About This Market
New York Yankees vs.
New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres (4:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-06. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres (4:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLBΒ·Resolved 2026-09-06
This market resolved on 2026-09-06. San Diego Padres was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
New York Yankees vs.
New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres (4:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-06. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|
Jasson Dominguez Under 1.5 Home Runs | β | 99% | β |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | β | 98% | β |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | 97% | β |
San Diego PadresWINNER | 100% | 100% | 96% |
Total under 7.5 | β | 96% | 95% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | 95% | β |
Total under 8.5 | β | 90% | 98% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.5 | β | 88% | 99% |
Total under 9.5 | β | 87% | 97% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 4.5 | β | β | 90% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 2.5 | β | 78% | 97% |
Jasson Dominguez Under 0.5 Home Runs | β | 82% | 92% |
Total under 11.5 | β | β | 86% |
Cody Bellinger Under 0.5 Home Runs | β | 82% | 90% |
Ty France Under 0.5 Home Runs | β | 82% | 89% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | β | 82% | 89% |
Jackson Merrill Under 0.5 Home Runs | β | 82% | 88% |
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs | β | 82% | 87% |
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs | β | 84% | 84% |
Total under 6.5 | β | 0% | 83% |
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 68% | 97% | β |
San Diego Padres spread plus 3.5 | β | β | 82% |
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | β | 82% | β |
Gerrit Cole Under 3.5 Strikeouts | β | 81% | β |
Gerrit Cole Under 4.5 Strikeouts | β | 81% | β |
Gerrit Cole Under 7.5 Strikeouts | β | 81% | β |
Michael King Under 4.5 Strikeouts | β | 81% | β |
Michael King Under 6.5 Strikeouts | β | 81% | β |
Michael King Under 7.5 Strikeouts | β | 81% | β |
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | 97% | 62% |
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | 81% | 66% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | 81% | 65% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | 81% | 63% |
Total under 10.5 | β | β | 71% |
Luis Campusano Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | 97% | 44% |
Gerrit Cole Under 6.5 Strikeouts | β | 70% | β |
Samad Taylor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | β | 64% |
Total under 8.0 | β | β | 64% |
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | 81% | 47% |
Total under 5.5 | β | β | 64% |
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 29% | 97% | β |
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 29% | 97% | β |
Total over 6.0 | β | β | 62% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.0 | β | β | 62% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 25% | 98% | β |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0 | β | β | 61% |
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | β | 60% |
Xander Bogaerts Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | 50% | 65% |
Jake Cronenworth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | 49% | 64% |
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | 97% | β |
Jake Cronenworth Under 0.5 Home Runs | β | 18% | 95% |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 21% | 97% | 56% |
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5 | β | 87% | 25% |
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | 97% | β |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | 50% | 60% |
Gerrit Cole Under 5.5 Strikeouts | β | 53% | 57% |
Ty France Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | 50% | 59% |
Ethan Salas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 53% | 97% | 54% |
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | 49% | 59% |
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | 50% | 58% |
Ben Rice Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | 97% | β |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | 51% | 56% |
Luis Campusano Over 0.5 Home Runs | 100% | 91% | 15% |
Manny Machado Under 0.5 Home Runs | β | 18% | 87% |
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5 | β | 65% | 40% |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5 | β | 93% | 12% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | β | 19% | 85% |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | 50% | 54% |
Total over 7.0 | β | β | 52% |
Jake Cronenworth Over 1.5 Home Runs | 8% | 95% | β |
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | 51% | β |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | 49% | 51% |
Michael King Under 5.5 Strikeouts | β | 50% | 50% |
Total under 7.0 | β | β | 50% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | 50% | β |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | 50% | β |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | 50% | β |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | 97% | 50% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | 96% | 50% |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | 50% | 49% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 3.5 | 1% | 35% | 63% |
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 49% | 97% | 45% |
Ethan Salas Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | 50% | 47% |
Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | β | 48% |
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | 50% | 44% |
Ty France Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | 1% | 47% |
Jake Cronenworth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | 51% | 42% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 13% | 80% |
Samad Taylor Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | β | 46% |
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | 81% | 9% |
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 45% | 19% | 60% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0 | β | β | 45% |
Xander Bogaerts Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | 97% | 44% |
