About This Market
New York Mets vs.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-08
This market resolved on 2026-09-08. New York Mets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 93%.
New York Mets vs.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
New York MetsWINNER | 97% | 45% | 90% | 98% |
New York Mets spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 86% | 97% |
Total over 6.5 | 100% | — | 83% | 97% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 90% | 87% |
New York Mets spread minus 1.5 | 87% | — | 92% | 88% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 87% | — |
New York Mets spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 83% | — |
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 83% | 74% |
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 97% | 59% |
Griffin Conine Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 73% |
Esteury Ruiz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 72% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 67% |
Francisco Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Esteury Ruiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 74% | 58% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 72% | 55% |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits | 63% | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 73% | 53% |
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 72% | 53% |
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 73% |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 72% | — | 50% | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 71% | — | 50% | — |
Brett Baty Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 71% | 47% |
Brian Navarreto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Jared Serna Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 62% |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 67% | — | 40% | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 53% | — | 18% | 53% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
Juan Soto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 51% | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 48% | — | 51% | 73% |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 47% | — | 50% | 53% |
Brian Navarreto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 47% | 51% |
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 47% |
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 42% | — | 50% | — |
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Brett Baty Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 29% | 55% |
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 33% | — | 51% | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 28% | 55% |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Total Bases | 39% | — | — | — |
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 27% | 51% |
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 26% | 50% |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 38% | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | 51% | — |
Jared Serna Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 23% | 45% |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 RBIs | 32% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | 50% | — |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 3% | 58% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 28% |
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 32% | — | 18% | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Total Bases | 24% | — | — | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 17% | 29% |
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 27% | — | 19% | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 20% | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 3.5 Total Bases | 18% | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | 12% | — |
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | 12% | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits | 14% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 13% | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 10% | 14% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 8% | 16% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 17% | 6% |
Kyle Stowers Over 4.5 Total Bases | 9% | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | 8% | — |
Miami Marlins | 3% | 55% | 12% | 4% |
Bo Bichette Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | 7% | — |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.5 | 2% | — | 1% | 7% |
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 3% | — |
Juan Soto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 3% | — |
New York Mets spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 2% | — |
Miami Marlins spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 2.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 5.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Agustin Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Agustin Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jared Serna Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jared Serna Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jared Serna Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jared Serna Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Javier Sanoja Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Stowers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Miami wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — |
New York M wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — |
Otto Lopez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Over 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Over 18.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sandy Alcantara Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Over 8.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Manaea Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | — | — | — | — |
New York Mets
82.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Miami wins the New York M vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York M vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins, scheduled for September 8 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the New York Mets vs Miami Marlins MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-08 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are New York Mets: 96.5¢ on Kalshi, 90.2¢ on Polymarket, 98.0¢ on ProphetX, 45.0¢ on Polymarket US; Miami Marlins: 3.0¢ on Kalshi, 12.1¢ on Polymarket, 4.1¢ on ProphetX, 55.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 53.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, New York Mets at 82.4¢ implies about a 82.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.