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Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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New York Mets Wins: New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-02

This market resolved on 2026-09-02. New York Mets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 94%.

About This Market

New York Mets vs.

New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-02. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Chandler Simpson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Jared Young Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Juan Soto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Justin Hagenman Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Total over 5.5
99%——94%
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%94%
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%93%
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%93%
Total over 8.5
99%—95%91%
Liam Hicks Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%90%
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%90%
New York MetsWINNER
99%90%89%98%
New York Mets spread plus 1.5
——83%96%
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%87%
New York Mets spread plus 2.5
——80%93%
Jared Young Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%93%
Total over 9.5
99%—88%81%
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%88%
New York Mets spread plus 4.5
———83%
Total over 6.5
99%——82%
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%81%
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%78%
New York Mets spread plus 3.5
———78%
New York Mets spread minus 3.5
99%——77%
Griffin Jax Under 5.5 Strikeouts
———74%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.0
———71%
Total over 7.5
99%—100%70%
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Justin Hagenman Under 3.5 Strikeouts
———66%
Richie Palacios Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Taylor Walls Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Total over 7.0
———63%
New York Mets spread minus 1.5
99%—66%60%
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Total under 9.0
———61%
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——59%
Cedric Mullins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
57%——60%
Victor Mesa Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Justin Hagenman Over 2.5 Strikeouts
1%——57%
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Griffin Jax Under 4.5 Strikeouts
———56%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——56%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.0
———56%
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
New York Mets spread minus 2.5
99%—72%33%
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%
Total over 8.0
———51%
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%
Total under 8.0
———51%
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits
50%———
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5
——28%71%
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——48%
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Cedric Mullins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Griffin Jax Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%——46%
New York Mets spread plus 1.0
———46%
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Taylor Walls Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
42%———
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Richie Palacios Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Total over 9.0
———41%
Total under 7.0
———39%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5
——34%44%
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
38%———
Justin Hagenman Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%——36%
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
36%———
Total under 7.5
——0%34%
Griffin Jax Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%——32%
New York Mets spread minus 1.0
———31%
Carson Benge Over 0.5 RBIs
31%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
30%———
Yandy Diaz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
30%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits
29%———
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 RBIs
28%———
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits
28%———
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 3.5
———27%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%——52%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5
1%——25%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits
24%———
Total under 6.5
———22%
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
22%———
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%20%
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—20%—
Jared Young Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Griffin Jax Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%——18%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 4.5
———18%
Total under 9.5
——12%24%
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—19%16%
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
———18%
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits
16%———
Yandy Diaz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%———
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———16%
Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Home Runs
———15%
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—0%15%
Liam Hicks Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%10%
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—0%13%
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—0%23%
Juan Soto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
13%———
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
13%———
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5
1%—17%8%
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs
———12%
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%———
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%———
Yandy Diaz Over 2.5 Hits
12%———
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5
1%—1%11%
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits
11%———
Tampa Bay Rays
1%10%11%21%
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%11%
Total under 5.5
———10%
Bo Bichette Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%———
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%———
Yandy Diaz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%———
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—1%10%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—0%10%
Total under 8.5
——5%14%
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%9%
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 RBIs
8%———
Carson Benge Over 1.5 RBIs
8%———
Carson Benge Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
8%———
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits
6%———
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits
5%———
Griffin Jax Over 8.5 Strikeouts
5%———
Justin Hagenman Over 4.5 Strikeouts
5%———
Justin Hagenman Over 6.5 Strikeouts
5%———
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits
4%———
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits
3%———
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
3%———
Griffin Jax Over 7.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits
3%———
Justin Hagenman Over 5.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Griffin Jax Over 3.5 Strikeouts
2%———
Griffin Jax Over 1.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Griffin Jax Over 13.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Griffin Jax Over 2.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits
1%———
Justin Hagenman Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Yandy Diaz Over 3.5 Hits
1%———
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—0%—
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—0%—
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—0%—
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—0%—
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—0%—
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—0%—
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Chandler Simpson Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits
0%———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread19.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

New York Mets

94.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If New York M wins the New York M vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the New York M vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 2 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-02 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are New York Mets: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 89.0¢ on Polymarket, 97.9¢ on ProphetX, 90.0¢ on Polymarket US; Tampa Bay Rays: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 11.0¢ on Polymarket, 20.5¢ on ProphetX, 10.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 19.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, New York Mets at 94.0¢ implies about a 94.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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