Total under 4.5 | β | β | 43% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 40% | 97% | 41% |
Total under 6.0 | β | β | 40% |
Total over 8.0 | β | β | 38% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.0 | β | β | 38% |
Total under 3.5 | β | β | 38% |
Ben Rice Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | 50% | β |
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | 50% | β |
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | 3% | 63% |
Luis Campusano Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | 3% | 63% |
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5 | β | β | 30% |
Cody Bellinger Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 8% | 50% | β |
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 8% | 50% | β |
Ryan McMahon Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | 3% | 50% |
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | β | 3% | 50% |
Ben Rice Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 32% | 19% | β |
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 28% | 19% | β |
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | 3% | 43% |
Total over 6.5 | 100% | 100% | 21% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | 19% | β |
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.5 | 1% | 7% | 25% |
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 22% | 8% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | 4% | 25% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | 99% | 15% |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | 18% | 14% |
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | 19% | β |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | 13% | 7% |
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Home Runs | 7% | β | 12% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5 | 1% | 12% | 6% |
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 Home Runs | 8% | β | 10% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | 10% | 7% |
Total under 2.5 | β | β | 8% |
New York Yankees | 1% | 0% | 7% |
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Home Runs | β | 5% | β |
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Home Runs | β | 5% | β |
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Home Runs | β | 5% | β |
Ty France Under 1.5 Home Runs | β | 5% | β |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs | β | 5% | β |
Jake Cronenworth Under 1.5 Home Runs | β | 5% | β |
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Home Runs | β | 5% | β |
Michael King Under 3.5 Strikeouts | β | 5% | β |
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | 3% | β |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | 3% | β |
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | 3% | β |
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | β | 1% | β |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | β | 0% | β |
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Hits | β | β | β |
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits | β | β | β |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
Ben Rice Over 2.5 Hits | β | β | β |
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits | β | β | β |
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits | β | β | β |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits | β | β | β |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits | β | β | β |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits | β | β | β |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits | β | β | β |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits | β | β | β |
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
Gerrit Cole Over 2.5 Strikeouts | β | β | β |
Gerrit Cole Over 3.5 Strikeouts | β | β | β |
Gerrit Cole Over 4.5 Strikeouts | β | β | β |
Gerrit Cole Over 5.5 Strikeouts | β | β | β |
Gerrit Cole Over 6.5 Strikeouts | β | β | β |
Gerrit Cole Over 7.5 Strikeouts | β | β | β |
Gerrit Cole Over 8.5 Strikeouts | β | β | β |
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits | β | β | β |
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits | β | β | β |
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits | β | β | β |
Jasson Dominguez Over 0.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
Jasson Dominguez Over 1.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Hits | β | β | β |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits | β | β | β |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 2.5 Hits | β | β | β |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits | β | β | β |
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits | β | β | β |
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits | β | β | β |
Michael King Over 3.5 Strikeouts | β | β | β |
Michael King Over 4.5 Strikeouts | β | β | β |
Michael King Over 5.5 Strikeouts | β | β | β |
Michael King Over 6.5 Strikeouts | β | β | β |
Michael King Over 7.5 Strikeouts | β | β | β |
Michael King Over 9.5 Strikeouts | β | β | β |
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5 | β | β | β |
Over 1.5 runs scored | β | β | β |
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
Total over 10.5 | β | β | β |
Total over 11.5 | β | β | β |
Total over 2.5 | β | β | β |
Total over 3.5 | β | β | β |
Total over 4.5 | β | β | β |
Total over 5.5 | β | β | β |
Ty France Over 0.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
Ty France Over 1.5 Home Runs | β | β | β |
San Diego Padres
98.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf San Diego wins the New York Y vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York Y vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 6 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the marketβs implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are San Diego Padres: 99.5Β’ on Kalshi, 99.9Β’ on Polymarket, 95.7Β’ on ProphetX; New York Yankees: 1.0Β’ on Kalshi, 0.1Β’ on Polymarket, 7.0Β’ on ProphetX. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 6.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, San Diego Padres at 98.4Β’ implies about a 98.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40Β’ earns 60Β’ before fees. Check each venueβs settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.