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Live prediction market odds for New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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New York Yankees Wins: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-20

This market resolved on 2026-08-20. New York Yankees was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.

About This Market

New York Yankees vs.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-20. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Gerrit Cole Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——100%—
New York YankeesWINNER
99%100%100%100%
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Gerrit Cole Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
99%———
Gerrit Cole Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Gerrit Cole Over 7.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Kyle Bradish Over 1.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Kyle Bradish Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs
99%———
Kyle Bradish Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases
99%———
Samuel Basallo Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs
——97%99%
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——97%99%
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5
——98%92%
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5
———93%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5
——100%92%
Total over 4.5
99%——92%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——92%—
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5
99%—94%90%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——91%—
Total under 11.5
———90%
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Samuel Basallo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs
———88%
Total over 6.5
99%——85%
Total under 10.5
———81%
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———81%
Gerrit Cole Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—80%—
Kyle Bradish Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—80%—
Kyle Bradish Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—80%—
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Total over 5.5
99%——74%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%98%
Total under 9.5
——78%69%
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———72%
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———70%
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———70%
Jose Caballero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Samuel Basallo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Kyle Bradish Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——81%47%
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0
———62%
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Gerrit Cole Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——50%74%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5
99%——61%
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Total over 7.5
1%—58%64%
Total under 8.5
——56%65%
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Tyler O'Neill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5
99%—43%78%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0
———60%
Total over 8.0
———60%
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs
——20%99%
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs
——50%—
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs
——50%—
Gerrit Cole Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%—50%99%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Total under 8.0
———49%
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
48%———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Tyler O'Neill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0
———45%
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Gerrit Cole Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——44%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
39%——49%
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs
——80%7%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0
———43%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5
———43%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Jose Caballero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5
——57%26%
Total over 8.5
1%—44%38%
Total under 7.5
——42%40%
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———39%
Kyle Bradish Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%—19%58%
Austin Wells Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———38%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
——50%13%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 RBIs
31%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
30%———
Total under 5.5
———29%
Total over 9.5
1%—22%35%
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———28%
Total over 10.5
1%——27%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5
——36%18%
Total under 6.5
———20%
Kyle Bradish Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——20%—
Kyle Bradish Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——20%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Total Bases
19%———
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%———
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs
———19%
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
18%———
Total over 11.5
1%——18%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 RBIs
17%———
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——15%
Total under 4.5
———15%
Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%8%
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%7%
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%7%
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%7%
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Total Bases
13%———
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5
1%—1%13%
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%5%
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%———
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5
1%—4%15%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
——9%—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
——10%8%
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Total Bases
8%———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
——8%—
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Total Bases
6%———
Pete Alonso Over 5.5 Total Bases
6%———
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—3%7%
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits
5%———
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs
——6%3%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—3%4%
Baltimore Orioles
1%1%1%2%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
2%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases
2%———
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Home Runs
——2%—
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 RBIs
2%———
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—2%—
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Gerrit Cole Over 10.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Gerrit Cole Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Gerrit Cole Over 9.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits
1%———
Kyle Bradish Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Kyle Bradish Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Kyle Bradish Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Kyle Bradish Over 9.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Over 12.5 runs scored
1%———
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits
1%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Gerrit Cole Over 1.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 RBIs
0%———
Gerrit Cole Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

New York Yankees

99.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Baltimore wins the New York Y vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the New York Y vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 20 at 6:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-20 at 6:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are New York Yankees: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.5¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Baltimore Orioles: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.7¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, New York Yankees at 99.5¢ implies about a 99.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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