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Live prediction market odds for New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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New York Yankees Wins: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-19

This market resolved on 2026-08-19. New York Yankees was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

New York Yankees vs.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Chris Bassitt Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—99%—
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Chris Bassitt Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Chris Bassitt Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%———
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Ryan McMahon Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Will Warren Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Samuel Basallo Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs
——98%99%
New York YankeesWINNER
99%94%100%99%
Total under 12.5
———95%
Total over 4.5
99%——91%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——83%99%
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Total under 11.5
———90%
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%89%
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%88%
Total over 5.5
99%——88%
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5
——85%90%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Home Runs
———86%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5
——82%90%
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5
———85%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5
——85%82%
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———83%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5
———83%
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———80%
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Colton Cowser Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Total over 6.5
99%——80%
Will Warren Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%—58%99%
Total over 7.5
99%——75%
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%99%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———74%
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———73%
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———72%
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———70%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———70%
Total under 8.5
——51%89%
Total under 9.5
——62%75%
Christian Franklin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Will Warren Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——58%75%
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0
———66%
Colton Cowser Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Samuel Basallo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Ryan McMahon Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Will Warren Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—99%63%
Austin Wells Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0
———62%
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Will Warren Over 8.5 Strikeouts
60%———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Total under 9.0
———57%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5
99%—27%84%
Tyler O'Neill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Chris Bassitt Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%53%
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Tyler O'Neill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs
——98%8%
Total under 10.5
——33%72%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——52%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Chris Bassitt Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%51%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Total over 9.0
———50%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5
1%—85%13%
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Ryan McMahon Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
——83%10%
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs
——82%10%
Colton Cowser Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0
———44%
Austin Wells Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———42%
Christian Franklin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——41%
Will Warren Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%41%
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0
———39%
Total over 10.5
1%—33%32%
Total over 8.5
1%—49%14%
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———31%
Total over 9.5
1%—30%29%
Total under 7.5
———29%
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———28%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5
——21%28%
Total under 6.5
———24%
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5
1%——22%
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—0%22%
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5
1%—15%29%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%——41%
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%20%
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Colton Cowser Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—20%—
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs
———18%
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——18%
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%14%
Total under 5.5
———16%
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%11%
Total over 11.5
1%——15%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5
2%—18%13%
Total under 4.5
———11%
Total over 12.5
1%——10%
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%9%
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—0%7%
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%7%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Baltimore Orioles
1%6%34%4%
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%6%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—0%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%———
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%———
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%———
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Chris Bassitt Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Chris Bassitt Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Over 13.5 runs scored
1%———
Will Warren Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Will Warren Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Chris Bassitt Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Chris Bassitt Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Will Warren Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Chris Bassitt Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%—
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Will Warren Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread32.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

New York Yankees

98.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If New York Y wins the New York Y vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the New York Y vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 19 at 6:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-19 at 6:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are New York Yankees: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 94.0¢ on Polymarket US; Baltimore Orioles: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 33.5¢ on Polymarket, 4.1¢ on ProphetX, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 32.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, New York Yankees at 98.0¢ implies about a 98.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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No price history available