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Philadelphia Phillies vs.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-15. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-15
This market resolved on 2026-08-15. Philadelphia Phillies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Philadelphia Phillies vs.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-15. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Austin Martin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryson Stott Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Connor Prielipp Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jesus Luzardo Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jesus Luzardo Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jesus Luzardo Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jesus Luzardo Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Alec Bohm Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 99% |
Brooks Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Edmundo Sosa Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
J.T. Realmuto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 99% |
Josh Bell Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 49% | 99% |
Kaelen Culpepper Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Luke Keaschall Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Ryan Kreidler Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Trea Turner Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 99% |
Connor Prielipp Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | 99% |
Bryce Harper Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 98% |
Bryan De La Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Kody Clemens Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 95% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 94% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 6.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Byron Buxton Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 96% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Kyle Schwarber Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 77% | 96% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 83% | 90% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 7.5 | — | — | — | 86% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 85% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 85% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 8.5 | — | — | — | 81% |
Jesus Luzardo Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 81% | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 74% | 86% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 80% |
Connor Prielipp Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 75% | — |
Connor Prielipp Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 74% |
Derek Hill Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 73% |
Royce Lewis Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 48% | 98% |
Ryan Jeffers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 47% | 98% |
Austin Martin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 52% | 87% |
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 67% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 67% |
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Byron Buxton Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER | 99% | 100% | 65% | 100% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 66% | 64% |
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Edmundo Sosa Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Ryan Kreidler Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 63% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 34% | 90% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 62% |
Bryan De La Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Connor Prielipp Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | 61% |
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Jesus Luzardo Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 54% | 65% |
Bryson Stott Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Kaelen Culpepper Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 58% |
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 48% | 69% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 80% | 36% |
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Austin Martin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Brooks Lee Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 48% | 59% |
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Kody Clemens Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 53% |
Austin Martin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 58% | — | — | 46% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 50% | — | — | — |
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 50% | — | — | 49% |
Bryan De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Edmundo Sosa Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Ryan Kreidler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Jesus Luzardo Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 46% | 99% |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 20% | 70% |
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 52% | 35% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 50% | 36% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 43% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 42% |
Derek Hill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 50% | 32% |
Connor Prielipp Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 41% |
Austin Martin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | — | — | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 37% |
Ryan Kreidler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 37% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 35% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 35% |
Byron Buxton Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 34% | — | — | — |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 32% |
Royce Lewis Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 52% | 12% |
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 53% | 10% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 29% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 26% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 25% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 7.5 | — | — | — | 25% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 25% |
Connor Prielipp Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 25% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 26% | 22% |
Bryce Harper Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 22% | — | — | — |
Jesus Luzardo Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 19% | — |
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | — | — |
Minnesota Twins | 1% | 1% | 35% | 2% |
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 23% | 14% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 6.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Byron Buxton Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | 12% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 17% | 15% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 14% |
Ryan Kreidler Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 13% |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 51% | 12% |
Bryan De La Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Derek Hill Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Alec Bohm Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 11% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 10% |
Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 5% | 13% |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 9% |
Edmundo Sosa Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Luke Keaschall Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Austin Martin Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Bryson Stott Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
J.T. Realmuto Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 6% |
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 51% | 9% |
Luis Arraez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Bryce Harper Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Byron Buxton Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Connor Prielipp Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Connor Prielipp Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Connor Prielipp Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Jesus Luzardo Over 10.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Jesus Luzardo Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Byron Buxton Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Byron Buxton Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Byron Buxton Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Derek Hill Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jesus Luzardo Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Kaelen Culpepper Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Trea Turner Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Derek Hill Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Derek Hill Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Kaelen Culpepper Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies
90.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Philadelphia vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Philadelphia vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for August 15 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-15 at 7:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Philadelphia Phillies: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 65.0¢ on Polymarket, 99.5¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Minnesota Twins: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 35.0¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 34.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Philadelphia Phillies at 90.8¢ implies about a 90.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.