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Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Tampa Bay Rays Wins: New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-01

This market resolved on 2026-09-01. Tampa Bay Rays was the officially declared outcome.

About This Market

New York Mets vs.

New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-01. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

3 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
ProphetX
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Home Runs
—100%—
Nick Fortes Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs
—98%—
Jared Young Under 1.5 Home Runs
—98%—
Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Home Runs
—98%—
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Home Runs
—98%—
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Home Runs
——97%
Jorge Mateo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——97%
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs
—97%—
Chandler Simpson Under 0.5 Home Runs
—96%—
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs
—92%99%
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs
—0%95%
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Home Runs
—95%—
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs
—91%99%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5
—96%92%
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Home Runs
——94%
Jonny DeLuca Under 0.5 Home Runs
—88%98%
Jared Young Under 0.5 Home Runs
—87%95%
Ryan Vilade Under 0.5 Home Runs
—86%96%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 4.5
——90%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5
—87%92%
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs
—80%98%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 3.5
——85%
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Home Runs
—78%90%
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs
—83%85%
New York Mets spread plus 4.5
——84%
Total under 11.5
——82%
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs
—76%86%
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs
—80%—
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Home Runs
—80%—
Ryan Vilade Under 1.5 Home Runs
—80%—
Total under 10.5
——77%
Total under 9.5
—65%79%
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——68%
Total under 8.5
—56%80%
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——64%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.0
——63%
Nick Fortes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——62%
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——61%
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——61%
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——61%
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits
61%——
Jorge Mateo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——61%
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——60%
Total over 7.0
——59%
Total under 7.5
—63%54%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——58%
Ryan Vilade Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——58%
Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——56%
New York Mets spread plus 1.0
——56%
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——56%
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——56%
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——55%
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——55%
Total under 8.0
——54%
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Home Runs
—7%96%
Sean Manaea Under 4.5 Strikeouts
—1%51%
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——51%
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——49%
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——49%
Total over 8.0
——47%
Ryan Vilade Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——47%
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——47%
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——47%
Jorge Mateo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——46%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.0
——46%
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——46%
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
44%—48%
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——46%
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——46%
New York Mets spread plus 2.5
—72%19%
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——45%
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——44%
Nick Fortes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——43%
Total under 7.0
——43%
Freddy Peralta Under 4.5 Strikeouts
—40%41%
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——40%
New York Mets spread minus 1.0
——38%
New York Mets spread plus 1.5
—59%16%
Total under 4.5
——32%
Total under 5.5
——30%
New York Mets spread plus 3.5
——27%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 4.5
——21%
Total under 6.5
——21%
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Home Runs
—20%—
Ryan Vilade Over 1.5 Home Runs
—20%—
Ryan Vilade Over 0.5 Home Runs
—14%13%
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs
—20%7%
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs
——13%
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
—13%12%
New York Mets spread minus 4.5
——12%
Jorge Mateo Over 0.5 Home Runs
——12%
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs
9%12%11%
Jonny DeLuca Over 0.5 Home Runs
—12%9%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs
——9%
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Home Runs
——9%
Nick Fortes Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%
Jared Young Over 1.5 Home Runs
—3%—
Chandler Simpson Over 0.5 Home Runs
—3%—
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Home Runs
—2%—
Freddy Peralta Under 2.5 Strikeouts
—1%—
Freddy Peralta Under 7.5 Strikeouts
—1%—
Sean Manaea Under 2.5 Strikeouts
—1%—
Sean Manaea Under 3.5 Strikeouts
—1%—
Sean Manaea Under 6.5 Strikeouts
—1%—
Sean Manaea Under 7.5 Strikeouts
—1%—
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%0%—
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Home Runs
—0%—
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Home Runs
—0%—
Freddy Peralta Under 3.5 Strikeouts
—0%—
Freddy Peralta Under 6.5 Strikeouts
—0%—
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Home Runs
—0%—
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits
0%——
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits
0%——
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits
———
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits
———
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits
———
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits
———
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Bo Bichette Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits
———
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits
———
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits
———
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Carson Benge Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits
———
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits
———
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits
———
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Freddy Peralta Over 2.5 Strikeouts
———
Freddy Peralta Over 3.5 Strikeouts
———
Freddy Peralta Over 4.5 Strikeouts
———
Freddy Peralta Over 6.5 Strikeouts
———
Freddy Peralta Over 7.5 Strikeouts
———
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits
———
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits
———
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits
———
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Juan Soto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Juan Soto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits
———
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits
———
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits
———
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits
———
New York Mets
———
New York Mets spread minus 1.5
———
New York Mets spread minus 2.5
———
New York Mets spread minus 3.5
———
Over 2.5 runs scored
———
Sean Manaea Over 2.5 Strikeouts
———
Sean Manaea Over 3.5 Strikeouts
———
Sean Manaea Over 4.5 Strikeouts
———
Sean Manaea Over 6.5 Strikeouts
———
Sean Manaea Over 7.5 Strikeouts
———
Tampa Bay RaysWINNER
———
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5
———
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5
———
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5
———
Total over 10.5
———
Total over 11.5
———
Total over 12.5
———
Total over 3.5
———
Total over 4.5
———
Total over 5.5
———
Total over 6.5
———
Total over 7.5
———
Total over 8.5
———
Total over 9.5
———
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Hits
———
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits
———
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Yandy Diaz Over 2.5 Hits
———
Yandy Diaz Over 3.5 Hits
———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms0
Candidates2
Winner

New York Mets

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tampa Bay wins the New York M vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the New York M vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 1 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-01 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

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