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Live prediction market odds for New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX

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San Diego Padres Wins: New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-04

This market resolved on 2026-09-04. San Diego Padres was the officially declared outcome.

About This Market

New York Yankees vs.

New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-04. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

3 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
ProphetX
San Diego Padres spread plus 4.5
——97%
Total under 7.5
—95%95%
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5
——94%
Total under 9.5
——93%
San Diego Padres spread plus 3.5
——91%
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5
—85%90%
Cody Bellinger Under 0.5 Home Runs
—82%89%
Total under 5.5
——84%
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs
—82%85%
San Diego Padres spread plus 2.5
—73%92%
Xander Bogaerts Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—97%67%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5
—70%90%
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——74%
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——73%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.5
—62%82%
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—77%56%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0
——66%
Total under 6.5
—40%89%
Total under 8.5
—61%68%
Samad Taylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——63%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——62%
Ty France Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—1%61%
Max Fried Under 4.5 Strikeouts
—1%60%
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——60%
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——60%
Luis Campusano Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——59%
Total under 8.0
——58%
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—1%58%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.0
——57%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——57%
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%63%
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%61%
Walker Buehler Under 4.5 Strikeouts
—54%56%
Total over 7.0
——54%
Austin Hays Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%57%
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%56%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%54%
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%54%
Total under 7.0
——51%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%52%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%51%
Austin Hays Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%51%
Manny Machado Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%—
Luis Campusano Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%
Jake Cronenworth Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——48%
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%44%
Ty France Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—1%47%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0
——46%
Total over 8.0
——46%
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%46%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——45%
Ryan McMahon Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——43%
Samad Taylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——43%
Max Fried Under 3.5 Strikeouts
—42%40%
Total over 8.5
5%40%40%
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.0
——39%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5
11%39%23%
Xander Bogaerts Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—3%41%
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs
—99%20%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
—18%18%
Total over 6.5
15%61%16%
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs
—14%17%
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 Home Runs
—1%15%
San Diego Padres spread minus 2.5
3%15%14%
Ty France Over 0.5 Home Runs
—12%16%
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.5
5%31%14%
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 Home Runs
——14%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs
——13%
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Home Runs
——12%
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5
8%28%12%
Samad Taylor Over 0.5 Home Runs
——11%
Austin Hays Over 0.5 Home Runs
—9%9%
Total over 7.5
7%6%51%
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5
——7%
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Hits
———
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Ben Rice Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits
———
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Ben Rice Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Total Bases
———
Ben Rice Over 2.5 Hits
———
Ben Rice Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Ben Rice Over 2.5 Total Bases
———
Ben Rice Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Ben Rice Over 3.5 Total Bases
———
Ben Rice Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Ben Rice Over 4.5 Total Bases
———
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits
———
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits
———
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Total Bases
———
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits
———
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Total Bases
———
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Hits
———
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Total Bases
———
Cody Bellinger Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Cody Bellinger Over 4.5 Total Bases
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Total Bases
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Total Bases
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Total Bases
———
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits
———
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits
———
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Total Bases
———
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits
———
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Total Bases
———
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Total Bases
———
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Total Bases
———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Hits
———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits
———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases
———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 2.5 Hits
———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 2.5 Total Bases
———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 3.5 Total Bases
———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 4.5 Total Bases
———
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits
———
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Manny Machado Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits
———
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Manny Machado Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Total Bases
———
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits
———
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Total Bases
———
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Total Bases
———
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Total Bases
———
Max Fried Over 1.5 Strikeouts
———
Max Fried Over 12.5 Pitcher Outs
———
Max Fried Over 2.5 Strikeouts
———
Max Fried Over 3.5 Strikeouts
———
Max Fried Over 4.5 Strikeouts
———
Max Fried Over 5.5 Strikeouts
———
Max Fried Over 6.5 Strikeouts
———
Max Fried Over 7.5 Strikeouts
———
New York Yankees
———
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5
———
Over 1.5 runs scored
———
Over 2.5 runs scored
———
San Diego PadresWINNER
———
San Diego Padres spread minus 3.5
———
Total over 10.5
———
Total over 11.5
———
Total over 3.5
———
Total over 4.5
———
Total over 5.5
———
Total over 9.5
———
Walker Buehler Over 1.5 Strikeouts
———
Walker Buehler Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs
———
Walker Buehler Over 2.5 Strikeouts
———
Walker Buehler Over 3.5 Strikeouts
———
Walker Buehler Over 4.5 Strikeouts
———
Walker Buehler Over 5.5 Strikeouts
———
Walker Buehler Over 6.5 Strikeouts
———
Walker Buehler Over 7.5 Strikeouts
———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms0
Candidates2
Winner

New York Yankees

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If New York Y wins the New York Y vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the New York Y vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 4 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

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