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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

New York Mets Wins: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-18

This market resolved on 2026-09-18. New York Mets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Zac Thornton Over 1.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	100%	—
Zac Thornton Over 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	100%	—
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—	—
Edmundo Sosa Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	98%
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	98%
Bryce Harper Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	97%
J.T. Realmuto Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	97%
Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	97%
Alec Bohm Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	96%
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	95%	—
New York MetsWINNER	100%	48%	92%	100%	96%
New York Mets spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	90%	94%
New York Mets spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	88%
Trea Turner Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	88%
New York Mets spread minus 2.5	85%	—	32%	100%	86%
New York Mets spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	83%
New York Mets spread plus 1.5	—	—	75%	100%	90%
Total over 6.5	99%	—	—	—	81%
Alec Bohm Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Alec Bohm Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Alec Bohm Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Alec Bohm Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Bryce Harper Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Bryce Harper Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Bryce Harper Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Bryce Harper Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
J.T. Realmuto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
J.T. Realmuto Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
J.T. Realmuto Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
J.T. Realmuto Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Kyle Schwarber Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Kyle Schwarber Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Kyle Schwarber Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Kyle Schwarber Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	—
Luis Arraez Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Luis Arraez Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Luis Arraez Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Trea Turner Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Trea Turner Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	80%	—
Total under 12.5	—	—	—	—	79%
Kyle Schwarber Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	76%	77%
Total under 9.5	—	—	77%	43%	89%
Total over 5.5	99%	—	—	—	73%
Total over 8.5	99%	—	63%	100%	78%
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	—	70%
Total over 7.5	99%	—	76%	99%	62%
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	56%
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	56%
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	69%
Total under 10.5	—	—	48%	—	89%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	55%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	68%
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	53%
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	51%
New York Mets spread minus 1.5	94%	—	48%	17%	82%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
Edmundo Sosa Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Zac Thornton Over 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	100%	63%
Derek Hill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	62%
Mark Vientos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
Bryson Stott Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	61%
Francisco Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	61%
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	61%
New York Mets spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	61%
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	58%
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	22%	—	—	94%	—
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	57%
Total under 9.0	—	—	—	—	57%
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	56%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	55%
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	53%
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	52%
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	51%
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	51%
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	42%	—	—	1%	59%
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	50%
Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	49%
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	49%
Derek Hill Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	48%
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	48%
Mark Vientos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	48%
Edmundo Sosa Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	47%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	47%
Zac Thornton Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	46%
Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Total over 9.0	—	—	—	—	45%
New York Mets spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	45%
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	31%	—	—	—	57%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	73%	9%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	41%
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	58%
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	54%
New York Mets spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	36%
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	52%
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	51%
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	51%
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	16%	—	—	—	53%
Total under 7.5	—	—	24%	99%	41%
Total under 8.5	—	—	38%	99%	26%
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	—	31%
New York Mets spread minus 3.5	3%	—	—	—	58%
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	26%	—	—	—	—
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs	7%	—	—	76%	25%
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	—	100%	24%
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	28%	—	—	19%	—
Total over 9.5	1%	—	24%	49%	13%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	—	23%
Philadelphia Phillies	1%	53%	8%	100%	22%
Bryce Harper Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	22%	—	—	—	—
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 3.5	1%	—	—	—	21%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.5	—	—	52%	17%	21%
Total over 11.5	4%	—	—	—	35%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 2.5	—	—	68%	14%	19%
Alec Bohm Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Alec Bohm Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Alec Bohm Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Bryce Harper Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
J.T. Realmuto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
J.T. Realmuto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
J.T. Realmuto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
J.T. Realmuto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
J.T. Realmuto Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Luis Arraez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	—
Luis Arraez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Luis Arraez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Luis Arraez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Luis Arraez Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Trea Turner Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Zac Thornton Over 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	19%	—
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	16%
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	30%	—	—	3%	—
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	16%
Total under 4.5	—	—	—	—	16%
Mark Vientos Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	16%
Bryce Harper Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	12%	—	—	19%	—
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	15%
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	15%
Kyle Schwarber Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	10%	—	—	19%	—
Total over 12.5	4%	—	—	—	25%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	14%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5	1%	—	25%	3%	14%
Trea Turner Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	8%	—	—	19%	—
Alec Bohm Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	12%
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	0%	12%
Total over 10.5	8%	—	52%	—	12%
Bryson Stott Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	11%
Derek Hill Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	11%
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	10%
Kyle Schwarber Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	17%	—	—	3%	—
Luis Torrens Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	8%
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	0%	13%
Edmundo Sosa Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	7%
J.T. Realmuto Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	7%
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	0%	6%
Luis Arraez Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	6%
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—	7%
Alec Bohm Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	3%	—
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—	—
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	—	—
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—	—
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—	—
Zac Thornton Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	—
Zac Thornton Under 1.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	—
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Alec Bohm Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Bryce Harper Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
J.T. Realmuto Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Kyle Schwarber Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Luis Arraez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Trea Turner Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Trea Turner Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Zac Thornton Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	—
Zac Thornton Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	—
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Alec Bohm Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Kyle Schwarber Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 3.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 4.5	—	—	—	—	—
Trea Turner Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Zac Thornton Over 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 1.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If New York M wins the Philadelphia vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Philadelphia vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

New York Mets in Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets, scheduled for September 18 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-18 at 7:15PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are New York Mets: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 96.1¢ on ProphetX, 47.5¢ on Polymarket US, 92.0¢ on Novig; Philadelphia Phillies: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 22.1¢ on ProphetX, 52.5¢ on Polymarket US, 8.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 99.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, New York Mets at 87.0¢ implies about a 87.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

New York Mets Wins: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

New York Mets Wins: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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New York Mets Wins: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

New York Mets Wins: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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