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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

New York Yankees Wins: New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-14

This market resolved on 2026-09-14. New York Yankees was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Over 2.5 runs scored	100%	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	—
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	—
Ben Rice Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	—
Ben Rice Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	—
Ben Rice Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	—
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	—
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	—
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	98%
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	98%
Total under 12.5	—	—	—	—	93%
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5	92%	—	—	24%	90%
Cody Bellinger Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	97%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	88%
Luke Keaschall Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	95%
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	70%	98%
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	86%
Dean Kremer Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	81%	—
Dean Kremer Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	81%	—
Will Warren Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	81%	—
Will Warren Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	81%	—
Brooks Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	99%
Anthony Volpe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	79%
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	79%
Walker Jenkins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	79%
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	76%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	—	73%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5	—	—	67%	71%	96%
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	60%
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	58%
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	57%
Emmanuel Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	69%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	68%
Total over 5.5	100%	—	60%	—	74%
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	53%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5	99%	—	41%	100%	93%
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	66%
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	65%
Victor Caratini Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	65%
New York YankeesWINNER	99%	61%	65%	99%	99%
Walker Jenkins Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	65%
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	45%
Ryan Kreidler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	—	63%
Total over 4.5	100%	—	50%	—	73%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	60%
Total under 8.5	—	—	72%	45%	60%
Total under 9.0	—	—	—	—	60%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5	—	—	60%	61%	11%
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	58%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	100%	57%
Aaron Judge Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	18%	95%
Total over 7.5	99%	—	—	57%	56%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	56%
Will Warren Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	55%	57%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	54%
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	54%
Dean Kremer Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	43%	59%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	51%
Will Warren Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	55%	46%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	51%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	49%
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	48%	—	—	51%	50%
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	—	82%	15%
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	48%
Anthony Volpe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Total over 9.5	99%	—	—	100%	47%
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	41%	—	—	51%	52%
Ryan Kreidler Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Total over 9.0	—	—	—	—	46%
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Aaron Judge Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	—	75%	16%
Total under 7.5	—	—	—	43%	48%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	76%	14%
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	45%
Dean Kremer Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	43%	46%
Walker Jenkins Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	44%
Victor Caratini Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	43%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	43%
Emmanuel Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	43%
Ryan McMahon Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	43%
Total under 4.5	—	—	51%	—	31%
Walker Jenkins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	40%
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	56%
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	56%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	38%
Minnesota Twins	1%	40%	35%	48%	2%
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	53%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	53%
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	51%
Total under 5.5	—	—	40%	—	29%
Aaron Judge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	50%
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	50%
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	49%
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	47%
Total over 8.5	99%	—	29%	33%	45%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	—	30%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5	1%	—	33%	29%	23%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	27%
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	31%	—	—	19%	—
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	25%	—	—	51%	—
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	22%
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Aaron Judge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	19%	—	—	51%	—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	2%	—	—	19%	54%
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	19%	—	—	19%	—
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Cody Bellinger Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	17%	20%
Dean Kremer Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	18%	—
Dean Kremer Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	18%	—
Will Warren Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	18%	—
Will Warren Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	18%	—
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	16%
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	13%
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	13%
Aaron Judge Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	16%	—	—	51%	—
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	16%
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	16%	14%
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	15%
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	10%
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	15%	—	—	51%	—
Luke Keaschall Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	10%
Brooks Lee Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	9%	—	—	19%	—
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	12%	8%
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	10%
Ryan Kreidler Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	10%
Walker Jenkins Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	9%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	7%
Aaron Judge Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	7%	—	—	51%	—
Aaron Judge Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 2.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 4.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 5.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 2.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 3.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 3.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 4.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 5.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Brooks Lee Over 4.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 4.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Dean Kremer Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs	—	—	—	—	—
Dean Kremer Over 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Dean Kremer Over 8.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Josh Bell Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Josh Bell Over 1.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Josh Bell Over 3.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Josh Bell Over 4.5 Total Bases	—	—	—	—	—
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Over 3.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 10.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 11.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 12.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 6.5	—	—	—	—	—
Will Warren Over 1.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Will Warren Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs	—	—	—	—	—
Will Warren Over 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Will Warren Over 8.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Minnesota wins the New York Y vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the New York Y vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Minnesota Twins in New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for September 14 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-14 at 7:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are New York Yankees: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 98.6¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 60.5¢ on Polymarket US, 65.0¢ on Novig; Minnesota Twins: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 47.5¢ on Polymarket, 2.1¢ on ProphetX, 39.5¢ on Polymarket US, 35.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 46.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, New York Yankees at 84.4¢ implies about a 84.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

New York Yankees Wins: New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET)

New York Yankees Wins: New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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New York Yankees Wins: New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET)

New York Yankees Wins: New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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