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Live prediction market odds for Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (4:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Seattle Mariners Wins: Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (4:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-06

This market resolved on 2026-09-06. Seattle Mariners was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.

About This Market

Athletics vs.

Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (4:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-06. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Total under 7.5
——98%98%
Total under 8.5
——95%98%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 4.5
———96%
Total under 9.5
———96%
Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Home Runs
——95%96%
Total under 6.5
——96%94%
Zack Gelof Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—95%—
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—95%—
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—95%—
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—95%—
Lawrence Butler Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—95%—
Seattle Mariners spread plus 3.5
———91%
Athletics spread plus 4.5
———91%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.5
——79%97%
Total under 3.5
———88%
Zack Gelof Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%93%
Jeff McNeil Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%91%
Lawrence Butler Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%91%
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%90%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 2.5
——85%87%
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%90%
Athletics spread plus 2.5
——88%83%
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%87%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.5
99%—86%82%
Total under 11.5
———83%
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%83%
Josh Naylor Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%—
Athletics spread plus 3.5
———81%
Bryan Woo Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—81%—
Bryan Woo Over 5.5 Strikeouts
100%—81%—
Bryan Woo Over 7.5 Strikeouts
99%—81%—
Gage Jump Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—81%—
Gage Jump Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—81%—
Gage Jump Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%—81%—
Gage Jump Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——81%—
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—81%—
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—81%—
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Home Runs
——81%—
Seattle MarinersWINNER
99%63%99%96%
Total under 10.5
———76%
Total under 4.5
———76%
Total under 5.5
——57%90%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.0
———73%
Henry Bolte Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%64%
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%60%
Gage Jump Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—81%55%
Brian Serven Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%54%
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—81%54%
Cole Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
65%———
Alika Williams Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——81%48%
Cole Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%78%
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
77%—50%—
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%77%
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%75%
J.P. Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—81%43%
Total under 8.0
———61%
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Home Runs
25%—95%—
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%68%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.0
———58%
Weston Wilson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
58%—19%61%
Carlos Cortes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%65%
Zack Gelof Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%65%
Cole Young Over 0.5 Hits
57%———
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Home Runs
17%—95%—
Bryan Woo Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——54%56%
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%59%
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%58%
Donovan Walton Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
54%—19%60%
Denzel Clarke Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Alika Williams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
53%—19%62%
Denzel Clarke Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%54%
Bryan Woo Over 6.5 Strikeouts
100%—46%57%
Jeff McNeil Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%53%
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—50%53%
Total over 7.0
———51%
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%52%
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—50%51%
Brian Serven Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
50%—50%56%
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%—50%—
Jeff McNeil Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
36%—50%51%
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—50%50%
Weston Wilson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%49%
Donovan Walton Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%46%
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
45%—50%47%
Total over 8.0
———46%
Athletics spread plus 1.0
———46%
Lawrence Butler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%—50%45%
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
41%——46%
Total under 7.0
———43%
J.P. Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%66%
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
35%—50%—
Carlos Cortes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
34%—50%41%
Henry Bolte Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
41%—19%49%
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%53%
Zack Gelof Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
34%—19%45%
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
13%—50%—
Gage Jump Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——19%44%
Total over 5.5
1%—43%20%
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
8%—50%—
Athletics spread minus 1.0
———29%
Cole Young Over 0.5 RBIs
26%———
Athletics
1%37%1%8%
Cole Young Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
22%———
Seattle Mariners spread minus 2.5
1%—12%26%
Bryan Woo Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——19%—
Gage Jump Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%—19%—
Gage Jump Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——19%—
Gage Jump Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——19%—
Gage Jump Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——19%—
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%—19%—
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Home Runs
——19%—
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
18%—19%—
Bryan Woo Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——18%—
Bryan Woo Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——18%—
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—18%21%
Athletics spread plus 1.5
——14%21%
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—18%16%
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits
17%———
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—18%15%
Athletics spread minus 2.5
1%—15%18%
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—18%15%
Randy Arozarena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
13%—19%—
Lawrence Butler Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—18%13%
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%—19%—
Athletics spread minus 1.5
1%—21%7%
Zack Gelof Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—13%15%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 4.5
———13%
Cole Young Over 1.5 RBIs
12%———
Cole Young Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%———
Carlos Cortes Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—18%10%
Jeff McNeil Over 0.5 Home Runs
8%—18%10%
Weston Wilson Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—99%10%
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—18%10%
Henry Bolte Over 0.5 Home Runs
8%——10%
Donovan Walton Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—19%8%
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Home Runs
——5%12%
J.P. Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs
8%—19%8%
Athletics spread minus 4.5
———8%
Cole Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
7%——8%
Total over 6.5
1%—4%11%
Alika Williams Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——7%
Cole Young Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%———
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Home Runs
——5%—
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Home Runs
——5%—
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Home Runs
——5%—
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——5%—
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Home Runs
——5%—
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Home Runs
——5%—
Zack Gelof Under 1.5 Home Runs
——5%—
Total over 8.5
1%—5%5%
Jeff McNeil Over 1.5 Home Runs
5%—1%—
Total over 7.5
1%—2%6%
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%—3%—
Cole Young Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Jeff McNeil Under 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Cole Young Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
A's wins by over 3.5 runs
————
Bryan Woo Over 0.5 Earned Runs
————
Bryan Woo Over 1.5 Earned Runs
————
Bryan Woo Over 10.5 Strikeouts
————
Bryan Woo Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
————
Bryan Woo Over 2.5 Earned Runs
————
Bryan Woo Over 3.5 Earned Runs
————
Bryan Woo Over 3.5 Strikeouts
————
Bryan Woo Over 8.5 Strikeouts
————
Bryan Woo Over 9.5 Strikeouts
————
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits
————
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits
————
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits
————
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 RBIs
————
Gage Jump Over 0.5 Earned Runs
————
Gage Jump Over 1.5 Earned Runs
————
Gage Jump Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs
————
Gage Jump Over 2.5 Earned Runs
————
Gage Jump Over 2.5 Strikeouts
————
Gage Jump Over 3.5 Earned Runs
————
Gage Jump Over 4.5 Earned Runs
————
Gage Jump Over 8.5 Strikeouts
————
Gage Jump Over 9.5 Strikeouts
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits
————
Over 1.5 runs scored
————
Over 2.5 runs scored
————
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits
————
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits
————
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits
————
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits
————
Seattle Mariners spread minus 3.5
————
Total over 10.5
————
Total over 11.5
————
Total over 3.5
————
Total over 4.5
————
Total over 9.5
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread36.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Seattle Mariners

89.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (4:10 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Seattle wins the A's vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the A's vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for September 6 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Athletics vs Seattle Mariners MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-06 at 4:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (4:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (4:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Seattle Mariners: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket, 95.8¢ on ProphetX, 63.0¢ on Polymarket US; Athletics: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket, 8.2¢ on ProphetX, 36.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (4:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 36.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (4:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Seattle Mariners at 89.2¢ implies about a 89.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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