About This Market
New York Yankees vs.
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-14. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-14
This market resolved on 2026-08-14. Toronto Blue Jays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
New York Yankees vs.
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-14. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Gerrit Cole Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Gerrit Cole Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Shane Bieber Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Shane Bieber Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Ryan McMahon Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 95% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 94% |
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 98% |
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 86% | 99% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 99% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 96% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 82% | 91% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 99% |
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 85% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 82% |
Austin Wells Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 81% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 70% | 90% |
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 79% |
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 79% |
Shane Bieber Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 79% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 70% | 87% |
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 78% |
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 78% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 77% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 76% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 58% | 92% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 73% |
Gerrit Cole Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 60% | 82% |
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 59% | 80% |
Ryan McMahon Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 69% |
Toronto Blue JaysWINNER | 99% | 99% | 44% | 94% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Ryan McMahon Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Gerrit Cole Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | 61% |
Shane Bieber Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 62% | 59% |
Gerrit Cole Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 40% | 81% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 59% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 59% |
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 58% |
Shane Bieber Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 52% | 64% |
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 54% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 23% | 82% |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 77% | 24% |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 48% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 48% |
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Shane Bieber Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 48% | 42% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 44% |
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Ryan McMahon Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 44% |
Gerrit Cole Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 43% |
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Shane Bieber Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 38% | 43% |
Austin Wells Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | — | 36% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 41% | 25% |
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 32% |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 30% |
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 30% |
Total over 4.5 | 1% | — | — | 29% |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | — | 29% |
Shane Bieber Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 28% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 42% | 12% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 30% | 21% |
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 25% |
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 30% | 17% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 21% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 21% |
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 20% |
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 19% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 18% | 20% |
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 16% | 21% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 14% |
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 15% | 12% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 12% | 15% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 13% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 13% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 14% | 9% |
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 14% | 7% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
New York Yankees | 1% | 1% | 7% | 14% |
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 12% | 7% |
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | — | — |
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 9% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Gerrit Cole Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Gerrit Cole Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Gerrit Cole Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Shane Bieber Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Shane Bieber Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Shane Bieber Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Austin Wells Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Gerrit Cole Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jesus Sanchez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Shane Bieber Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Shane Bieber Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Austin Wells Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jesus Sanchez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays
84.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Toronto wins the New York Y vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York Y vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 14 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-14 at 7:15PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Toronto Blue Jays: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 44.0¢ on Polymarket, 94.2¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; New York Yankees: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 6.5¢ on Polymarket, 13.6¢ on ProphetX, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 55.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Toronto Blue Jays at 84.1¢ implies about a 84.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.