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Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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New York Mets Wins: New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-31

This market resolved on 2026-08-31. New York Mets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 92%.

About This Market

New York Mets vs.

New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-08-31. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Robert Stock Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Total Bases
99%———
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Cedric Mullins Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Ian Seymour Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs
99%———
Ian Seymour Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—51%—
Ian Seymour Over 8.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Ian Seymour Over 9.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Robert Stock Over 13.5 Pitcher Outs
99%———
Christopher Morel Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jonny DeLuca Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Richie Palacios Under 0.5 Home Runs
———97%
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Home Runs
———95%
New York MetsWINNER
99%93%35%91%
Liam Hicks Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%95%
Total under 9.5
——68%97%
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%82%
New York Mets spread plus 2.5
——69%93%
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
79%———
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5
——74%79%
New York Mets spread plus 1.5
——58%92%
Total under 7.5
——58%84%
Total under 8.5
——56%86%
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
70%———
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Richie Palacios Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits
63%———
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits
63%———
Ian Seymour Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—61%62%
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——60%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5
——80%40%
Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Total under 8.0
———58%
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Robert Stock Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%56%
Cedric Mullins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Ian Seymour Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——55%56%
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits
54%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
46%——56%
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Robert Stock Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—50%—
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——49%
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
48%——50%
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Total over 8.0
———47%
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
47%———
Cedric Mullins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
45%——47%
Ian Seymour Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%—45%46%
Robert Stock Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%46%
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——44%
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
27%——61%
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Richie Palacios Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
New York Mets spread minus 2.5
1%—14%69%
Yandy Diaz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
38%——44%
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Total Bases
40%———
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases
39%———
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
39%———
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Total Bases
37%———
Total over 8.5
1%—44%21%
Total over 7.5
1%—42%23%
Juan Soto Over 0.5 RBIs
32%———
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
32%———
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 RBIs
32%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 RBIs
31%———
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
30%———
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 RBIs
29%———
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
29%———
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
28%———
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 RBIs
28%———
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits
28%———
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits
27%———
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Total Bases
27%———
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits
27%———
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
27%———
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5
1%—42%12%
New York Mets spread minus 1.5
1%—0%26%
Carson Benge Over 0.5 RBIs
26%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits
26%———
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Total Bases
25%———
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
25%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Total Bases
25%———
Ian Seymour Over 7.5 Strikeouts
99%—25%—
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5
1%——24%
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits
23%———
Juan Soto Over 3.5 Total Bases
23%———
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Total Bases
23%———
Total over 9.5
1%—32%13%
Yandy Diaz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
22%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
21%———
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—20%—
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—20%—
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits
20%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—20%—
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home Runs
20%—4%22%
Juan Soto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%———
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
18%———
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 RBIs
17%———
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%———
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Total Bases
16%———
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits
16%———
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—20%10%
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
15%———
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—21%15%
New York Mets spread minus 3.5
1%——14%
Yandy Diaz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
13%———
Tampa Bay Rays
1%8%66%13%
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Total Bases
12%———
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5
2%—31%11%
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 RBIs
11%———
Juan Soto Over 1.5 RBIs
11%———
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—20%—
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Total Bases
11%———
Christopher Morel Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Juan Soto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%———
Juan Soto Over 4.5 Total Bases
10%———
Bo Bichette Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
9%———
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
9%———
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 RBIs
9%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%—10%9%
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%—8%9%
Bo Bichette Over 4.5 Total Bases
8%———
Carson Benge Over 1.5 RBIs
8%———
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 RBIs
8%———
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Total Bases
8%———
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Total Bases
8%———
Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—12%8%
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 RBIs
7%———
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Total Bases
7%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Total Bases
7%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Total Bases
7%———
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Total Bases
7%———
Yandy Diaz Over 2.5 Hits
7%———
Liam Hicks Over 0.5 Home Runs
——5%9%
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits
6%———
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Total Bases
6%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits
6%———
Juan Soto Over 5.5 Total Bases
6%———
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 RBIs
6%———
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—14%6%
Jonny DeLuca Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits
5%———
Carson Benge Over 4.5 Total Bases
5%———
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits
5%———
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits
5%———
Robert Stock Over 5.5 Strikeouts
5%———
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Total Bases
4%———
Robert Stock Over 6.5 Strikeouts
4%—4%—
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs
4%—1%—
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—1%—
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 RBIs
2%———
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits
2%———
Yandy Diaz Over 3.5 Hits
2%———
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Total Bases
1%———
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits
1%———
Ian Seymour Over 10.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Total Bases
1%———
Robert Stock Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Carson Benge Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Ian Seymour Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—1%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread64.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

New York Mets

79.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If New York M wins the New York M vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the New York M vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for August 31 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-31 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are New York Mets: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 35.0¢ on Polymarket, 91.5¢ on ProphetX, 92.5¢ on Polymarket US; Tampa Bay Rays: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 65.5¢ on Polymarket, 12.9¢ on ProphetX, 7.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 64.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, New York Mets at 79.5¢ implies about a 79.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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