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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-15

This market resolved on 2026-09-15. Tampa Bay Rays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 71%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Jeff McNeil Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Jeff McNeil Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Jeff McNeil Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Jonathan Aranda Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Jonathan Aranda Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Junior Caminero Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Lawrence Butler Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Lawrence Butler Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Lawrence Butler Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Liam Hicks Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Yandy Diaz Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Zack Gelof Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Zack Gelof Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Chandler Simpson Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Zack Gelof Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Griffin Jax Over 6.5 Strikeouts	100%	—	—	100%	—
Griffin Jax Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	100%	—
Jack Perkins Over 1.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	100%	—
Griffin Jax Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	99%	—
Chandler Simpson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Chandler Simpson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Chandler Simpson Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jack Perkins Over 6.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	99%	—
Jeff McNeil Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jeff McNeil Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jeff McNeil Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	—
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	—
Junior Caminero Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Lawrence Butler Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Liam Hicks Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Liam Hicks Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Liam Hicks Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Shea Langeliers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Shea Langeliers Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Shea Langeliers Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	—
Yandy Diaz Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Zack Gelof Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Zack Gelof Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Athletics spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	95%
Athletics spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	94%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	94%	93%
Total under 7.5	—	—	—	100%	92%
Jonah Heim Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	90%
Lawrence Butler Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	89%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	—	88%
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	88%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5	—	—	—	86%	89%
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	87%
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	—	84%
Shea Langeliers Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	82%
Tommy White Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	79%
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	78%	79%
Athletics spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	62%	94%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	77%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	73%	78%
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	74%
Total under 8.5	—	—	54%	72%	87%
Tampa Bay RaysWINNER	100%	65%	70%	78%	71%
Griffin Jax Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	68%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	68%
Tommy White Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	66%
Jack Perkins Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	100%	66%
Cedric Mullins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	65%
Jorge Mateo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	64%
Carlos Cortes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
Richie Palacios Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	63%
Zack Gelof Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	63%
Henry Bolte Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
Junior Caminero Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	62%
Jonah Heim Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
Shea Langeliers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	61%
Griffin Jax Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	100%	61%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	61%
Alika Williams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	60%
Jeff McNeil Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	59%
Zack Gelof Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	59%
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	50%	—	—	1%	63%
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	55%
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	53%
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	53%
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	52%
Victor Mesa Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	52%
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	—	78%	26%
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	51%
Athletics spread plus 1.5	—	—	51%	51%	86%
Total over 3.5	1%	—	51%	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	50%
Jeff McNeil Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	48%
Shea Langeliers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	48%
Jonah Heim Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	48%
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%	48%
Henry Bolte Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Richie Palacios Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Total over 4.5	1%	—	56%	—	36%
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	46%
Griffin Jax Over 5.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	99%	46%
Jorge Mateo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Carlos Cortes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	45%
Cedric Mullins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	45%
Alika Williams Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	44%
Lawrence Butler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	44%
Zack Gelof Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%	44%
Tommy White Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	44%
Jack Perkins Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	43%
Zack Gelof Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	43%
Athletics spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	41%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	40%
Jack Perkins Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	99%	39%
Yandy Diaz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	28%	—	—	0%	47%
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	36%	—	—	1%	—
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5	1%	—	50%	0%	17%
Athletics	1%	35%	30%	99%	31%
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	2%	—	—	0%	56%
Athletics spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	26%
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	25%	—	—	0%	—
Shea Langeliers Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	22%
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	17%
Total over 8.5	1%	—	46%	6%	16%
Yandy Diaz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	16%	—	—	1%	—
Total over 6.5	1%	—	—	—	16%
Zack Gelof Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	15%
Jonah Heim Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	14%
Lawrence Butler Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	14%
Athletics spread minus 1.5	12%	—	—	14%	15%
Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	14%
Total over 9.5	2%	—	—	0%	25%
Total over 7.5	1%	—	—	0%	12%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	14%	10%
Henry Bolte Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	11%
Jorge Mateo Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	11%
Liam Hicks Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	10%
Carlos Cortes Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	10%
Jeff McNeil Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	10%
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	9%
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs	4%	—	—	1%	15%
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	1%	15%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	9%
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Home Runs	8%	—	—	0%	—
Athletics spread minus 2.5	6%	—	—	7%	11%
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	1%	—
Griffin Jax Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	1%	—
Jeff McNeil Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Jeff McNeil Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Liam Hicks Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Liam Hicks Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Liam Hicks Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Shea Langeliers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Shea Langeliers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Shea Langeliers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	1%	—
Zack Gelof Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Griffin Jax Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	0%	—
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jack Perkins Under 1.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	—
Zack Gelof Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Chandler Simpson Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Chandler Simpson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Chandler Simpson Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Griffin Jax Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	—
Jack Perkins Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	—
Jack Perkins Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	—
Jeff McNeil Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jeff McNeil Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jeff McNeil Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jeff McNeil Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Lawrence Butler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Lawrence Butler Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Lawrence Butler Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Lawrence Butler Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Shea Langeliers Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Zack Gelof Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Zack Gelof Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Zack Gelof Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
A's wins by over 3.5 runs	—	—	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%	—
Lawrence Butler Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%	—
Liam Hicks Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%	—
Liam Hicks Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%	—
Over 12.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Shea Langeliers Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%	—
Shea Langeliers Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Shea Langeliers Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 10.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 11.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 5.5	—	—	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Tampa Bay wins the A's vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the A's vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Tampa Bay Rays in Oakland Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 15 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Athletics vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-15 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Tampa Bay Rays: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 78.0¢ on Polymarket, 70.6¢ on ProphetX, 64.5¢ on Polymarket US, 70.3¢ on Novig; Athletics: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket, 31.2¢ on ProphetX, 35.0¢ on Polymarket US, 29.8¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Tampa Bay Rays at 76.6¢ implies about a 76.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

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