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Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Seattle Mariners Wins: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-25

This market resolved on 2026-08-25. Seattle Mariners was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Philadelphia Phillies vs.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Aaron Nola Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Aaron Nola Over 1.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Aaron Nola Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
99%———
Aaron Nola Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Aaron Nola Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Bryson Stott Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Cole Young Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
George Kirby Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
George Kirby Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
99%———
George Kirby Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%———
George Kirby Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%———
George Kirby Over 7.5 Strikeouts
99%———
George Kirby Over 8.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Over 1.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Seattle Mariners spread plus 3.5
———99%
Total under 10.5
———99%
Total under 11.5
———99%
Alec Bohm Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Brandon Marsh Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Josh Naylor Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Total under 9.5
——97%99%
J.T. Realmuto Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——97%99%
Weston Wilson Under 0.5 Home Runs
———97%
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
97%———
Trea Turner Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%99%
Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Home Runs
——90%99%
Kyle Schwarber Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%98%
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Home Runs
——93%99%
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——85%98%
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 4.5
———91%
Total under 8.0
———89%
Total under 8.5
——88%90%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 4.5
———89%
Bryce Harper Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%99%
Aaron Nola Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—1%86%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 3.5
———84%
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Home Runs
———84%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.5
99%—78%88%
Total under 7.0
———83%
Aaron Nola Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——99%81%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 2.5
99%—74%87%
Total under 7.5
——71%86%
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
Total over 3.5
99%——75%
Seattle MarinersWINNER
99%98%51%99%
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits
73%———
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———72%
Total under 6.5
———71%
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———71%
Total under 5.5
———70%
Justin Crawford Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.0
———68%
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Weston Wilson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Total over 4.5
99%——65%
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Justin Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Brandon Marsh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Cole Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
J.P. Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.0
———62%
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
61%——63%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.5
——32%91%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 2.5
——21%99%
Bryson Stott Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Weston Wilson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Justin Crawford Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
George Kirby Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—1%55%
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
48%——57%
Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
J.P. Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
46%——55%
George Kirby Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——99%51%
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——49%
Justin Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
George Kirby Over 2.5 Earned Runs
48%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——48%
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Total under 4.5
———44%
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
42%——45%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.0
———42%
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——41%
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Aaron Nola Over 7.5 Strikeouts
40%———
Total over 5.5
1%——39%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.0
———37%
Total over 6.5
1%——37%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5
1%—4%67%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 2.5
——46%24%
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
35%———
Total under 3.5
———32%
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
32%———
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
32%———
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits
28%———
Seattle Mariners spread minus 3.5
1%——27%
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits
27%———
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%——25%
Total over 7.0
———25%
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 RBIs
24%———
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
24%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits
22%———
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.5
——22%20%
Total over 7.5
1%—18%22%
Total over 8.0
———18%
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits
17%———
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%———
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 2.5
1%—21%10%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 4.5
———15%
Total over 8.5
1%—12%17%
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits
14%———
Seattle Mariners spread minus 4.5
———13%
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—15%9%
Weston Wilson Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits
11%———
J.P. Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—12%10%
Bryce Harper Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%———
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits
10%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%———
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%———
J.T. Realmuto Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Home Runs
——10%8%
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
9%———
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
9%———
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Home Runs
——9%9%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 3.5
1%——9%
Total over 10.5
1%——9%
Total over 11.5
1%——9%
Justin Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Bryce Harper Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
8%———
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Hits
8%———
Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%7%
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Aaron Nola Over 9.5 Strikeouts
7%———
Total over 9.5
1%—3%10%
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Home Runs
6%—12%5%
Bryson Stott Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Cole Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Luis Arraez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——3%8%
Alec Bohm Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%5%
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—9%5%
Aaron Nola Over 8.5 Strikeouts
5%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits
5%———
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—4%7%
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
3%———
Philadelphia Phillies
1%2%49%3%
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—2%—
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Hits
2%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—1%—
Aaron Nola Over 2.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Home Runs
1%———
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits
1%———
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Aaron Nola Over 3.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Aaron Nola Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Aaron Nola Over 5.5 Earned Runs
0%———
George Kirby Over 1.5 Earned Runs
0%———
George Kirby Over 3.5 Earned Runs
0%———
George Kirby Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Randy Arozarena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Trea Turner Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Aaron Nola Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—1%—
Aaron Nola Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—1%—
George Kirby Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—1%—
George Kirby Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—1%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread48.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Seattle Mariners

86.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Philadelphia wins the Philadelphia vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Philadelphia vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for August 25 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-25 at 9:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Seattle Mariners: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 51.0¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 98.0¢ on Polymarket US; Philadelphia Phillies: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 49.0¢ on Polymarket, 2.7¢ on ProphetX, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 48.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Seattle Mariners at 86.8¢ implies about a 86.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available