About This Market
New York Yankees vs.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-19
This market resolved on 2026-08-19. New York Yankees was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
New York Yankees vs.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Chris Bassitt Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 99% | — |
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Chris Bassitt Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Chris Bassitt Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Ryan McMahon Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Will Warren Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Samuel Basallo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 99% |
New York YankeesWINNER | 99% | 94% | 100% | 99% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 95% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 91% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 99% |
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 99% |
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 89% |
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 88% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 88% |
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 85% | 90% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 86% |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 82% | 90% |
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 85% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 85% | 82% |
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 83% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 80% |
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Colton Cowser Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 80% |
Will Warren Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 58% | 99% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | — | 75% |
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 99% |
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 74% |
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 73% |
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 72% |
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 51% | 89% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 62% | 75% |
Christian Franklin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Will Warren Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 58% | 75% |
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 66% |
Colton Cowser Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Samuel Basallo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Ryan McMahon Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Will Warren Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 99% | 63% |
Austin Wells Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 62% |
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Will Warren Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 60% | — | — | — |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 27% | 84% |
Tyler O'Neill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Chris Bassitt Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | 53% |
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Tyler O'Neill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 8% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 33% | 72% |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Chris Bassitt Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 51% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 85% | 13% |
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Ryan McMahon Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 10% |
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 10% |
Colton Cowser Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 44% |
Austin Wells Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Christian Franklin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 41% |
Will Warren Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 41% |
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 39% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | 33% | 32% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 49% | 14% |
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 31% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 30% | 29% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — | 29% |
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 28% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 21% | 28% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 24% |
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 22% |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 0% | 22% |
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 15% | 29% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | 41% |
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 20% |
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Colton Cowser Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | — |
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 18% |
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 18% |
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 14% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 11% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 15% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5 | 2% | — | 18% | 13% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 11% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 10% |
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 9% |
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | 7% |
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 7% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Baltimore Orioles | 1% | 6% | 34% | 4% |
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 6% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 0% | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Chris Bassitt Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Chris Bassitt Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 13.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Will Warren Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Will Warren Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Chris Bassitt Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Chris Bassitt Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Will Warren Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Chris Bassitt Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Will Warren Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
New York Yankees
98.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New York Y wins the New York Y vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York Y vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 19 at 6:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-19 at 6:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are New York Yankees: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 94.0¢ on Polymarket US; Baltimore Orioles: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 33.5¢ on Polymarket, 4.1¢ on ProphetX, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 32.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, New York Yankees at 98.0¢ implies about a 98.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.