About This Market
New York Mets vs.
New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-08-31. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-31
This market resolved on 2026-08-31. New York Mets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 92%.
New York Mets vs.
New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-08-31. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Robert Stock Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Cedric Mullins Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Ian Seymour Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Ian Seymour Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 51% | — |
Ian Seymour Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Ian Seymour Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Robert Stock Over 13.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Christopher Morel Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Jonny DeLuca Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Richie Palacios Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 95% |
New York MetsWINNER | 99% | 93% | 35% | 91% |
Liam Hicks Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 95% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 68% | 97% |
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 82% |
New York Mets spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 69% | 93% |
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 79% | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 74% | 79% |
New York Mets spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 58% | 92% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 58% | 84% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 56% | 86% |
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 70% | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Richie Palacios Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits | 63% | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits | 63% | — | — | — |
Ian Seymour Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 61% | 62% |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 60% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 80% | 40% |
Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 58% |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Robert Stock Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 56% |
Cedric Mullins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Ian Seymour Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 55% | 56% |
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits | 54% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | 56% |
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Robert Stock Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 49% |
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 48% | — | — | 50% |
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 47% | — | — | — |
Cedric Mullins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 45% | — | — | 47% |
Ian Seymour Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 45% | 46% |
Robert Stock Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 46% |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 44% |
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 27% | — | — | 61% |
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Richie Palacios Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
New York Mets spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 14% | 69% |
Yandy Diaz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | — | — | 44% |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Total Bases | 40% | — | — | — |
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases | 39% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 39% | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Total Bases | 37% | — | — | — |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 44% | 21% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 42% | 23% |
Juan Soto Over 0.5 RBIs | 32% | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 32% | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 RBIs | 32% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 RBIs | 31% | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 30% | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 RBIs | 29% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 29% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 28% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 RBIs | 28% | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits | 28% | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits | 27% | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Total Bases | 27% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits | 27% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 27% | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 42% | 12% |
New York Mets spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 26% |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 RBIs | 26% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits | 26% | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Total Bases | 25% | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 25% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Total Bases | 25% | — | — | — |
Ian Seymour Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 25% | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 24% |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits | 23% | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 3.5 Total Bases | 23% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Total Bases | 23% | — | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 32% | 13% |
Yandy Diaz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 22% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 21% | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits | 20% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | — |
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home Runs | 20% | — | 4% | 22% |
Juan Soto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 RBIs | 17% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Total Bases | 16% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits | 16% | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | 10% |
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 21% | 15% |
New York Mets spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 14% |
Yandy Diaz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays | 1% | 8% | 66% | 13% |
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Total Bases | 12% | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5 | 2% | — | 31% | 11% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 RBIs | 11% | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 RBIs | 11% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 20% | — |
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Total Bases | 11% | — | — | — |
Christopher Morel Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Juan Soto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 4.5 Total Bases | 10% | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 RBIs | 9% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 10% | 9% |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 8% | 9% |
Bo Bichette Over 4.5 Total Bases | 8% | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 RBIs | 8% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 RBIs | 8% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Total Bases | 8% | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Total Bases | 8% | — | — | — |
Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 12% | 8% |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Total Bases | 7% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Total Bases | 7% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Total Bases | 7% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Total Bases | 7% | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 2.5 Hits | 7% | — | — | — |
Liam Hicks Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 5% | 9% |
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 5.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 RBIs | 6% | — | — | — |
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 14% | 6% |
Jonny DeLuca Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 4.5 Total Bases | 5% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Robert Stock Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 5% | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Total Bases | 4% | — | — | — |
Robert Stock Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 4% | — | 4% | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 1% | — |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 3.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Total Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Ian Seymour Over 10.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Total Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Robert Stock Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ian Seymour Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | — |
New York Mets
79.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New York M wins the New York M vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York M vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for August 31 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-31 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are New York Mets: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 35.0¢ on Polymarket, 91.5¢ on ProphetX, 92.5¢ on Polymarket US; Tampa Bay Rays: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 65.5¢ on Polymarket, 12.9¢ on ProphetX, 7.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 64.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, New York Mets at 79.5¢ implies about a 79.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.