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Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Philadelphia Phillies Wins: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-31

This market resolved on 2026-08-31. Philadelphia Phillies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.

About This Market

Philadelphia Phillies vs.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-08-31. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Brandon Marsh Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Aaron Nola Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Ildemaro Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Justin Crawford Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Tim Tawa Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Bryson Stott Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Total under 12.5
———99%
J.T. Realmuto Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Aaron Nola Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——98%—
Corbin Carroll Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Kyle Schwarber Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Alec Bohm Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Gabriel Moreno Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 3.5
———86%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 3.5
———86%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 2.5
——79%90%
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER
99%74%100%91%
Brandon Marsh Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Bryce Harper Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Nolan Arenado Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Trea Turner Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.5
——69%93%
Aaron Nola Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—81%—
Aaron Nola Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—81%—
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Geraldo Perdomo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Total under 11.5
———80%
Total under 10.5
———80%
Total under 6.5
———77%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.0
———76%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.0
———75%
Total under 4.5
———75%
Total under 8.5
——52%94%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 2.5
——71%74%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 4.5
———71%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.5
——60%79%
Total under 9.5
——62%73%
Max Kepler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Max Kepler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Tim Tawa Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Total under 5.5
———63%
Total under 8.0
———63%
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Total under 7.5
——43%78%
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
64%——56%
Total under 9.0
———59%
Justin Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——58%
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Bryson Stott Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Max Kepler Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Brandon Marsh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Aaron Nola Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——1%54%
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
47%——55%
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Aaron Nola Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—99%50%
Brandon Pfaadt Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——1%50%
Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Home Runs
——50%—
Max Kepler Under 0.5 Home Runs
——9%90%
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Justin Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
47%——50%
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
40%——53%
Total over 9.0
———46%
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Ildemaro Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Max Kepler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——43%
Tim Tawa Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Home Runs
——42%—
Total over 7.5
1%—57%26%
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Total over 5.5
1%——40%
Total over 8.0
———38%
Total over 12.5
1%——38%
Brandon Pfaadt Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%—19%54%
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
34%———
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 4.5
———33%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5
1%—41%24%
Nolan Arenado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
31%———
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 2.5
1%—30%29%
Total over 4.5
1%——29%
Total over 8.5
1%—48%10%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.0
———29%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.0
———29%
Total over 6.5
1%——26%
Total over 9.5
1%—19%32%
Total over 11.5
1%——25%
Total over 10.5
1%——24%
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Total Bases
24%———
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.5
1%—31%15%
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 RBIs
22%———
Arizona wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——21%
Arizona Diamondbacks
1%27%0%15%
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Home Runs
20%—20%—
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—20%—
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—20%—
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—20%—
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—20%—
Aaron Nola Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%—19%—
Aaron Nola Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——19%—
Brandon Pfaadt Over 1.5 Strikeouts
1%—19%—
Brandon Pfaadt Over 2.5 Strikeouts
1%—19%—
Brandon Pfaadt Over 7.5 Strikeouts
——19%—
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Home Runs
44%—18%9%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 2.5
1%—22%14%
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 RBIs
16%———
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Hits
16%———
Gabriel Moreno Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%10%
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits
15%———
Nolan Arenado Over 2.5 Total Bases
15%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—18%11%
Alec Bohm Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%10%
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Home Runs
9%—20%—
Geraldo Perdomo Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%9%
Aaron Nola Over 6.5 Strikeouts
9%—19%—
Luis Arraez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%7%
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Total Bases
13%———
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—18%8%
Max Kepler Over 0.5 Home Runs
———13%
Bryson Stott Over 0.5 Home Runs
———12%
Brandon Pfaadt Over 6.5 Strikeouts
3%—19%—
Corbin Carroll Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
11%———
Corbin Carroll Over 4.5 Total Bases
11%———
Tim Tawa Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 3.5
2%——19%
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 RBIs
10%———
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—18%9%
Lars Nootbaar Over 0.5 Home Runs
——99%9%
J.T. Realmuto Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—19%8%
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 RBIs
8%———
Justin Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Corbin Carroll Over 5.5 Total Bases
7%———
Nolan Arenado Over 3.5 Total Bases
7%———
Ildemaro Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Nolan Arenado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
6%———
Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—18%5%
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Nolan Arenado Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Aaron Nola Over 1.5 Earned Runs
3%———
Aaron Nola Over 3.5 Earned Runs
3%———
Aaron Nola Over 4.5 Earned Runs
3%———
Aaron Nola Over 8.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Corbin Carroll Over 3.5 Total Bases
3%———
Aaron Nola Over 2.5 Earned Runs
2%———
Aaron Nola Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Aaron Nola Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Aaron Nola Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Aaron Nola Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Brandon Pfaadt Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Brandon Pfaadt Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Brandon Pfaadt Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Brandon Pfaadt Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 Total Bases
1%———
Nolan Arenado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
1%———
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Corbin Carroll Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Lars Nootbaar Under 0.5 Home Runs
——1%99%
Max Kepler Over 1.5 Home Runs
——49%—
Max Kepler Under 1.5 Home Runs
——51%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread26.4%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Philadelphia Phillies

90.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Philadelphia wins the Philadelphia vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Philadelphia vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 31 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-31 at 9:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Philadelphia Phillies: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 90.7¢ on ProphetX, 73.5¢ on Polymarket US; Arizona Diamondbacks: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 15.4¢ on ProphetX, 26.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 26.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Philadelphia Phillies at 90.8¢ implies about a 90.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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