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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

Toronto Blue Jays Wins: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-15

This market resolved on 2026-08-15. Toronto Blue Jays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms

Candidate
Cam Schlittler Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
George Lombard Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Josh Smith Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
Luis Garcia Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
Over 1.5 runs scored	99%	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	99%	—	—	—
Over 3.5 runs scored	99%	—	—	—
Brandon Valenzuela Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
Toronto Blue JaysWINNER	99%	100%	99%	99%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	98%
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	97%
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	95%	92%
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	88%	99%
Total under 8.5	—	—	92%	94%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	86%	98%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	84%	99%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5	—	—	90%	93%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	91%
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	82%	99%
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	81%	99%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	81%	99%
Ryan McMahon Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	81%	99%
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	81%	99%
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	99%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	89%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	89%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5	—	—	84%	92%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5	—	—	0%	83%
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	82%
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	82%
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	82%
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	82%
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	81%	99%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	81%	99%
Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	81%	99%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	80%
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	99%
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Austin Wells Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	99%
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Jesus Sanchez Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Ryan McMahon Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Josh Smith Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	79%
Total under 7.5	—	—	75%	83%
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	77%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	77%
Cam Schlittler Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	77%	—
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	74%
Total under 4.5	—	—	—	74%
Total under 6.5	—	—	53%	89%
Brandon Valenzuela Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	71%
Ryan McMahon Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	71%
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	69%
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	86%	—	—	51%
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	68%
Cam Schlittler Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	52%	82%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	67%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5	99%	—	97%	34%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	66%
Total under 7.0	—	—	—	65%
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	65%
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	65%
Ryan McMahon Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	64%
Cam Schlittler Over 6.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	48%	81%
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	64%
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	64%
Cam Schlittler Over 5.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	61%	67%
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	63%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	63%
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	62%
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	62%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	61%
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	61%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	60%
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	58%
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	53%
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	50%
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	49%
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	51%	—	—	46%
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	50%	—	—	46%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	44%	—	—	51%
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	47%
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	49%	—	—	44%
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	46%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	45%
Total over 7.0	—	—	—	43%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	43%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	41%
Brandon Valenzuela Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	40%
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	40%
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	40%
Ryan McMahon Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	40%	—	—	41%
Total over 6.5	1%	—	47%	33%
Cam Schlittler Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	39%	38%
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	38%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	32%	—	—	45%
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	38%
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5	—	—	3%	71%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	36%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	29%	—	—	37%
Josh Smith Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	32%
Total over 4.5	99%	—	—	31%
Luis Garcia Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	31%	—	—	—
Total over 5.5	1%	—	—	30%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	29%
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	27%
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	27%
Total over 7.5	1%	—	25%	28%
Total over 9.5	1%	—	—	26%
Ben Rice Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	26%	—	—	—
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	24%
Ben Rice Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	24%	—	—	—
Cam Schlittler Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	23%	—
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5	1%	—	—	22%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5	99%	—	100%	21%
Total over 10.5	1%	—	—	18%
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5	1%	—	16%	14%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	14%	13%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	16%	11%
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	18%	8%
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5	1%	—	—	13%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5	1%	—	10%	12%
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	5%	15%
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	12%	7%
Total over 8.5	1%	—	8%	10%
Ryan McMahon Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	9%	—	—	—
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	8%
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	8%
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	8%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	7%
New York Yankees	1%	1%	1%	12%
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs	4%	—	—	9%
Brandon Valenzuela Over 0.5 Home Runs	5%	—	—	8%
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	6%
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	6%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	6%
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	6%
Josh Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	8%
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	5%
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs	4%	—	—	6%
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	8%
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	6%
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	6%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	—
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	—
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—
Over 11.5 runs scored	2%	—	—	—
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Austin Wells Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Brandon Valenzuela Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Cam Schlittler Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Cam Schlittler Over 8.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Cam Schlittler Over 9.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Charles McAdoo Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
George Lombard Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	—
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	—
Jesus Sanchez Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Ryan McMahon Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	—	—
Austin Wells Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Austin Wells Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Austin Wells Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Austin Wells Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
George Lombard Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
George Lombard Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
George Lombard Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	—
Heliot Ramos Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Heliot Ramos Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Heliot Ramos Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Josh Smith Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	—	—
Luis Garcia Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Luis Garcia Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	—	—
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Toronto wins the New York Y vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 3:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the New York Y vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 3:07 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 15 at 3:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-15 at 3:07PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Toronto Blue Jays: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 98.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; New York Yankees: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.1¢ on Polymarket, 12.1¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 11.6 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Toronto Blue Jays at 99.1¢ implies about a 99.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Toronto Blue Jays Wins: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET)

Toronto Blue Jays Wins: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Toronto Blue Jays Wins: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET)

Toronto Blue Jays Wins: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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