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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

New York Yankees Wins: New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-15

This market resolved on 2026-09-15. New York Yankees was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Aaron Judge Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Josh Bell Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Josh Bell Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Kody Clemens Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Kody Clemens Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Ryan Jeffers Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Ryan Jeffers Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Spencer Jones Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	51%	—
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	51%	—
Aaron Judge Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Aaron Judge Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Aaron Judge Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Aaron Judge Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Bailey Ober Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	99%	—
Ben Rice Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Ben Rice Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jose Caballero Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	—
Josh Bell Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Josh Bell Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Josh Bell Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Kody Clemens Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Luke Keaschall Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Luke Keaschall Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Luke Keaschall Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Luke Keaschall Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Max Fried Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	99%	—
Max Fried Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	99%	—
Ryan Jeffers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Ryan Jeffers Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Spencer Jones Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Spencer Jones Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5	98%	—	—	—	99%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5	—	—	—	87%	97%
Luke Keaschall Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	82%	96%
Kody Clemens Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	82%	95%
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	87%
Josh Bell Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	82%	91%
Ryan Jeffers Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	91%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	—	86%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	82%	85%
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	82%	84%
Bailey Ober Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	82%	—
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	—
Max Fried Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	81%	—
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	—
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	80%	—
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	80%	—
Aaron Judge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	80%
Aaron Judge Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	78%
Total over 6.5	100%	—	—	80%	74%
Total under 9.5	—	—	65%	—	87%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	75%
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	75%	—	—	51%	—
Anthony Volpe Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	74%
Ryan McMahon Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	74%
Aaron Judge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	73%	—	—	1%	—
Bailey Ober Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	82%	61%
Walker Jenkins Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	71%
Max Fried Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	82%	57%
Anthony Volpe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	69%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	68%
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	68%
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	66%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5	99%	—	48%	100%	85%
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5	99%	—	37%	100%	95%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	65%
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	64%
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	64%
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	63%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	63%
Kaelen Culpepper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
Bailey Ober Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	82%	43%
New York YankeesWINNER	99%	63%	61%	100%	99%
Austin Martin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	60%
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	51%	60%
Walker Jenkins Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	60%
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	58%
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	57%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	57%
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	51%	56%
Cody Bellinger Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	18%	94%
Cody Bellinger Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	56%	—	—	51%	—
Total over 7.5	100%	—	50%	100%	61%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	80%	31%
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	54%	—	—	1%	56%
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	16%	92%
Total under 8.5	—	—	42%	1%	65%
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	51%
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	51%
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	51%
Total under 7.5	—	—	50%	100%	51%
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	50%
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	82%	17%
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	—	82%	17%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	50%
Total over 8.5	100%	—	58%	1%	39%
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	48%
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5	1%	—	—	87%	7%
Austin Martin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Kaelen Culpepper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Max Fried Over 6.5 Strikeouts	74%	—	—	18%	—
Anthony Volpe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	46%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	46%
Bailey Ober Over 4.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	1%	46%
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	46%
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%	46%
Ryan McMahon Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	45%
Ben Rice Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	44%	—	—	51%	43%
Bailey Ober Over 3.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	18%	68%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	41%
Aaron Judge Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	39%	—	—	1%	—
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	37%	—	—	51%	—
Minnesota Twins	1%	37%	39%	100%	4%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5	—	—	64%	100%	9%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5	—	—	52%	100%	20%
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	20%	—	—	0%	45%
Max Fried Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	18%	46%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	31%
Ben Rice Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	31%	—	—	1%	—
Aaron Judge Over 0.5 Home Runs	26%	—	—	19%	26%
Aaron Judge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	26%	—	—	1%	—
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	—	25%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	18%	25%
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	20%	—
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	—
Bailey Ober Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	18%	—
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs	7%	—	—	18%	24%
Jose Caballero Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	18%	—
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Home Runs	20%	—	—	18%	13%
Max Fried Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	18%	—
Max Fried Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	18%	—
Minnesota Twins spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	17%
Total over 9.5	8%	—	36%	—	17%
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	18%	16%
Aaron Judge Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	16%	—	—	1%	—
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	12%
Royce Lewis Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	15%
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	14%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	16%	13%
Luke Keaschall Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	18%	8%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	11%
Josh Bell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	11%	—	—	0%	—
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	11%
Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	9%
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	9%
Austin Martin Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	6%
Josh Bell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	3%	—	—	0%	—
Bailey Ober Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	1%	—
Bailey Ober Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	1%	—
Ben Rice Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Cody Bellinger Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Cody Bellinger Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	1%	—
Josh Bell Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Kody Clemens Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Luke Keaschall Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Luke Keaschall Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Luke Keaschall Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Ryan Jeffers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Ryan Jeffers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	0%	—
Aaron Judge Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Ben Rice Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Cody Bellinger Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Cody Bellinger Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Kody Clemens Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Kody Clemens Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Luke Keaschall Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Ryan Jeffers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Ryan Jeffers Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Spencer Jones Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Over 1.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 3.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 10.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 11.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 4.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 5.5	—	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If New York Y wins the New York Y vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the New York Y vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

New York Yankees in New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for September 15 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-15 at 7:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are New York Yankees: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.4¢ on ProphetX, 62.5¢ on Polymarket US, 61.0¢ on Novig; Minnesota Twins: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 4.3¢ on ProphetX, 37.0¢ on Polymarket US, 39.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, New York Yankees at 84.4¢ implies about a 84.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

New York Yankees Wins: New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET)

New York Yankees Wins: New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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New York Yankees Wins: New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET)

New York Yankees Wins: New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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