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Live prediction market odds for Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Athletics Wins: Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-05

This market resolved on 2026-09-05. Athletics was the officially declared outcome.

About This Market

Athletics vs.

Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

3 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
ProphetX
Jeff McNeil Under 1.5 Home Runs
—99%—
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Home Runs
—99%—
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Home Runs
—99%—
George Kirby Under 4.5 Strikeouts
—99%—
Zack Gelof Under 1.5 Home Runs
—99%—
Jeffrey Springs Under 2.5 Strikeouts
—97%—
Lawrence Butler Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—97%—
Athletics spread minus 1.5
96%95%74%
Lawrence Butler Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—95%—
Zack Gelof Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—95%—
Athletics spread plus 3.5
——95%
Jeff McNeil Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—94%—
Taylor Ward Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—94%—
Julio Rodriguez Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—92%—
Josh Naylor Under 0.5 Home Runs
—93%91%
Dominic Canzone Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—92%—
Lawrence Butler Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—91%—
Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Home Runs
—90%92%
Athletics spread minus 2.5
90%93%91%
Taylor Ward Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—91%—
Athletics spread plus 1.5
—82%96%
Zack Gelof Under 0.5 Home Runs
—89%88%
Cal Raleigh Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—87%—
Total under 8.5
—90%83%
Julio Rodriguez Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—87%—
Zack Gelof Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—86%—
Total under 11.5
——84%
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Home Runs
—81%85%
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs
—83%82%
Athletics spread plus 4.5
——82%
Cal Raleigh Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—81%—
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Home Runs
—81%—
Randy Arozarena Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—81%—
Julio Rodriguez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—80%—
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—97%62%
Zack Gelof Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—97%62%
Total under 10.5
——78%
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Home Runs
—78%78%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.0
——77%
Carlos Cortes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——75%
Lazaro Montes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——75%
Weston Wilson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——75%
Carlos Cortes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——73%
Lazaro Montes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——73%
Total under 9.5
——70%
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—77%63%
Jeff McNeil Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—77%59%
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—74%55%
Max Muncy Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——64%
Jeffrey Springs Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——63%
Total under 6.5
—100%63%
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—73%54%
Henry Bolte Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——63%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 2.5
—82%43%
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—72%52%
Jonah Heim Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——61%
J.P. Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——60%
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—71%49%
Alika Williams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——58%
Cole Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——58%
Donovan Walton Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——58%
Athletics spread plus 1.0
——56%
Total under 7.0
——56%
Total over 8.0
——55%
Total under 8.0
——54%
Jeff McNeil Over 0.5 Home Runs
—97%10%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.0
——53%
Athletics spread plus 2.5
—3%98%
Jeff McNeil Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—51%—
Julio Rodriguez Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—51%—
Dominic Canzone Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%—
Josh Naylor Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%—
Josh Naylor Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%—
Taylor Ward Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%—
Zack Gelof Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%—
Zack Gelof Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%—
Cal Raleigh Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%—
Dominic Canzone Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%—
Lawrence Butler Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—50%—
George Kirby Under 5.5 Strikeouts
—47%52%
Jeff McNeil Under 0.5 Home Runs
—3%95%
Total over 7.0
——49%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.5
1%82%14%
Donovan Walton Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——48%
Max Muncy Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——47%
Total under 7.5
—100%47%
J.P. Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——47%
Henry Bolte Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——46%
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—29%61%
Alika Williams Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——44%
Weston Wilson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——41%
Jonah Heim Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——40%
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—27%53%
Total over 7.5
100%23%56%
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—38%—
Jeff McNeil Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—37%—
Jeff McNeil Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—24%50%
Total over 6.5
100%100%36%
Lawrence Butler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—3%65%
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—23%45%
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—5%56%
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Home Runs
—30%—
Jeffrey Springs Under 3.5 Strikeouts
—18%42%
Athletics spread minus 4.5
——29%
Total under 4.5
——27%
Athletics spread minus 1.0
——25%
Lawrence Butler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—3%45%
Zack Gelof Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—3%45%
Total over 8.5
24%10%47%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 4.5
——23%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 4.5
——22%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 3.5
——22%
Total under 5.5
——20%
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Home Runs
—16%23%
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—19%—
Dominic Canzone Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—19%—
Josh Naylor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—19%—
Randy Arozarena Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—19%—
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.5
—5%29%
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Home Runs
—18%13%
Jeff McNeil Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—15%—
Lawrence Butler Over 0.5 Home Runs
—1%14%
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Home Runs
—14%—
Total under 3.5
——14%
Zack Gelof Over 0.5 Home Runs
—11%15%
Dominic Canzone Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—13%—
Jonah Heim Over 0.5 Home Runs
——12%
Josh Naylor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—11%—
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Home Runs
—10%—
Henry Bolte Over 0.5 Home Runs
——10%
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Home Runs
—8%11%
J.P. Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs
——9%
Jeff McNeil Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—9%—
Donovan Walton Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%
Alika Williams Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%
Josh Naylor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—7%—
Taylor Ward Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—7%—
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—5%—
Josh Naylor Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—5%—
Julio Rodriguez Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—5%—
Lawrence Butler Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—5%—
Lawrence Butler Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—5%—
Lawrence Butler Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—5%—
Randy Arozarena Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—5%—
Randy Arozarena Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—5%—
Randy Arozarena Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—5%—
Zack Gelof Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—5%—
Seattle Mariners spread minus 2.5
1%3%6%
Zack Gelof Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—3%—
Zack Gelof Over 1.5 Home Runs
—1%—
Jeffrey Springs Under 6.5 Strikeouts
—1%—
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Home Runs
—1%—
Lawrence Butler Over 1.5 Home Runs
—1%—
Jeff McNeil Over 1.5 Home Runs
—1%—
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Home Runs
—0%—
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Home Runs
—0%—
A's wins by over 3.5 runs
———
AthleticsWINNER
———
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Cal Raleigh Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
—51%—
Cole Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
George Kirby Over 3.5 Strikeouts
———
George Kirby Over 4.5 Strikeouts
———
George Kirby Over 5.5 Strikeouts
———
George Kirby Over 6.5 Strikeouts
———
Jeffrey Springs Over 1.5 Strikeouts
———
Jeffrey Springs Over 3.5 Strikeouts
———
Jeffrey Springs Over 4.5 Strikeouts
———
Jeffrey Springs Over 6.5 Strikeouts
———
Jeffrey Springs Over 7.5 Strikeouts
———
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Over 12.5 runs scored
———
Over 2.5 runs scored
———
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Randy Arozarena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Seattle Mariners
———
Seattle Mariners spread minus 3.5
———
Total over 10.5
———
Total over 11.5
———
Total over 3.5
———
Total over 4.5
———
Total over 5.5
———
Total over 9.5
———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms0
Candidates2
Winner

Athletics

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If A's wins the A's vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the A's vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for September 5 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Athletics vs Seattle Mariners MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-05 at 9:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET) odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds