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Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals (7:45 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Philadelphia Phillies Wins: Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals (7:45 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-10

This market resolved on 2026-08-10. Philadelphia Phillies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.

About This Market

Philadelphia Phillies vs.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals (7:45 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-10. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Andrew Painter Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Andrew Painter Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Andrew Painter Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Andrew Painter Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Cesar Prieto Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Hunter Dobbins Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Hunter Dobbins Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Hunter Dobbins Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Jose Fermin Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 4.5 runs scored
99%———
Bryan Torres Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Derek Hill Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Ivan Herrera Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Nathan Church Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Total under 12.5
———99%
Alec Bohm Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%98%
J.T. Realmuto Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%98%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 4.5
———93%
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER
99%100%90%96%
Bryce Harper Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%99%
Trea Turner Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%91%
Total over 6.5
99%——88%
Alec Burleson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Total under 11.5
———88%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.0
———87%
Kyle Schwarber Under 0.5 Home Runs
——76%98%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 3.5
———87%
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 4.5
———86%
Total over 5.5
99%——85%
Jordan Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs
——85%99%
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 3.5
———84%
Derek Hill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———83%
Hunter Dobbins Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—83%—
Jimmy Crooks Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———79%
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.5
——59%99%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 2.5
——74%83%
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 2.5
——70%83%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.5
——63%88%
Total over 9.0
———73%
JJ Wetherholt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———72%
Garrett Stubbs Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———71%
Cesar Prieto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.0
———69%
Total over 8.5
99%—58%79%
Bryson Stott Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Kyle Schwarber Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Andrew Painter Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——55%80%
Total over 7.5
99%——68%
Alec Burleson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Bryan Torres Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Jordan Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Bryan Torres Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Ivan Herrera Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Justin Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Andrew Painter Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—45%87%
Luis Arraez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Trea Turner Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Alec Burleson Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Jimmy Crooks Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Garrett Stubbs Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Total over 8.0
———63%
Jose Fermin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Masyn Winn Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Total over 10.5
99%—37%85%
Nathan Church Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Total over 9.5
99%—47%73%
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
58%——62%
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——55%
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Brandon Marsh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Hunter Dobbins Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—50%55%
Hunter Dobbins Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——50%54%
Jose Fermin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Nathan Church Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Garrett Stubbs Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Justin Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——49%
Masyn Winn Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
St. Louis Cardinals
1%1%90%6%
Garrett Stubbs Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Bryan Torres Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Jimmy Crooks Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Jordan Walker Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Total under 8.0
———44%
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Total under 10.5
——63%24%
Bryan Torres Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Jimmy Crooks Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———42%
Total under 9.5
——53%30%
Cesar Prieto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
JJ Wetherholt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
38%——42%
Alec Burleson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Derek Hill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———39%
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.0
———37%
Total under 7.5
———36%
Total under 9.0
———34%
Total under 8.5
——42%25%
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%——54%
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.5
1%—37%15%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5
1%—41%10%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 2.5
1%—30%21%
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 2.5
1%—26%20%
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
23%———
Bryce Harper Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
22%———
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 3.5
1%——21%
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.0
———19%
Total under 5.5
———18%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 3.5
1%——18%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 4.5
———17%
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—24%10%
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 4.5
———17%
Hunter Dobbins Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——17%—
Trea Turner Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%———
Total over 11.5
1%——16%
Total under 6.5
———15%
Bryce Harper Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
13%———
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Home Runs
11%—13%12%
Total over 12.5
1%——12%
Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—16%5%
Alec Bohm Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Jordan Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs
——15%5%
J.T. Realmuto Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Cesar Prieto Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Jose Fermin Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 Home Runs
——12%5%
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
8%———
Bryan Torres Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Nathan Church Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Luis Arraez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Bryson Stott Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Edmundo Sosa Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Jimmy Crooks Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Justin Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Masyn Winn Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Garrett Stubbs Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
JJ Wetherholt Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Home Runs
———4%
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Andrew Painter Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Hunter Dobbins Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Home Runs
1%———
Over 13.5 runs scored
1%———
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Alec Burleson Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Andrew Painter Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Andrew Painter Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Brandon Marsh Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Bryson Stott Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Hunter Dobbins Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Ivan Herrera Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jimmy Crooks Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
JJ Wetherholt Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jordan Walker Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Masyn Winn Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Nathan Church Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Brandon Marsh Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Bryson Stott Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jimmy Crooks Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jimmy Crooks Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
JJ Wetherholt Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
JJ Wetherholt Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Masyn Winn Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Masyn Winn Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Nathan Church Over 1.5 Home Runs
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread89.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Philadelphia Phillies

96.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals (7:45 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Philadelphia wins the Philadelphia vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 10, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Philadelphia vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 10, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for August 10 at 7:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-10 at 7:45PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals (7:45 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals (7:45 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Philadelphia Phillies: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 90.0¢ on Polymarket, 96.2¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; St. Louis Cardinals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 90.0¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals (7:45 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 89.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals (7:45 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Philadelphia Phillies at 96.2¢ implies about a 96.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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