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Live prediction market odds for Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Athletics Wins: Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-03

This market resolved on 2026-09-03. Athletics was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.

About This Market

Athletics vs.

Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-03. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Over 1.5 runs scored
100%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
100%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
100%———
Jonah Heim Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Kade Anderson Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——99%—
Over 4.5 runs scored
99%———
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%—
Jeff McNeil Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%—
Randy Arozarena Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%—
AthleticsWINNER
100%51%98%97%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 3.5
———94%
Zack Gelof Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%91%
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——90%89%
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%93%
Lawrence Butler Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%91%
Josh Naylor Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%91%
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%87%
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%83%
Jack Perkins Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——82%—
Athletics spread plus 3.5
———82%
Athletics spread plus 2.5
——65%99%
Total over 8.5
100%—68%94%
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%64%
Jeff McNeil Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Jeff McNeil Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%63%
Jonah Heim Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%63%
Cole Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%59%
Total over 7.5
100%—88%67%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.0
———77%
Athletics spread plus 1.5
——54%98%
Jeff McNeil Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——80%69%
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%52%
Kade Anderson Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——82%65%
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——95%51%
Total over 6.5
99%—60%86%
Kade Anderson Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——98%46%
Denzel Clarke Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———72%
Lawrence Butler Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%41%
Alika Williams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
J.P. Crawford Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Zack Gelof Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%64%
J.P. Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Lawrence Butler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%64%
Total under 10.5
———61%
Jeff McNeil Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——80%42%
Max Muncy Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.0
———61%
Henry Bolte Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Michael Stefanic Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Brock Rodden Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%57%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 2.5
——85%24%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.5
——86%22%
Athletics spread minus 1.5
99%—24%82%
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%55%
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%52%
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%54%
Alika Williams Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Zack Gelof Over 0.5 Home Runs
——88%14%
Denzel Clarke Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Cal Raleigh Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%—
Cole Young Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%—
Cole Young Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%—
Josh Naylor Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%—
Julio Rodriguez Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%—
Julio Rodriguez Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%—
Julio Rodriguez Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%—
Seattle Mariners
1%49%67%6%
Athletics spread minus 2.5
99%—16%80%
Brock Rodden Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Michael Stefanic Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Jack Perkins Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——36%53%
Total under 7.5
——52%37%
Henry Bolte Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Zack Gelof Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%43%
J.P. Crawford Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Lazaro Montes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Jonah Heim Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%42%
Athletics spread plus 1.0
———42%
J.P. Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Jonah Heim Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%73%
Total under 9.5
———38%
Kade Anderson Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——99%31%
Jeff McNeil Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——20%42%
Total under 6.5
——41%19%
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——5%53%
Athletics spread minus 1.0
———26%
Lawrence Butler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%40%
Dominic Canzone Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——20%—
Jeff McNeil Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Josh Naylor Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Zack Gelof Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——19%—
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%18%
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%13%
Jonah Heim Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%13%
Lawrence Butler Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%12%
Jeff McNeil Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%8%
Lazaro Montes Over 0.5 Home Runs
———13%
Max Muncy Over 0.5 Home Runs
———13%
Henry Bolte Over 0.5 Home Runs
———12%
Total under 5.5
———11%
Total under 8.5
——0%10%
Brock Rodden Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
J.P. Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.5
1%—0%6%
Alika Williams Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Denzel Clarke Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 2.5
2%—36%5%
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%—
Jeff McNeil Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%—
Cole Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Jeff McNeil Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Jeff McNeil Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
A's wins by over 3.5 runs
————
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits
————
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits
————
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Total Bases
————
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits
————
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 RBIs
————
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Total Bases
————
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Total Bases
————
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Total Bases
————
Cole Young Over 0.5 Hits
————
Cole Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Cole Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Cole Young Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits
————
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Cole Young Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Cole Young Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Cole Young Over 1.5 Total Bases
————
Cole Young Over 2.5 Hits
————
Cole Young Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Cole Young Over 2.5 Total Bases
————
Cole Young Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Cole Young Over 3.5 Total Bases
————
Cole Young Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Cole Young Over 4.5 Total Bases
————
Jack Perkins Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs
————
Jack Perkins Over 2.5 Strikeouts
————
Jack Perkins Over 3.5 Strikeouts
————
Jack Perkins Over 4.5 Strikeouts
————
Jack Perkins Over 5.5 Strikeouts
————
Jack Perkins Over 6.5 Strikeouts
————
Jack Perkins Over 7.5 Strikeouts
————
Jack Perkins Over 8.5 Strikeouts
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Total Bases
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Total Bases
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Total Bases
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Total Bases
————
Julio Rodriguez Over 5.5 Total Bases
————
Kade Anderson Over 4.5 Strikeouts
————
Kade Anderson Over 5.5 Strikeouts
————
Kade Anderson Over 6.5 Strikeouts
————
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits
————
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits
————
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Total Bases
————
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits
————
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Total Bases
————
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Total Bases
————
Randy Arozarena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Randy Arozarena Over 4.5 Total Bases
————
Randy Arozarena Over 5.5 Total Bases
————
Seattle Mariners spread minus 3.5
————
Total over 10.5
————
Total over 11.5
————
Total over 5.5
————
Total over 9.5
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread66.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Athletics

86.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If A's wins the A's vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the A's vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for September 3 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Athletics vs Seattle Mariners MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-03 at 9:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Athletics: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 98.0¢ on Polymarket, 96.6¢ on ProphetX, 51.0¢ on Polymarket US; Seattle Mariners: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 67.0¢ on Polymarket, 6.4¢ on ProphetX, 49.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 66.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Athletics at 86.3¢ implies about a 86.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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