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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-16

This market resolved on 2026-09-16. Tampa Bay Rays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Brady Basso Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	100%	—
Chandler Simpson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Chandler Simpson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Chandler Simpson Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Chandler Simpson Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Jeff McNeil Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Jeff McNeil Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Junior Caminero Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Shea Langeliers Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Yandy Diaz Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Zack Gelof Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Nick Martinez Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	100%	—
Brady Basso Under 1.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	99%	—
Jonny DeLuca Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Lawrence Butler Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Shea Langeliers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	97%	—
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	98%	92%
Athletics spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	95%
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	97%	90%
Jonah Heim Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	93%
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	—	91%
Jeff McNeil Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	90%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	90%
Zack Gelof Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	90%
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	88%
Tampa Bay RaysWINNER	99%	69%	87%	100%	97%
Lawrence Butler Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	92%
Athletics spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	86%
Brady Basso Under 0.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	82%	—
Nick Martinez Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	82%	—
Chandler Simpson Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Jeff McNeil Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	—
Lawrence Butler Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Ryan Vilade Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	—
Ryan Vilade Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Ryan Vilade Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Ryan Vilade Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Shea Langeliers Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Shea Langeliers Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Yandy Diaz Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Yandy Diaz Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Zack Gelof Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Zack Gelof Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	80%	—
Shea Langeliers Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	80%	—
Shea Langeliers Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	77%
Nick Martinez Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	82%	70%
Athletics spread plus 2.5	—	—	60%	1%	90%
Zack Gelof Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	73%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	—	73%
Junior Caminero Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	64%
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	62%
Zack Gelof Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	62%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	71%
Alika Williams Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	71%
Jonah Heim Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	71%
Total over 6.5	99%	—	—	100%	71%
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	57%
Total under 10.5	—	—	55%	—	83%
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	54%
Shea Langeliers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	52%
Ryan Vilade Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	51%
Nick Fortes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	66%
Athletics spread plus 1.5	—	—	39%	1%	90%
Carlos Cortes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
Donovan Walton Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
Cedric Mullins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Jorge Mateo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Yandy Diaz Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	63%
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—	62%
Jonah Heim Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	60%
Alika Williams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	58%
Ryan Vilade Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	58%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	57%
Henry Bolte Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	56%
Nick Madrigal Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	55%
Shea Langeliers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	55%
Jeff McNeil Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	55%
Nick Martinez Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	100%	55%
Athletics spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	98%	12%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	54%
Henry Bolte Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	53%
Jeff McNeil Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	52%
Nick Madrigal Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	52%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	52%
Brady Basso Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	100%	51%
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	50%
Total under 8.5	—	—	21%	1%	79%
Athletics spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	50%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5	—	—	—	3%	94%
Total under 7.5	—	—	15%	1%	81%
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	47%
Cedric Mullins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	58%	—	—	19%	46%
Jorge Mateo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	45%
Donovan Walton Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	44%
Nick Fortes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	44%
Carlos Cortes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	43%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5	1%	—	61%	0%	14%
Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	53%
Nick Martinez Over 3.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	18%	53%
Brady Basso Over 2.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	18%	51%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	100%	34%
Zack Gelof Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	48%
Lawrence Butler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	47%
Athletics spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	31%
Yandy Diaz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	13%	—	—	0%	45%
Nick Martinez Over 4.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	18%	39%
Shea Langeliers Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	26%
Total over 8.5	6%	—	79%	1%	26%
Total over 10.5	3%	—	45%	—	22%
Total over 7.5	4%	—	86%	1%	22%
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	20%	—
Shea Langeliers Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	20%	—
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	19%
Chandler Simpson Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	—
Chandler Simpson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Jeff McNeil Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	19%	—	—	—	—
Lawrence Butler Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Ryan Vilade Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Ryan Vilade Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Zack Gelof Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Brady Basso Over 0.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	18%	—
Brady Basso Over 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	18%	—
Total under 4.5	—	—	—	—	18%
Zack Gelof Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	17%
Yandy Diaz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	17%	—	—	1%	—
Ryan Vilade Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	13%
Lawrence Butler Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	15%
Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	14%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5	3%	—	40%	1%	14%
Henry Bolte Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	13%
Athletics	1%	32%	13%	100%	5%
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	0%	23%
Donovan Walton Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	12%
Jeff McNeil Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	11%
Jonah Heim Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	11%
Carlos Cortes Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	11%
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	—	10%
Nick Fortes Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	10%
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	3%	16%
Jonny DeLuca Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	3%	11%
Athletics spread minus 1.5	4%	—	—	3%	11%
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	3%	—
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Lawrence Butler Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Lawrence Butler Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Lawrence Butler Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Shea Langeliers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Zack Gelof Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Chandler Simpson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Chandler Simpson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jeff McNeil Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jeff McNeil Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jonny DeLuca Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jonny DeLuca Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jonny DeLuca Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Nick Martinez Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	—
Shea Langeliers Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Zack Gelof Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Chandler Simpson Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Chandler Simpson Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jeff McNeil Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jonny DeLuca Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Junior Caminero Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Lawrence Butler Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Lawrence Butler Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Ryan Vilade Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Shea Langeliers Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
A's wins by over 3.5 runs	—	—	—	—	—
Jeff McNeil Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Jonny DeLuca Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Lawrence Butler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Over 12.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 3.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Ryan Vilade Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Ryan Vilade Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Shea Langeliers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 11.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 4.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 5.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 9.5	—	—	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Tampa Bay wins the A's vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the A's vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Tampa Bay Rays in Oakland Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 16 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Athletics vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-16 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Tampa Bay Rays: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 96.5¢ on ProphetX, 68.5¢ on Polymarket US, 87.0¢ on Novig; Athletics: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 4.8¢ on ProphetX, 31.5¢ on Polymarket US, 13.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 99.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Tampa Bay Rays at 90.2¢ implies about a 90.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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