————
Sandy Alcantara Over 4.5 Strikeouts
————
Sandy Alcantara Over 5.5 Strikeouts
————
Sandy Alcantara Over 6.5 Strikeouts
————
Sandy Alcantara Over 7.5 Strikeouts
————
Sandy Alcantara Under 2.5 Strikeouts
————
Sandy Alcantara Under 3.5 Strikeouts
————
Sandy Alcantara Under 4.5 Strikeouts
————
Sandy Alcantara Under 6.5 Strikeouts
————
Sandy Alcantara Under 7.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Manaea Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
————
Sean Manaea Over 2.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Manaea Over 3.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Manaea Over 4.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Manaea Over 5.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Manaea Over 6.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Manaea Over 7.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Manaea Over 8.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Manaea Under 3.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Manaea Under 4.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Manaea Under 5.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Manaea Under 6.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Manaea Under 7.5 Strikeouts
————
Total over 10.5
————
Total over 11.5
————
Total over 5.5
————
Total over 9.5
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread53.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

New York Mets

82.4% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Miami wins the New York M vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the New York M vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins, scheduled for September 8 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the New York Mets vs Miami Marlins MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-08 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are New York Mets: 96.5¢ on Kalshi, 90.2¢ on Polymarket, 98.0¢ on ProphetX, 45.0¢ on Polymarket US; Miami Marlins: 3.0¢ on Kalshi, 12.1¢ on Polymarket, 4.1¢ on ProphetX, 55.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 53.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, New York Mets at 82.4¢ implies about a 82.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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