About This Market
Philadelphia Phillies vs.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-25
This market resolved on 2026-08-25. Seattle Mariners was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Philadelphia Phillies vs.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Aaron Nola Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Aaron Nola Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Aaron Nola Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Aaron Nola Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Aaron Nola Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryson Stott Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Cole Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
George Kirby Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
George Kirby Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
George Kirby Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
George Kirby Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
George Kirby Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
George Kirby Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Alec Bohm Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Brandon Marsh Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Josh Naylor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 97% | 99% |
J.T. Realmuto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | 99% |
Weston Wilson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 97% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 99% |
Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Kyle Schwarber Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 98% |
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 93% | 99% |
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 98% |
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 99% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 89% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 88% | 90% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Bryce Harper Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Aaron Nola Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | 86% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 84% |
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 84% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 78% | 88% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 83% |
Aaron Nola Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | 81% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 74% | 87% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 71% | 86% |
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 75% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 75% |
Seattle MarinersWINNER | 99% | 98% | 51% | 99% |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits | 73% | — | — | — |
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 72% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 71% |
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 71% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 70% |
Justin Crawford Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 69% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 68% |
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Weston Wilson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 65% |
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Justin Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Brandon Marsh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Cole Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
J.P. Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 62% |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 61% | — | — | 63% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 32% | 91% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 21% | 99% |
Bryson Stott Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Weston Wilson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Justin Crawford Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
George Kirby Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | 55% |
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 48% | — | — | 57% |
Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
J.P. Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | 55% |
George Kirby Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | 51% |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 49% |
Justin Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
George Kirby Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 48% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 48% |
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 44% |
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 42% | — | — | 45% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 42% |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 41% |
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Aaron Nola Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 40% | — | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | — | 39% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 37% |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | — | 37% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 4% | 67% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 46% | 24% |
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 35% | — | — | — |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 32% |
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 32% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 32% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits | 28% | — | — | — |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 27% |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits | 27% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | — | 25% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 25% |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 RBIs | 24% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 24% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits | 22% | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 22% | 20% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 18% | 22% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 18% |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits | 17% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 21% | 10% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 15% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 12% | 17% |
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits | 14% | — | — | — |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 13% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 15% | 9% |
Weston Wilson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits | 11% | — | — | — |
J.P. Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 12% | 10% |
Bryce Harper Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits | 10% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
J.T. Realmuto Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | 8% |
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | — | — |
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 9% | 9% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 9% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 9% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 9% |
Justin Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Bryce Harper Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 8% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 7% |
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Aaron Nola Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 7% | — | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 3% | 10% |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Home Runs | 6% | — | 12% | 5% |
Bryson Stott Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Cole Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Luis Arraez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 3% | 8% |
Alec Bohm Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 5% |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 9% | 5% |
Aaron Nola Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 5% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 4% | 7% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 3% | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies | 1% | 2% | 49% | 3% |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 2% | — |
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Aaron Nola Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Aaron Nola Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Aaron Nola Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Aaron Nola Over 5.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
George Kirby Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
George Kirby Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
George Kirby Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Aaron Nola Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | — |
Aaron Nola Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | — |
George Kirby Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | — |
George Kirby Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | — |
Seattle Mariners
86.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Philadelphia wins the Philadelphia vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Philadelphia vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for August 25 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-25 at 9:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Seattle Mariners: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 51.0¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 98.0¢ on Polymarket US; Philadelphia Phillies: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 49.0¢ on Polymarket, 2.7¢ on ProphetX, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 48.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Seattle Mariners at 86.8¢ implies about a 86.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.